RE: Sangomar8 Mar 2024 12:08
I've been monitoring this share thinking it might be worth a punt.
But reading the february rns gives me the impression Capricorn is truly scuppered.
1) the storage facility won't be in place, constructed and fully tested & certified until at least another month or 2 (looking may at best)
2) woodside have absolutely no incentive to achieve the 72hr continuous production and 30,000 barrells of 'saleable' oil. In fact, it is in Woodside' best interests to avoid it by the june deadline as then rhey don't lose in paying out minimum £25M to Capricorn.
3) I might be 'nieve' but..... if I was Woodside i could easily run production for 70hrs, shutdown, restart after 1 hr.... "rinse & repeat'. Capricorn can't do a damn thing about it.
4) the likelyhood of the Senegal government giving in to rescinding the £25M tax+interest+penalties is seriously doubtful. At best Capricorn will have to take it through the international courts... costing millions with little hope of success.
5) The government will (imho) immediately 'arrest' any £25M+ tax etc from Woodside if they were to meet the production deadline. Woodside would have no choice in the matter. Partly because the government will likely threaten their production license, but mostly because the government will establish it as a "Priority One" debt..... just as the UK government and any other government does.
So, my question is this..... how the Hell is Capricorn going to get over all those hurdles?
What are their plans to even negate any of the above?
Note: any 'contract', guarantee etc with Woodside for payments etc is legally null & void if (aka when) the government claims a Priority 1 debt.