RE: Interesting link posted on Twitter4 Jan 2021 23:45
This would be such good news. Right now I'm staring at a box of Innova tests given to me from work even though we know that for every 20 tests on well people, one of them will be falsely positive, requiring that person (and family) to isolate until a more accurate PCR test. With a prevalence of 5/1000, the likelihood that a positive tests means that you have Covid is less than 2%. Just about acceptable as a quick screening tool if the false negative rate was good, but it fails to pick up nearly half the people who actually have Covid.
I can't wait until Avacta, ODX (both of whom I'm in), or failing that someone else, gets a reliable test that is actually useful in the real world. I'm guessing that isn't as easy as we thought (and as we were led to believe in the summer) - but, just maybe, it is now around the corner. I don't believe the guys at Avacta have been sitting on their hands for the past 6 months.