Member Info for big-blue

wrong again cw1965, the PM did not say the virus would spread over here again, he said the consequences would inevitably wash up on our shores. The consequences are re-entering lockdown. The consequence is economic in many ways from logistics to travel. The effects of EU lockdowns will filter back with economic consequences for UK, i.e. in the travel sector and holidays. There is no room for misinterpretation of his words.

"a poor travel policy that changes one day to next with no clarity in between"

What's changed? It is the same as when the roadmap was announced. The only addition appears to be stricter enforcement for the remaining no travel window.

Wow, look, over there, diamond nine formation about angels 10, my god, are they... are they.... they are, pigs, nine flying pigs in diamond formation. Wow, must be some sort of fly past for the 1 year minuet of silence or something. Never seen that before. Flying pigs. Well I never!

PFen, it is a measure to deal with people trying to go on holiday over the long Easter weekend 2-5th April and end of school term. Trying to avoid people jumping the gun ahead of the planned, announced, trailed, we all know about it, end of lockdown schedule. Nobody was supposed to be trying to go abroad before mid May, all this was known. The market reaction from a couple of attention seeking talking heads is a bit OTT. Mind you, there is a short amount of time left to get your name registered in people's mind ahead of the post lockdown book deals and documentaries [to promote your book].
We are approaching cashing in time for a lot of individuals, special interest groups and ideological gurus. You have probably noticed a few popping up trying to sell their ideas on how to build society in a new visage. Given unemployment has only increased 1%, the great poverty calamity some are trying to sell to justify their Marxist ideas are a bit wide of the mark.
It'll get worse, black opps from EU seems to be following Astra around the planet picking at anything and nothing and the full rage of the EU against the UK has not surfaced yet. UK is not failing. It is boiling brains in the commission. Travel restrictions maybe imposed in the summer not due to covid hotspots, but because of political instability!!!!!

Keep it 360, volcanos going pop in Iceland might ground everything again and that includes air freight.

I'm still on for 250 on [or very close to] April 12th when travel plan released.

Noted on the Han**** interview R4 this morning, pressed hard to declare travel and holidays not going ahead until hell freezes over but very resistant and making a key point about the government currently making plans to facilitate holidaying. What is missing from the reporting is leaks about what those arrangements might comprise. The sp will be very much higher when they are known. My estimate is isolated holiday islands, and gated holiday resorts. Some countries with more secure boarders, i.e. non-Shengan, will be allowed to apply for green light but there will be warnings of the potential for quick changes. I suspect the testing lobby will be successful to impose some sort of return testing, but not the PCR. This is despite test and trace proving to be useless as a lot of people said it would. The big news stink will be some people will have booked holidays in places like Provance and Tuscany which will be mainland and hence red light. Big complaints that people were led to beleive booking was OK with no fore warning which areas would be non-go areas.

https://www.thenorthernecho.co.uk/news/19155411.effective-new-covid-vaccine-made-teesside-will/

Don't forget, there are new vaccines also to come on line with 10s of millions of doses being made ahead of approval. If the vaccination campaign seems fast now - -just wait until the next ones come on line. We will be drowning in the bloody stuff soon.

Too early to try and make estimates of what the report on travel will say on April 12th - the summary will become clear in the week before. This hysterical response to highly selective leaks is exactly what you are supposed to do. So go and sell your shares at a loss. iis have plenty of space to take on board your shares. Or, keep a 360 sense of perspective and look for what is missing in the reporting.

Well? Tells us which gaps and candles are going to filled today. What will the sp be if it is so obvious?

How about actually calling it BEFORE the event rather than the slap-on-head revision statements. What is going to happen the the sp today? You can have a 50/50 rise or fall. Go on - have a guess, sorry I mean see where the planets line up in your star sign and make up your horoscope for the sp predictions.

No flights to EU. hummmmm.... realy.

I invite you to look at flightradar24.com

Click on some of the icons in our outward bound.

Then come back here and tell me there ate no flights to Europe today, tomorrow or in 19 trading days time.

I got one thing right, the iis were vacuuming up those shares in droves. There were so many orders to get through we didn't see a live price for 5mins. This has been an exercise of pi money being transferred to iis. Plain and simple. They took advantage of a mega media deramp and pounced. A lot of people in the media will have been on top of this, probably disappointed not to be able to buy in much lower, but access to CREST has its privileges in the queue. In fact, given the big huff and puff, you will have been lucky to get in at 195 or lower with a typical retail trader account. Going back up to 210, that isn't that much of a mega return. I'll be getting more than that with free ride on issue tomorrow, looks like 13% in the bag!

For the novices, the chartists derive there mumbo-jumbo based on cycle events in commodities. As Winter follows autumn, one crop follows another. The technique develops to look for patterns in weather and pest yield and try and derive what the crop will be like, then trade on the future harvest. That has been extrapolated in to just looking at share price numbers, and that is where it diverges in to nothing more than mystic meg territory. Future sp is influenced by real world events that are not variables on any graph. Weather events, political muck ups, trends, dramas, world cup results - none of them factor into the graph. Like homeopathy, chartists can spin the yarn and make it sound very convincing. Ask now, based on these gaps and graphs, what will the sp be at 16:25 on the 12th November. Will it be > 200 or <200. So, chartists, based on your graphs, gaps, candle sticks and dildos, what will it be - state it NOW!

Honestly, trying to make the argument that the random lines on a chart are somehow justified and case proven. The current share price does not know what the past price was, just like the current lottery balls do not know what the past draws were. Volatility and ups and downs are written into to this share like most. And if time is not a factor, then what the hell is the use of such predictions? If I say now, and keep repeating, the sp will be 212.2 in the future, when it passes 212.2 does that suddenly qualify the methodology used? No of course it doesn't. Your graphs are like lucky charms, a bit of positive reinforcement and you start to believe wearing red pants will make the sp go up because it happened twice before. I am genuinely stunned people are actually buying this rubbish.
Right, according to my method of moon waxing and the amount of rainfall over the last month, I predict the sp will be between 87 and 269 at some point in the future.

Holly crap - the sp is 196 right now -that's within my range - omfg my system works. Follow me, follow me, I have the shoe, it is a sign like that burning bush over there........

It is SNAKE OIL!!!!
I did it saying the sp would hit 168p for a laugh. It was always going to. People have been predicting drops here and there all the way from November, only those who have predicted the news even with the sp movement have any creditability. How many times have the shyster chartists claimed 150, 150, 150, 150 but day by day nothing? No chart predicted an errant talking head and media storm over very short term defeatist doom and gloom travel predictions.

If you really believe this sort of dip was actually predicted by a chart then there is no hope. This is driven entirely by news events being ramped out of control.

Like hell was the weekend predicted by a chart, absolute bull****!

Easy J -6%, IAG-4% RR -2.3%

The dip pattern reflects the miss-information over the weekend.

More tea I think.

Where are all the chartists?

Shouldn't they be all over the board reposting their cast iron predictions proving the smoke and mirrors is real world and not snake oil?

Well?

Where are they?

200 already topped. , now moving into what could be considered normalish day movement up and down, although if it ended 3% down it would be a bad day

The city boys and girls are having to change the dust bags already on those vacuums already! Stuffed full of gullible PI shares. Heading back over 200 now, city def has a level 3 that is is going to sit on to April 12th.

Remember, it is the week before April 12th that the clues will be found as to what kind of travel opportunities their will be. Listen out for isolated resorts, islands and designated travel zones. Greece will potentially do very well out of that.

I think the under promise over deliver is already priced into the road map. There was heavy emphasis on the 4 key tests. 4 tests is harder to accomplish than 2 or 3 and they can always invent a 5th test if they want.
The most pertinent question though is already in the media. Why would 'I' have to have restrictions if 'I' have been vaccinated? What was the point of the vaccination then?
Lots of flapping of arms trying to answer. The great success of the UK vaccination program is going to quickly become a mill stone if Downing St is not careful. And using importing of variants as an excuse to restrict travel will not work. If that were the case, then the vaccination program should only have gone ahead with a vaccine that covered all the [headline] variants.

It's not a fix, it is normal for stocks with a lot of attention and volume. People put orders in and sit back expecting the computer to perform a miracle while they sip their morning tea.
In fact, the traders with direct access to CREST will have put buys on the system way below the order levels knowing that the retail investor computers will just keep marking down the acceptable sell price until it hits the traders price.
Never ever use orders and especially if there is a chance your order will be triggered during any level of volatility. The iis computers are programmed to make massive gains on pis orders.
A lot of pis will be getting their trade notices now, many will be seeing sell prices way down in the 170's and fuming at how the hell did that happen.
Looks like the morning opening has settled to about 7% down based on the response to weekend news, this will be but territory and average down territory for many pis. The traders will continue trying to hoover up the cheap shares and I will still say this will end up green on the day. I think the iis have settled on a level 3 plateau and they will have the sp back in the 210s very quickly having stocked up and cheap panic sell shares.
I'm just sitting back sipping my tea tutting at the numpties who have just thrown it all away. April 12th is the target date.