Member Info for big-blue

Tacticians in the Kremlin will have noted the initial response of the west to the nuclear sabre rattling, job done. But they will also be aware extensive intelligence and war gaming will have been undertaken because Putin threatened offensive use. They will note the assessment of Russia as a nuclear threat has been massively downgraded and around western powers the initial shock will be replaced with an acceptance of a likely nuclear exchange and provisional plans made/dusted off in readiness. Also, the western nuclear powers have prepped the warheads and delivery systems and let Russia 'see' it, although the US rather stupidly cancelled some missile tests whilst Russia carried out theirs. That would only encourage Putin. The tacticians in Moscow will know exactly who would win even a small low yield exchange and know Russia would be invaded from all sides to stop any more.

Personally I don't think the command chain is strong enough to result in a successful detonation in any country. Note the words very carefully, a lot can go wrong. Like jewish slave prisoners forced to build the V2 rockets for the Germans to fire on London. They did things like pee on the giro systems ensuring they were useless as a targeted weapon.

"He says it increases the chances of a US-Russian confrontation."

Good! Let's get it over and done with.

https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20220530-russian-speakers-in-ukraine-reject-the-language-of-the-enemy-by-learning-ukrainian

Rejectio, rejection, rejection. In so many ways, planet wide at all levels from government level sanctions to individual businesses and sports events,it is global rejection of Russia.

Even Russian speakers want to ditch Russian to speak Ukrainian. Nobody wants to be associate with the child murdering rapists from Russia.

And this is going to continue for a very long time.

With the news of Shanghai substantially ending lockdown, and appearing to end zero covid, I expect big stock market bounce with rare possibility of some day trading with poly.

Big blue day.

https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2022/05/three-more-nations-join-ukraine-planning-cell-run-army-special-forces/367574/

Everyday, the pressure builds. How long before the Russian generals throw in the towel? They KNOWN what is coming, what has started, yet they continue on a course of mass murder of their troops. Perhaps when, if they ever, sober up they will come to their senses.

yup, Howitzers pretty darn effective. And out of Russian range.

And there is a lot more to come for the child murdering raping filthy dogs from Russian

Total defeat, nothing less.

Russia beginning to lay the ground for attacking Poland

https://www.newsweek.com/putin-ally-claims-poland-already-moving-take-ukrainian-territory-1711764?piano_t=1

What quote and who is Bruce Jones? Sorry you missed me, was present at scattering of ashes.

https://www.malaymail.com/news/world/2022/05/31/georgias-breakaway-region-ditches-referendum-on-joining-russia/9740

Now, why do you think joining Russia is deemed not such a good idea now?

We are going to be hearing more and more about a wide range of events against Russia all around it's borders. There are a lot of pis.sed of Chinese in the east... you maybe bearing some extraordinary news from there very soon.

China and Russia best buds? Are you sure?

Restless voices in the Caucasus... India reevaluating which side of the bread is buttered and others weighing up how hard the Russian defeat will impact them for supporting them.

Did you notice, dozens of countries donating military kit, resources and money to Ukraine. Nobody is giving or even offering anything to Russia.

Go figure.

olps, you forgot the scenario of Russians stopping hostilities independently and coup in Moscow.

Those hanging on to scenarios like stalemates in order to restore some sort of Russian pride are not going to see it. Russia started a nasty violent child killing war, AGAIN. The mistakes of not supporting te attacked have come back to haunt the west and this is much closer to home. As the murder has dragged on it has become more obvious to the western powers as expressed in their statements that Russia may not be allowed any level of victory.

So you might as well forget about the fantasies of of winning the war or expanding Russia. It isn't going to happen.

A German on R4 SDP I think stating no pressure on Ukraine to cede territory and France/Germany not setting up with Putin, resolution is to remove Russia from Ukraine territory either militarily or by negotiation.

Whether regions decide on autonomy or not, or even to become Russian (despite being bombed to hell and back by Russia) is only going to happen AFTER Russia withdraws its troops. It is a basic fact that is going to have to be accepted including for some of the fantasists of this board.

"in a research note on Monday, February 7th. "

And I thin this just underlines how delusional some are having to be. Citing pre war market sentiments as if nothing has happened. Seriously? What is this, stick your fingers in your ears, la la la, nothing happened noting append la la la??

To actually be in a place where the murderous child killing aggression of Russia is practically dismissed to live in a fantasy land where Russia is loved and people welcome you with flowers and open arms. And I am the one whose mental health is questioned!!!!

https://en.hromadske.ua/posts/more-ukrainian-successes-in-the-south-another-shelling-of-mykolayiv-oblast-last-nights-highlights

""With multiple credible reports of localised mutinies amongst Russia's forces in Ukraine, a lack of experienced and credible platoon and company commanders is likely to result (in) a further decrease in morale and continued poor discipline," it said."

It's the attrition rate stupid!

I am hearing from sources I can not post there is an absolute carnage of Russian forces, a lot of it red on red too. Troops trying to run and withdraw are being fired on by a rear guard whilst it is raining shells from the Ukraine side who are out of range of the Russian guns now. The press forward is now on the basis the chances of survival going towards the enemy is better than trying to withdraw to your own lines.

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/uk-says-russia-suffers-devastating-losses-among-lower-ranked-officers-2022-05-30/?rpc=401&

The generals have let this carry on for three Sunday's now. How much longer? The truth of the huge losses is clearly making its way back to the local authorities in Russia. Russia is being hammered for a mile or two of land they will never be able to hold anyway.

The end will come suddenly with a Russian ceasefire starting at the frontline. We need to hope it lights a fuse that quickly burns back to the Kremlin triggering a wide coup and a completely new regime is quickly established.

https://www.thenationalnews.com/world/europe/2022/05/30/ukraine-launches-counter-attack-to-recapture-kherson-as-donbas-city-breached/

As I said last week, Ukraine will push south to retake south coast areas and beak the land bridge. This is a staging post for retaking Crimea latter.

"Russian oil producer Rosneft (ROSN.MM) said on Monday that it would pay a record dividend of 41.66 roubles ($0.63) "

On whose orders lol. I would love to hear what the board thinks or that idea. It might give the false impression everything is hunky dory and mislead muscovites who receive some income from the shares that the war is having no impact, but gien how much bulk sales is being lost, to give away so much rather than keeping a reserve is economic suicide. Nationalisation to follow.

The fuel prices were rocketing before the invasion thanks to China pursuing a zero covid policy with lock downs. The prices are a world market price so everybody is equally affected whether they are involved in sanctions or not. Russia is trying to withdraw from the international market and set up single individual sales, but of note is how short term the deals are. As the global spot falls, it will go below any Russian offer and Russia will find it has lost global supply and will not be able to sell to previous customers or its new customers. Russia will lose its ne single main export and at the same time as many countries are switching to EV (for better or worse).

serbia was not on board from the start siding with Russia. Hungry is doing a Germany looking after its own interests with a bit of payback for the ****ging off it has received from the EU because they are one the right wing of politics. Bit of a warning shot across the bows that it is supposed to be a union not a german/france centric dictatorship. Hungary will be accomodated and Germany will have to spread the money pot out a bit more - long overdue.

big purge of troll posts

big purge of troll posts