RE: some people17 Oct 2020 11:32
Some fair points there, although I disagree with the last couple of points about additional shares in issue (due to funding being arranged), and SP once SF is producing.
Have been here a long time too. I invested on the back of the 7 day Balcombe EWT in October 2018, getting in at sub-8p just before the rapid rise to 14p. I took some profits at that level (despite RealAnalsyt's daily ramping posts telling posters they were mad and crazy for selling at these bargain prices and 30p plus was expected 'next week').
I made the mistake of adding again at 9p as the SP dropped back, but held tight when the Brockham RNS landed in June 2019, taking a 'wait and see' approach re: the SF acquisition and the new bod's plan.
At one point, I was 95% down and set myself a target of getting out by the end of this year with only a 50% loss.
As SF news has landed though, my confidence here has returned, and I have added a few times in recent months. My new target is a modest 2p on SF production, which will see me exiting here in profit.
Hopeful that this can be achieved, being at the lower end of expectations from the company figures, although I recognise I will most likely have to wait until Q1 next year for production to commence. I do see a re-rate of sorts before year end though with newsflow expected.
Any additional news (positive) on any other assets over the next 3-4 months will be a bonus, for me.
I agree that SF is make or break time. The markets, for sure, will not tolerate failure with SF, but do seem (imo) cautious of a positive result, given the CPR, Off-take agreement and potential funfing arrangements, of which news is expected soon.
Good luck with your investment, whatever you decide to do here. I will be holding for SF connection