focusIR May 2024 Investor Webinar: Blue Whale, Kavango, Taseko Mines & CQS Natural Resources. Catch up with the webinar here.
@spacedman. You need to factor in the likely means testing of any future state pension. Anyone currently under 50 is unlikely to get a state pension IMO. Also, dividend taxation policy is already making divis much less attractive to any investor who pays tax. Will this lead to a general trend away from dividends in the long run? Finally, the tax free transfer of pension funds to spouses on our deaths is currently uuncapped. Is this an attractve and obvious target for the treasury? My personal plan is the same as yours, so I hope these things do not come to pass. But if they do then our plans will need to change.
The SFO appears to be giving us what may be a unique opportunity. Unaoil is perhaps the key. Several large businesses in the oil services sector are affected and their share prices have mostly fallen to reflect a negative outcome from the SFO. Now consider how likely is it that the SFO will be successful. On their past form? It could be a worst case of simply waiting for a compromise outcome or a best case of SFO quietly closing the case and moving on. So now I am interested to know the full range of businesses being investigated by SFO. Can anyone tell me whether this info is generally available. Is there an "SFO tracker"?
Some indication of FY trading would be nice, but on past form not likely. I bought again today as the price dipped, but then it looks like Coltrane is loosing interest? Do they know something? Probably not IMO. I think we will see an announcement sometime in May, as per usual. Between now and then might be a good time to speculate.
Bluelight - Look again, the fluctuations are more than 2%. I simply buy on a day when the low is more than -2% from the most recent peak, then set a +2% limit order and wait. This share delivers every time. Simple, but it works.
The last 5 days highs and lows = 495 - 520 - 498 - 538 - 520. Setting a 2 % limit order on buys and sells would have left one 6 % or more up (or down) this week alone. Of course, timing is everything, but this is certainly a great share for day traders, particularly as there is no stamp duty on PFC trades.
This is a great day trading share. I sold (for the third time) recently at 533 and have been waiting for some time to buy back in. 520 looks to the the bottom price for today so I am back in. If I can make 2% or so every week I am happy for these fluctuations to continue for a while longer.
This is old news, but for some reason seems to be resurfacing regularly, mostly at times when the share price is making some progress. Eventually, the market will become bored with seeing this story and ignore it. Mondays reaction, if any, will tell us whether we have reached that point or not.
So the chart showed (still shows) that 9.2 m shares traded after hours on Friday. At current price that is about �90m. Or 10% of share capital. Can anyone explain what causes this sort of blip in the volume stats, but does not appear to be a real trade?
More pension business = potentially greater risk if govt introduce some negative changes. For example, PPI was once a good business proposition. Then the legal framework changed over time away from a "buyer beware" world to a "protect at all costs" one. Look where that led. Politically this was driven by politicians winning votes from folks who made poor decisions. In time we may see exactly the same with pensions. My fear is how long before LGEN and other providers are under attack for differently perceived (or unfair) charges related to pension custodianship? Hopefully this is a small risk, but with desperate politicians, who knows. NB. Take a look at what is happening over at PFC and their (politically motivated? ) troubles with the SFO for an example of how little government seems to care about business in general, and their shareholders in particular.
The real downside risk with this share seems to me to be constant Government interference in the pensions market and the increasing regulatory burdens. Pensions management is a big part of LGEN business and both political parties seem determined to win votes from upcoming pensioners by promising all kinds of "protections". The babyboomers are being targeted. Long run Government meddling in any market is never a good thing and LGEN could easily find itself responsible for significant unforseen costs as a result.
Will be interesting to see how SP changes in the run up to Divi. Increase on last week is a classic build up but will Divi punters hold or sell out immediately? Time will tell, but on fundamentals I'll be holding. Ex Carillion directors are not a concern, they'll be an asset, bringing contacts, staff and possibly inside knowledge of contracts. Remember too that they have a new CEO at GFRD. That is a huge factor compared to CLLN.
Does anyone have a view on the latest forecast from Liberum. They just increased to 1550 from around 1200 the day before. Can the appointment of two ex Carillion directors make such a difference? I guess they could pick up more contracts with these guys. But is a near doubling of the SP really likely?