The latest Investing Matters Podcast with Jean Roche, Co-Manager of Schroder UK Mid Cap Investment Trust has just been released. Listen here.
@No Fear - I hope all goes well for you. Good luck.
It’s great when people who hold shares (and therefore want them to rise) challenge ramping. We don’t want to read “to the moon”, “fill yer boots” and general ramping rubbish, and it’s particularly dangerous to newbies. Thank you everyone.
NoFear
“...I don't appreciate their constant posting to name and shame me for comments that were relevant in those times and as everyone know cannot the exact timely direction of a share price movement” (sic).
Then why do you repeatedly portray the share price direction as being certain, over and over again?
I gave you three examples earlier today (e.g. that you said yesterday that CPI was “easy money”). Here’s two others (finding them is like shooting fish in a barrel). Let’s choose a single day. On 22/7/21 you modestly said: “I've been able to make good judgements regarding price share entry and beat even those renowned stock brokers raters that usually cannot get it right not even once” (sic). Wow! No wonder you seem to think that anyone who criticises you is beneath you.
What then when a professional disagrees with you? You told us on 22/7/21 - you said: “And Peel Hunt cut HBR to £4.25 from £4.72. Peel Hunt and Jeffries have got wrong on their the HBR share price forecasts (sic). I won't take anything they say as fact.” Why doesn’t that surprise me? You continue: “Those two brokers firms are hopeless and will never ever pay any attention to their cra.p talk. Let the markets decide. NoFear”. In other words, “I don’t like what the professionals say so I’m going to stick a finger in each ear and go “La, la, la, I can’t hear you”!
The reality is we could all get on. We want the same thing. I personally just want you to stop portraying share price movements as easy, certain or both. And I suggest you stop the childish insults when people (not just me) disagree with you, for your own sake. The stock market is risky. You take your chances, win your rewards, accept your losses and learn along the way. Let’s work together.
NoFear, this isn’t the first time you’ve told people to put me on ignore yet by definition you haven’t. Please practise what you preach.
I appreciate that you don’t like me highlighting your history on predicting share price movements and also your promoting shares you’ve bought as if you’re a salesman. I’m trying to protect newbies. I imagine you find it difficult to handle because we are both on the same side - we both hope the SP will increase.
You call me childish - you don’t get the irony! You have a history of insulting people who express the slightest disagreement with you. It’s embarrassing.
It’s a shame you don’t take constructive criticism well.
Good luck with CPI. We are on the same side, just with a very different approach.
“anyone with any experience of the stock market knows there is no such” should be “...no such thing”.
NoFear, you say regarding whether it’ll break the 50p barrier “there is nothing stopping Cpi going for the next run up direction”. With respect, you are wrong - you have no idea what will happen in the future and there are plenty of things that may “stop it”.
This is reflected on your making repeated predictions which have turned out to be wrong. You should have a 50% success rate purely by guessing but it’s running in about single figures.
You said yesterday that CPI is “easy money” which is both wrong and dangerous - anyone with any experience of the stock market knows there is no such. I mention this as I don’t wish newbies to be misled.
You triumphantly and loudly said yesterday that CPI would break through the 50p barrier yesterday. You were, as usual, wrong.
You predicted as confidently as ever in March that CPI would rise from 49p to 69p in a mere four days. Not only did it not do so but it went sharply in the opposite direction, falling from 47p on the day you said that down to 32p over the following four months - a one-third fall instead of your predicted nearly 50% rise.
There’s nothing wrong with you saying you HOPE that it’ll break the 50p barrier - we all do - but please don’t make it sound either easy or certain. We don’t want newbies being misled. Anyone who bought in based on your repeated recommendations in March is likely to have lost money. Thank you.
@RogueRiver, I feel for you. Let’s hope you get to make a healthy, significant profit.
It’s always heartwarming to see people who, having suffered the pain of a heavy loss, get to see their written off share doing what they thought it never would. Good luck to you.
(Continued):
“Capita is still a work-in-progress restructuring story but with light emerging at the end of the tunnel,” said Paul Sullivan, sector analyst at Barclays who has tickled up his profit expectations for the 2021 full year to £127 million on revenues of £3.2 billion. As such he reckons Capita shares are worth 80p each.
Christopher Bamberry, analyst at the broker Peel Hunt, prefers to characterise Capita as a company stabilising. He is leaving his forecasts where they are and his target price for the shares remains at 41p.
(Due to the character limit, I’ll post this over more than one comment).
The article says:
Capita moves back into the black in delayed turnaround
The delayed turnaround at Capita has finally begun with a return to the black and the promise of rising revenues by the end of the year.
The City, for now however, remains circumspect with shares in the government contractor and corporate IT services company still firmly in the so-called 90 per cent club of stocks trading at less than one tenth of where they have been in better days.
Three and a half years into a turnaround of the company by the former oil industry executive Jon Lewis, the chief executive, it reported comparable half-year profits of ÂŁ45 million for the first half of the year against an ÂŁ11 million loss last time on flat revenues of ÂŁ1.6 billion.
For a one-time investor darling now valued on the stock market at only ÂŁ600 million, net debt has been reduced by forced disposals to ÂŁ894 million from ÂŁ1.1 billion but remains high because of pension funding catch-up payments, restructuring costs and, for instance, ÂŁ105 million of unpaid VAT bills during the pandemic.
“These results are the tangible evidence of delivery on our strategies and priorities,” said Lewis, who launched his life at Capita with a £700 million rescue rights issue from which the shares not only failed to recover but have drifted down further as the pandemic strangled the economy.
“We are seeing increasing revenues, profits and margins, and contract wins. We have removed balance sheet risk and now have sufficient liquidity to meet our debt obligations with sustainable free cash flow.”
Capita has been and remains one of the government’s favourite contractors with annualised revenues of £1.4 billion from the public purse alone, working, for instance, to digitalise the benefits system for the Department of Work and Pensions.
Of ÂŁ2.5 billion of new contracts the group picked up over the last year, ÂŁ925 million has come from a major training contract for the Royal Navy and Royal Marines, a big win for a company not just financially but reputationally given its high-profile previous problems with its recruitment contract for the British Army.
“We had already reported the green shoots of recovery and they are now firmly in the propagator and we are seeing growth and momentum building,” Lewis said.
The shares however remain stubbornly close to all time lows, ½p better on the session at 36½p but not much better than this time last year when the company disappointed investors on its rate of recovery.
At these levels the shares are trading on not much higher than six times this year’s earnings, a historical and market-wide low multiple.
Continued...
@NoFear:
Re “My dear enemy Cloudy Mountain...”
I’m not your enemy, NoFidea. A few days ago, I stuck up for two people on here to whom you were rude, and I did so politely. You were rude back (the same as the first time I commented on one of your posts, again politely). It’s what you do. It’s who you are. You can’t take criticism, presumably because you know you spout BS. So I decided to call you out on your rudeness and also your BS, of which there is plenty.
I’m not your enemy as I actually hope you do well and make lots of money - as I’ve said before. I just don’t want people blindly following you because it’s important they realise that you don’t understand the stock market while pretending you do. That’s what happened for example on CPI earlier this year - you plugged the share like a salesman and your predictions of the share raining unicorns and gold ingots were proved to be not just false but spectacularly so. You cleared off that discussion very quickly, and I don’t recall you apologising to people who followed you and lost money. No, I wasn’t one of them - I recognise BS when I see it.
You will have some success - throw enough darts at a dart board and some will hit. And you can misrepresent success - for example you claimed to have predicted the SP rise yesterday which was hilarious as shares across the board rose sharply yesterday.
If you didn’t pretend you know what you are talking about, and weren’t so rude to people who express a different opinion, I wouldn’t be calling you out.
Re “ 22 July 2021. Especially for the filtered two and Cloudy Mountain who don't like when others get it spot on well ahead of the curve. Goback into your cave you looser. Simply.(*__*).NoFear“
LOL It’s “loser”, you loser! The irony!
There’s more irony - I’m educating you. Well, you need it. I doubt you’ll take it in, though.
Your English is terrible, revealing the poor quality thought process inside your head which is why you spout BS. You’re such a loser you don’t even realise how much you give away every time you write a comment.
Anyone who follows you is setting themselves up for a fall, as happened in CPI earlier this year.
NoFidea
@NoFear:
Re: “ For all that dislike what happened (sic) this morning I'm glad to confirm that when I emailed the Harbor Energy (sic) my messages to ask what are they going to do about the dropping shares, I also accused them of running a criminal syndicate along with their Edge funds Lenders EIG. I also called them 'Gangsters' of the oil industries.”
Good God! That provides a fascinating insight into your character. A normal person would be embarrassed but not you. No! You actually publicise what you did. Wow!
Terrible English, as usual.
Re: “I guess it's better to be nice to the Linda Cook and her BoD chums”.
Yes but it’s not in your character. You’re rude to people who disagree with you (and suspiciously sickly saccharine to everyone else. It’s like Jekyll & Hyde).
@“NoFear”:
“This was a quote from me yesterday.
"Don't underestimate that there could be big players ready to get in at their desired price and this could shake the hbr share price temporatily to let them in."
I was spot on and this has changed the future direction of the hbr shares”
That’s such BS. You weren’t “spot on” at all - shares went up across the board yesterday. You’re trying to take credit for that regarding this one share - it’s remarkable BS. It’s further evidence you don’t know what you’re talking about.
@shal1000
“Also if we have more buy vols than sell vols why is price down today also. Surely that's market manipulation?“.
It’s not market manipulation and it’s very common. It’s a shame that NoFear - apologies, I forgot he shouts his name, “NOFEAR” - couldn’t explain that to you, reflecting how little he knows about the stock market.
See, as I said, you can’t take criticism.
Thanks for confirming that you have no evidence and that therefore what you said was untrue.
It’s interesting that you say “The word of god has been spoken”. There goes the projection again. Your pomposity speaks for itself. You remind me of a certain character type - the symptoms are there.
(Continued)
I commented because I saw you had insulted someone yet again, yesterday. That’s what decent people do - stick up for others. I haven’t commented on any of your posts since you were spreading BS on CPI which was many months ago.
If you look at my initial comment yesterday, it was polite. In reply, you were rude - as usual. We are very different people.
It’s always funny when someone tries to insult someone’s intelligence using poor English. It’s so common that I suspect it’s projection - unintelligent people calling people unintelligent.
The “Wow” thread is here: https://www.lse.co.uk/ShareChat.asp?ShareTicker=HBR&share=Harbour-Energy&thread=0489E1A4-4190-4C55-B684-827C20CD0B7F
Re “Pure grudge for no reasons and really shocking for them to be calling me out”.
LOL. The old ad hominem tactic. Go on then - produce evidence of this supposed grudge. You can’t because I bear none. I simply called you out on what you were doing. You are playing the victim.
Calling people out is a wise and socially useful thing to do. You plugged CPI as if a salesman and you were proved to be spectacularly wrong. Having an opinion is of course fine but you went way beyond that - it’s the way you talked the share up, terribly. Some people do that believing that it will cause more people to buy in, causing the SP to go up. I don’t know if that was your intention. You even asked people to put “strong buy” on their comments.
If people want to blindly follow you, on their head be it. They should be aware that you’ve done the same elsewhere, exuding false confidence, and been subsequently proven to be spectacularly wrong. At some stage you will be right - throw enough darts at a board and some will hit.
You’re often rude to people who dare to express a different opinion. Here’s one example, which I put on the “Wow” thread yesterday:
“... you lack a few brain cells and you're beyond ny possibility of a full recovery. Do yourself a favour and save the few that you've got left before you'll become extinct as your naked shorts”. All because he/she disagreed with you!
Re: “ ... even when I did not post nothing toward them till when they got me infiurated with their todays posts“. There’s no “they” and no “infuriated”. I noticed a contradiction between two posts a mere hour apart and decided to call you out on it. You don’t like that - I’m not surprised.
Over to you for the evidence. Which you won’t produce.
Mon 19/7/21 1254, “NoFear”:
“downbutnotout.. If you continue with posting these useless comments, I shall ask the moderator to ban you or remove your posts as you're not providing anything other than just one liners comments. You're on my watch so behave yourself. NoFear”
Same day, 1400, same person commenting:
“Yogi2015 Listen mate and listen clearly. I'm not threating you am I? So it has nothing to do with you and I'm not making a threat to you or anybody else...”
There we have it - FullOfFear says “I’m not making a threat to you or anybody else”, a mere 1 hour and 6 minutes after threatening someone else! In the same thread!
He arrogantly adds “You’re on my watch so behave yourself”. LOL - delusions of grandeur. Who does he think he is?
All Yogi2015 said was “NOFEAR - Either ask the moderator or don't but stop with the threats. They help no one”. Is “NoFear” (what a name) touchy or what?
“I love it...Keep Them Coming...So Far So Good. Neither of you would get the best of me. Hahaha. NoFear“
That shows you can’t fault what I said. Thanks for admitting that ; )
None of us know what he bought and sold it for. If it turns out he did and made a good profit, good for him - it doesn’t alter that he has a poor track record and is rude to people who hold a different opinion.
I came across him on CPI and bit my tongue for a long time. He was almost like a salesman. I was concerned about people falling for his predictions of the share raining unicorns and gold ingots. He made the most remarkable predictions which were shown to be wrong.