RE: happy with the results today21 Mar 2019 07:48
I've finally had time to read the results in detail.
While I'm surprised that they are slightly worse than laid out in the last update (hopefully due to kitchen sinking) I remain excited by the technology. Importantly, the view laid out in the report is backed up by the constant drumbeat of product launches and previews from the wider markets for all IQE's key technologies.
Combine with, "Site rationalisation, increased production capacity and new products will deliver margin expansion, growing profitability and increasing free cash flow in 2019 and beyond," And we'll hopefully see a transformation of IQE's finances by the end of 2019.
Also interesting that the results were achieved with the same capacity as 2017. So none of the investment in restructuring and capacity build is showing on the bottom line yet.
The biggest worry for me is - committed 40M CAPEX and slow 1H 2019 vs. 20M cash and 35M finance facility. This doesn't rule out fund raising of some kind in my mind. Could be tight to get through H1 without needing more cash. 1H could have lots of positive news flow to keep us excited though if the company decides to announce customer qualification in Newport and plant restructuring completions.
There's lots of room in these results for spin and manipulation. I'm therefore surprised the SP didn't dip further. Was ready to buy a few more in the 60s expecting it would settle a bit higher later on. Didn't happen though. I suppose all this was baked in due to Apple and supply chain announcements over the last few months. The recent rise gave it some room to pull back. Overall it seems like a fairly neutral reaction.