RE: FMO Disclosures13 Jan 2026 18:21
I’m confident because you don’t get multinational institutions like the IFC, GCF, IDB, EIB and FMO throwing such vast sums of money at a project (and approving those sums) if the project isn’t credible and going ahead.
Those DFIs alone have disclosed about $600m of debt in a project that only needs about $380m to make up the 60% debt target.
Completion on the equity side has taken a lot longer to announce than ATOME suggested it would (their May presentation said it would be done in June or July) but I think that because they’ve been waiting for the debt packages to get approved first as they are likely going to opt for a higher debt ratio as it will increase the value of their 20% free carry on the equity side (and increase ATOME’s valuation).
In my personal opinion, it would take something quite monumental to stop FID from being declared. The question is - how soon can it be done? Even end January feels a bit optimistic given how much there seems to iron out and how slow all the parties have been to date. Another delay is very possible