Member Info for big-blue

There are dark propaganda forces at work within the EU working against the Astra vaccine. There has been a very significant loss of face within the EU commission and a black opps squad is trying to pull down the 'UK' vaccination - first to halt it's use and secondly to make the UK pay compensation to Europe in the future. The blood clot lie is set to grow, despite no evidence to back up the claims.

"expects a 5% rise with no further detail’."

It was based on an expectation based on uncrossed trades, but I was shot down for suggesting they may influence opening prices so I avoid the can of worms. It is a 50/50 call what the open will be. I believe I am rather particular in either qualifying my thoughts with references or debatable points.

I hope it goes up so I can skim off some money for unexpected work on cladding of sauna boards in the bathroom refit. Turning into the Forth bridge, by the time the last bit of trimming is finished it'll be time to start again.

Too complex, will take time and extra cost. You are also relying then on others carrying out the admin without fault and error. We need a very simple two way system, outbound and return. If you are vacced, you either have a card with a Q code that can be scanned at ANY port of entry globally or if you are a smart phone user, the app doesn't only work with the very latest versions of the operating system, you have sufficient battery for the display left, haven't got a cracked screen and didn't leave it in the car/house/taxi.

I for reasons that should be obvious favour a Q code that you can print out and keep inside your passport. It can be emailed to you by whoever keeps the record of your vac or tests. You are then not relying on your technology to actually work [and my god the number of failures I have seen at gates with people trying to use the smart phones for boarding passes]. You can also access it in difficult circumstances as long as the local feds that have just arrested you for turning left without signal have any computer with internet access! From experience? Oh yes, always email a scan of my passport to myself in case hotels insist on holding on to it lest I do a runner.

Institutions that use smart phones have a habit of believing everybody else is gun ho to have the very latest upgrade and software version and often do not follow ANSI standards and the app is as far back compatible as the child that programmed the app, i.e. any device older than 6 month will not work.

The bar code can be scanned easily outward bound and on the return. If the UK government insists on an airport test pre departure on the return leg due to red list countries, separate bar codes can be easily issued. There is in fact nothing at all for an authority to stick the 2D bar code in your passport, exactly like a visa is! If you end up with half a dozen of them, then that is just like a busy passport!

Further, tests which only capture a small amount of infected people as demonstrated by the failed test and trace which a lot of people said could never work [part of the tech reasons described above] must be only charged at cost. And if any tourist office has half a brain they would be subsidising or even covering the cost of any return leg test if required by the UK. Travellers are very savvy these days at spotting hidden prices and will switch to alternative destinations without even a shrug of their shoulders. Lots of regional airports around holiday sun spots in EU discovered this when they tried to pull the taxi con be refusing local coach access. Frankly, how many people stepping of a thirty quid flight to Araxos are then going to think it is OK to cough up another fifty quid for a taxi.

Keep it simple, for the traveller keep the tech to an absolute minimum and favour hard copies, keep the costs down or even make extras like tests free.

"“We are seeing surveys from a lot of corporate customers that are showing a degree of fatigue with homeworking and remote working.

“You do business with people, not organisations, and the ability to get face-to-face again will come back and will be part of the way people want to operate in the future.”"

My thoughts are more progressed than that, I think there will be a very rapid return to business and first travel. The A380 refit hinted at in the Independent's article may be much sooner than they think. Also the expansion in Med routes, again I was expecting this especially to the islands. BA taking Ryanair and Easy Jet on head to head with free snacks. Go for it!

Vacc passport still a bit on the messy side with various key groups not quite talking to each other again. I had expected a much better coordination of a vacc passport with a corresponding sharp increase in sp to cash-in on. Still waiting but I think a globally recognised vacc passport 'system' let's call it is now very much closer than before - stake holders probably becoming more tuned in as the vacc rolls out worldwide. Had expect EU news on that 12th March, but seems to be delayed to next week. Which means each member of the design committee is trying to get their influence and therefore the EU scheme will have a whole heap of flaws and be impracticable with testing, quarantine, amputations and zombie pens are some such crap - can't they do anything. Government by committee, never ever works.

April 12th is the next big day.

https://www.fcmtravel.com/en-au/resources/news-hub/conference-call-versus-in-person

The case before covid, during covid and will still be the case post covid. If anything, I would say that those who have had to do conference calls because of covid have not been converted much and will opt for face to face as a preference. And as far as extending the argument to private life and family, that is a no brainer. Ever tried starting a family over Skype? Difficult isn't it - and then of course when it all leaks out on Instagram....... yikes!

David, 12-18 weeks, perhaps. as we are at the first anniversary of the first lockdown in the UK, 12 months ago. A year is a long, long, long time when being lived. I think planes will be filled as fast as they are returned to service when working with vacc passports and tests for those without. By the time the winter comes back round in the northern hemisphere the herd immunity will be well progressed. HOWEVER, as the Southern hemisphere moves to wards winter, will travel down under be so free for the first year while vax programs are being rolled out down there???? That might be the only limiting factor for the next 8 months.

https://calgary.ctvnews.ca/governments-around-world-mull-the-idea-of-a-vaccine-passport-1.5339309

Again this issue of fairness over rights to travel if you don't have a vaccine when vacc passports are introduce.

HOWEVER, as the article points out, if you don't have a negative covid test at the moment - you can't travel. Is that discrimination? Seems stopping travel based on a covid test is acceptable, but not the same as for a vacc passport. Solution is simple, if you don't have a vacc passport, then you must have a series of negative tests over 10 days to demonstrate you are not a carrier. That way the non-vaccinated will have equal access to travel as those showing a vacc passport. It works - restrictions already in place regarding testing!!!!!

https://www.travelagewest.com/Industry-Insight/Business-Features/New-Airport-Upgrades-Will-Change-the-Air-Travel-Experience

Read this, look at how much cash is being spent on airports in the US alone and tell me that no effort is going to made to get air travel back to square one. Whilst some predict business travel is finished and conference calls will take over, despite the fact they were already available yet business travel was growing, the travel sector does not make plans on this scale believing a market is going to shrink!

https://www.travelagewest.com/Industry-Insight/Business-Features/New-Airport-Upgrades-Will-Change-the-Air-Travel-Experience

Here is an interesting point to note. With the drop in passengers disrupting terminal works....

Reginald Williamson
Reginald Williamson • 3rd+ Senior Corporate Counsel at Delta Air Lines 2d • Edited •
2 days ago
"Can any good come from this? ... The most significant silver linings may be found at big construction projects at congested airports like LAX and LGA."

WSJ with a nice summary of my past 12 months: supporting the rock stars in Delta Corporate Real Estate, who found extraordinary opportunity in the face of an unprecedented pandemic and have shaved 2 years off the LAX and LGA Programs.

--I known that just about every airport I have ever travelled too, a new terminal was being built. Many of those projects and upgrades will have advanced significantly. Interesting................................................

https://www.linkedin.com/news/story/signs-air-travel-is-nearing-takeoff-4358033/

Skindle, I am sure you will find this and many share is valued not on a strict day by day, week by week, month by month basis. There are two markets, the technical market based on mathematical evaluation based on the past, and then the future market based on a sentiment of a valuation in the future. The future market is also an emotional market. When buying to sell at a profit the technical market is easily overridden by the emotional future market. There are some sophisticated trader desks that are exclusively focused on the emotional market. I have warned on a number of occasions here about that. You have done your trading on the technical, I am doing mine on the emotional based on the expectation of how others are interpreting and responding the news around the stock and the company technicals. One thing that makes me very comfortable to be back in holding at what I call level three is that if the iis thought that there was no future room for improvement, the iis would have cashed in by now. The game for us future pis is second guessing when the iis will pull the plug. The week leading up to April 12th and just beyond is my guess at the moment.

Discussion about loss size or valuation has very little to do with this and other stocks at the moment. Good luck elsewhere.

Carondean, article looks like a bit of classic news spin - something to get your name in the papers. I am sure somebody has suggested the idea, then those that know how to do the maths will report back. If any long haul craft are used I would expect them to be on the longest routes, Outer edges of EU, Israel and Cyprus. The time it takes to complete all the regulation paperwork though - that make take a long time all though Norweigian did manage to fly some 777s short haul.

Newtothis, I think the climb has to be factored in, the cruising and decent uses the least fuel, so you have eight climbs with 4 round trips short haul for two climbs long haul. Need an expert on modern engines, I know these days routes and planes are kind of made to measure, otherwise you would think all airlines would be using spare large aeroplanes where possible.

As long as the turnaround is organised to be smooth

Wow, busy day on the chat. Trouble keeping up!

Completely dead day across all my stocks only RR up marginally, everything else down a bit. To be honest, it is a bit weird, being so quiet.

Actually, all 7 of mine are showing red - something clearing through, some figures just released?????

More like down tomorrow! Surprised at the opening not going up, straight away, but there you go, sp are full of surprises.

I won't say why because I'll just be shot down but I expect at least 5% open and should last and may be increase to close. There might be U shape due to mid day profit talking but tomorrow I think looks good - blood clot story nowhere to go.