it's pretty clear16 Oct 2019 08:37
that there was a change in behaviour yesterday - not just the SP rise, but the fact that after an initial attempt to hold back the price with 200K, 300K and then another 200K sells there was a much more limited attempt to hold it back later on. It would seem that control may have shifted from one market maker to another.
Despite this the balance of trades is reasonably close to neutral - meaning that those Market Makers who are now actively engaged in making the market are not currently taking long or short positions - that is they are selling to us only what they can buy from us. They are doing this because they dare not take a short position with so much good news due so shortly, but equally they may not be able to take a long position because 1) we will not sell them that many shares, because we are not so dumb and 2) the market maker that was handing out tame sellers shares seems to have stopped doing it as they may have run out of shares or enthusiasm for indulging their competitors.
Thus if the currently in control MMs can get shares to sell they will be more than happy to move the price up in order to sell those shares at higher prices. if you are buying then the race is therefore currently on to get in before the rest of the herd.