The main point is that our observations have been confirmed by Cairn at their AGM - AK is producing consistently at 40-45k per day - a real game changer !!!
L3 The two partial offloads made one full 550k load - as confirmed at the Cairn AGM with their 45k current production figure. The tanker left for the US with the correct draught for a 550k load.
Assuming AS hooks up today or even tomorrow that trend continues at a conservative 40-45k per day.
While Trump cannot be blamed for past history, the current situation that is developing is a 100% result of his actions - he has willingly followed the Israel's agenda of provocation towards Iran in the same way as he agreed to move the US embassy to Jerusalem and recognise the Golan Heights.
I think that they have neatly sidestepped supply problems chemistry - they have so far limited demand by not having any Polysulphate and nitrogen compound mixes.
To achieve what they have with just specailist mixes is very impressive and underlines the true potential of polyhalite.
900 jobs today could be 9000 jobs in 10 years time - one company doesn't make a whole industry but you can certainly build an industry around one company - its not just SM that has potential Teesside does as well - especially if the Government and local authorities get their fingers out.
The next few weeks have the potential to be just as traumatic for long term holders as the last few.
One thing we can concentrate on is the market cap - at the moment it is very low reflecting the current circumstances - it is little more than half the average for the last 12 months.
So, even with dilution we can expect the SP to go up at some point and with stage 2 financing agreed the jump in market cap should be significant.
The problem is when will this happen - especially with the shorts about - a lot will depend on who holds the new shares - have they gone to long term holding institutions - patience will be rewarded but it could be a long haul.
The point is L3 that they have left the door open for an upgrade - even saying that measures are in place to achieve a sustainable improvement - that has to be positive.