Member Info for big-blue

"I say 200+ by Friday when NYSE opens(ish) an the basis that a cease fire is agreed in Israel, India is reporting a sustained fall in covid cases and deaths for at least a third day in a row leading to significant improvement in health service ability (oxygen supplies steady for example) and the government not indicating a change to June lockdown end as India variant is manageable with existing vaccines but a major push to increase vaccination in Asian communities in UK is required."

News from India has relaxed, the latest cases graph from India shows the peak in new cases may have passed;
https://graphics.reuters.com/world-coronavirus-tracker-and-maps/countries-and-territories/india/

We don't have a cease fire in Israel yet, but the expected ground offensive has not gone ahead either. I suspect the cease fire declaration is imminent.

And the planed road map of 21st June to end lockdown is still on.

So NYSE it's down to you, 6p of finishing 200p+. How close will my uneducated random casino guess be???

I would say viren that the sector is being buffeted about by decisions that do not follow logical process. To start with, a simple vaccine passport was an obvious option. It is coming about in fits and starts and too many systems competing to be top dog for financial and political reasons. There is the politics of it all, who is really calling the shots on resuming open travel. Then there is the power mungers. Having gained a level of control over entire nations, it is a human frailty to stand back and relinquish control. In all the end to lockdown is turning into a messy affair wrt to the travel sector. As countries and regions are able to return to normal functions through vaccinations, the lid on the lockdown pressure cooker is going to release tensions. I found the mixed society in Israel and especially Jerusalem a great hope for the future and this breakdown into partisan fights is a big shame, but a possible release of built up lockdown pressure now able to emerge. How much more of that are we going to see elsewhere? It seems to me that the potential that IAG could achieve is going to be tempered routinely with 'events events events'. It is big enough to survive, it is big enough to ride the storms but as an investor the rainbow is fading as the year progresses and the pot of gold has shrunk. I expect one, maybe two, large profit takes but the whole sector is becoming very unpredictable looking forward a year or so. Covid issues are most likely going to be replaced with conflict issues, especially as the EU politics becomes active post continental lockdown and address the brexit problem. Next year, gold ingots under the floor boards might be the safest option!

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9577155/Former-Joint-Chiefs-chairman-blasts-retired-generals-questioned-Bidens-mental-fitness.html

This is one to worry about. Consequences of political turmoil in the states often impacts stocks worldwide.

If you want to only exist in an echo chamber of your own thoughts, get your little group together and set up your own private little board where you can tell each other what each wants to hear and cut out the rest of the world. If you find alternative opinions anger you, I suggest you explore before it gets you into trouble. I understand for some the huge crash you have pinned your personal reputations on hasn't happened and that significant loss of face has spilled over into attacking a poster on this discussion board. Got it out of your system now?

If I had a thousand watches, half broken and the other half set to random times, I would still struggle to get the time right. And who's time would be right? London, New York, Fiji? You make a profound point - but perhaps the punch line is not as intended nor on the target aimed for.

I stopped wearing a watch many years ago. A very significant liberation of the mind. I recommend it!

"Infamy, infamy. They've all got it in for me."

Awwwrrrrr, grow up you lot. You are really throwing those toys out of the pram no aren't you. You were all so **** happy with the dip yesterday and smug to heaven and back Big Blue had called it wrong only to see it almost end green. Big loss of face for you. And today where is the big crash?

It seems there is a little huddle of derampers ****ed that the sp isn't doing what they predicted, so they gang up on a poster and start spitting feathers. Pathetic. Go and sit in a quite corner and reevaluate your sad pathetic existence and come out making yourselves better people.

It was always a bit odd Portugal alone being on the green list but not the other holiday islands. With Portugal extending lockdown, this may have been a grievous error. Should have opened the islands first. The restriction to incoming travellers to Portugal now extended to end of May actually means the lifting of UK travel ban on 17th does not mean you can go to Portugal. Either there is going to be a rather strict testing and tracing enforcement within Portugal or entry restrictions remain and throw the whole of resumption of free travel up in the air. Another fine mess....

what is it, la -la -la -la -la, can't hear you can't see you? I have known many people who only hear what they want to hear in their little echo chambers. None of them amount to much, none of them have happiness, all of them are basic bigots one way or another and all of them have constant relationship problems. The inability to hear, listen, observe and consider is the fundamental elementary requirement for a relaxed happy successful life. Without it you will be dogged by fear and uncertainty as you will not have the 360 on what is going around you. I actually feel sorry for those who just ignore other peoples views. It is a great loss to them and they will just waddle away through life ignorant of their fellow humans; no empathy, no compassion. Sad.

Shi.t happens? Portugal move doesn't sound good for all those who booked a holiday. It is going to be a roller coaster. Might be sitting on my hands again for weeks despite a decent recovery on the day. Far too risky I think to day trade now, too volatile with media outlets at risk of trying to out do each other with doom headlines. No trading for a week I think.

oh get over yourself. You're making a fool of yourself now guesswronx

my god guesswronx, you are hypocrisy personified!

I am expecting a few news spooking wobbles up and down. Whilst some got their willies out seeking to troll those who don't follow their narrative, it was a short lived show of bravado. There is going to be much more of this, tomorrow has a high probability of going in the exact opposite direction due to news flow. I was never worried, despite the finger pointing and snide remarks. You see, I know what I am doing, which allows me a trouble free play.

I shall save my playground parade for another day. Some of you have had too much excitement for one day.

" There is no reason why this share will not finish blue today, especially with all those investors like you out there that are far more clever than the rest of us put together."

I am so much looking forward to close today, I'll be off the bench running around the playground in full display mode - will need to borrow a wheel barrow of course. Thank you to all those pis who are so much more clever than the rest of us. As you may well soon see, some willies are much bigger than others.

well, back to positive and still 90 mins left. To compare the IAG sp (share price) with crypto currency is just ridiculous. There is not in any way the tinniest similarity. So, 5p or about 2.5% away from 200 by lunch time tomorrow. OK guesswonx, you looking for 170 with continued dips under 185. We are talking about the same share aren't we? Just checking!

Anyway, I'm off to devour another bucket of KFC chicken.

Soggy sandwiches in a tractor, huh!

I went back in at 196, perfectly happy with that as it was sub 200.

I would put a great deal more weight on foreign agency news reports than I would on anything from the BBC or USA!!!!!! Anyway, always read between the lines and always keep the 360. If you only take your news feed from one or two 'western' sources you can not have a 360 picture. Whether the Indian news report is true or not is not the point, what you are discovering is the more prominent narratives may not be as accurate as they first seem and you also have to bear in mind what your fellow investors are seeing and how they may be reacting. Same goes for the information iis are seeing and how they are interpreting. The Taiwan stock market fall hasn't even been noted on the usual news outlets here. But the impact of it will reverberate worldwide. It is always good to follow a range of alternative news sources and I am confident in my 3 predictions. In fact a sp of 200 by lunch tomorrow might be a bit of an underestimate. Recovery is already underway going into the afternoon.

Why this rise and fall? What are the reasons for it. Go on, stick your neck out.

I say 200+ by Friday when NYSE opens(ish) an the basis that a cease fire is agreed in Israel, India is reporting a sustained fall in covid cases and deaths for at least a third day in a row leading to significant improvement in health service ability (oxygen supplies steady for example) and the government not indicating a change to June lockdown end as India variant is manageable with existing vaccines but a major push to increase vaccination in Asian communities in UK is required.

and I didn't say 180/170 was pre vaccine, that range was the recovery level AFTER the vaccine was announced, the level would be very much below that if there was no vaccine announcement.

congratulations guesswronx, what do you want? A medal? Many have speculated when, where and how low would a buy dip be after the disappointing green list. Many have made their guess, some have gambled events can happen which will crash the price and wait for that. Others gamble that events will not happen and there will be no lower entry point. I posted, shi.t happens, you never know. As I am reading world news reports this dip actually seems to be related to, amongst other things, Taiwan stock market big fall a couple of days ago. With the world market sequence it can take a couple of days for reverberations to come through and played against the Israel situation and shock news reports on delaying the June end to lockdown you end up with compounded news events. However, it is noted that people who make wild market crash predictions, never give a time scale nor an indication of the reasons why it may happen. I am yet to find one single credible price fall prediction with reasoning given BEFORE the event. A lot of people post crashes, they are forgotten when they don't happen or claim they told us all so some weeks latter if a pandemic kicks off or something actually resulting in a fall!

You, for example, cited the variants and India as a future prediction for further falls in sp. This news story is already 2 days old, and whilst it doesn't fit in with the BBC doom and gloom click bait headline, it indicates just how the narrative can flip over in hours. There is no reason why this share will not finish blue today, especially with all those investors like you out there that are far more clever than the rest of us put together.

http://newsonair.com/Main-News-Details.aspx?id=416412

RR maintaining it's prediction for flying hours as lockdowns open up into the second half of 2021.

I'm perfectly comfortable guesswronx. For me I want to minimise the length of lockins as the oscillation of sp is pretty well established in reaction to the news agenda. To drop into the levels you are talking about means going pre-vaccination announcement. I can not see how you can turn back time that far, you can not un-invent the vaccine. So I have to sit on my hands for a week or so more than wanted. If you are on the right side of this dip, great, buy in! I am perfectly happy where I bought in, and the same rule applies as it has for the last 40 years, as long as I sell for a profit it is all good. I need about £350+ profit overall for a fridge upgrade. The new bathroom has been almost entirely paid for from profits taken since January on my return to a bit of day trading, I have a bigger investment pot than I started with and no particular concerns.

Never lament what could have been, enjoy what actually is.