RE: First Mover Advantage2 Dec 2025 14:02
@cn I’m pretty sure the author does cite 50 hy 5 as his base case, whereas afc say that by the end of next year they will have a couple of prototypes and early 2027 there will be the first two customer units.
‘As production ramps up 50 will be minuscule’ - what you’re missing here is that as of today, a full containerised hy-5 does not exist in real life. They need to build it test it, test it in the field etc, before they can think about ramping up production. They are creating this product from scratch, so I think 2027 is a more realistic timeframe to have testing, prototyping and certification done. They can’t just create these things out of thin air and we can’t expect they’re going to be pushing these out at scale before they’ve completed these stages. I’m not trying to pour cold water over the hype but for me there’s a big gap in what is stated by the company and this article. For the fuel cells to really fly off the shelves the fuelling of them needs to be in place. Afc have only even created 20 fuel cells, for that they have a partner, for the hy 5 we don’t currently that’s in house, so all of that still would need to be put in place…