Member Info for Aldebaran

Dilution is not irrelevant ever but its ok. Problem with it is sentiment more then anything.

Anyway price now sat right on 200dma so expecting it to pull away from here or hope anyway. Do not want to see another close below in such short space of time. Can't help but be pessimistic at the moment. Feel like harry really screwed us not only with 1 raise which we shouldn't of had as supposedly had money from additional royalty streamers but the 2nd totally unnecessary raise. I just think the guy has nothing to lose by raising again for Saudi then all bad news done under him and new CEO can take over giving a fresh clean slate big war chest and loads to look forward to. I could average down here as feel like valuation is beyond compelling but id rather wait for confirm of Harry's resignation and buy more then. Even if that means at a higher price. With him at the helm I just see to much risk right now

Entry point here is brilliant usually you would say zero risk of a placing now but with Harry at the helm we'll never be able to confidently say that. Mathematically though and on paper you cant argue with the investment thesis. Buy hold realise a very good gain over 2yr period.

Immediate issues though are the placing overhang. Those in at 1.2p are clearly dumping i dont care what anyone says. They are. And were still stuck on AIM.

A few months down the line though and those who want to dump will have done plus we should be on main market or moving towards it at pace and Harry's succession plan should be well known. Kefi will look a lot different come the end of summer

Https://x.com/i/status/2053064966685528076

As Alde was sayin.

And to think *some* here were fretting about half life and a sub 20p placing not so long ago 😅🤡

A share price closing above the 200-week moving average (WMA) signals a significant, long-term bullish trend reversal or continuation. It indicates that investors are optimistic, the asset's long-term health is strong, and momentum has shifted from downward to upward, often suggesting a "buy" signal to market participants.

Here is a breakdown of what this signal means:

Long-Term Bullish Trend: The 200-WMA represents approximately 4 years of trading data (200 weeks \(\div \) 52 weeks/year \(\approx \) 3.85 years). Closing above it signifies that the long-term trend has turned positive.

Overcoming Resistance: When price closes above this long-term average, it indicates the stock has broken through a major area of historical resistance, which can now act as support

.Institutional Confidence: Institutional investors frequently use the 200-period average to determine entry points, so a close above it often signals increased buying confidence.

Shift in Sentiment: It shows that the current market price is higher than the average price over the last few years, indicating a shift from pessimism to optimism.

not sure what is being said here but a certain person sold out, at 75p proclaiming to be a genius and taking 17% not looking to clever now and probably desperately trying to deramp. ignore it folks.

ignore what you think is a buy and a sell and just look at price and volume. its that simple.

yesterday we closed at a yearly high on above average volume. zoom out look at weekly chart and you will see we closed above 200 week moving average. this isnt just noise it's a major trend change combined with reverse head and shoulders pattern signaling major trend change.

you dont need to read anything here or take my word for it just look at the chart yourself and ask dr grok how significant it is that price closed above 200wma on above average volume and at a yearly high with a reverse h&s pattern in play.

then watch company webinar and read the rns about what is coming anytime now.

this site and this page particularly is infected with low iq ******s trying to manipulate for there own gains.

filter them instead of replying ffs.

Https://x.com/i/status/2052692365404413963

Another chartist expect 100p+

Https://x.com/i/status/2052644389772767402

Over 1.5m traded in 30mins here. Not important to dwell on buys and sells just price and volume. Their as been a step change following the science day.

FDA decision must be close also

700 000 traded in 6 minutes at yearly highs. Bodes well

Avacta chemo is 10x cheaper and they aren't trying to take or break into a market you silly sausage because there drugs are safer they can expand the market significantly but why let facts get in the way of the narrative you've built up in your head JHFH 😂

Haywain you'd be more then welcome at the Avacta board to try and pick holes in it. Id welcome you with open arms as your probably one of the few with the IQ level required to understand it.

£200Bn market set to be expanded by precision. Avacta market cap trading at 1/1000th of that but low IQ ppl just think HEMO as more upside because it's cheaper.

If that was the case you'd just buy stocks that are £1m market cap 🤡

Honestly the IQ level on this bored is worrying.

As for commercialisation, you say HEMO is closer. Wrong. I know this for a fact 😉

Remember you could.of took your head out your ass and brought shares at 63p but chose not too. Currently 82p 🫠

If the opportunity size for both was the same then sure, HEMO would have more upside potential. But is the opportunity size the same?

I've checked both and I can say for certain the opportunity at one absolutely dwarfs the other. Have you?

Then you come to chance of success, hemo has a good chance 3/3 is statistically significant 👍 doesnt mean you won't find DLT's that see this all end in tears though. Its not a slam dunk is it. Fair?

Avacta use warheads that have already been trialed in humans but were discontinued because they were too toxic. They obliterated cancer cells but patience couldn't handle the side effects. Now those side effects have been removed using avactas PDC delivery system. It worked on the first drug, why would the exact same delivery system not keep working on the remaining 500 drugs?

Probability of success is higher because if this and because they've already completed dose escalation phase which HEMO is only just starting.

Another inconvenient fact for you.

JHFH, lets remember HEMO RNS'd the annual filing of paperwork.

Yet can't let us know if P1 is still alive after 14 months or whether the non binding letter of intent will ever materialise into anything substantial. They cant even RNS decent update on CDX/CBR but sure, they can tell us they've filed some routine paperwork to the FDA. Brilliant 😅

HEMO is not a dog btw and it has upside potential. Its just not in the same league as avacta and I hate to see you and others misleading people here by suggesting it is. When you run the cold hard numbers they dont lie. You dont though because u just obsess over hemo every hour of every day. Other people here aren't so naive I hope.

Anyway lets hope both come good it would be great for patience around the world. Maybe if Vlad stops diluting you guys to buggery as well you might even make a return in your investment if no DLT's emerge at the higher doses. Tick tock on P4 injection, when is that again?

Oh right, we dont know do we 😅

JRDC fair post. Don't disagree.

Avct are much closer to the finishing line.

In your view as someone who has researched both. Which one has the greater upside (TAM divided by current market cap))

& which one is less risky?

1 with 4 years of clinical data, warheads that are already known to be efficacious, a proven delivery system and 500 shots on goal within 3 generations of drugs or 1 that has treat just 3 patients which we still dont know if are even alive and possibility of seeing DLT's as the dose increases.

Be honest. What is your unbiased view.

Oh also, which company is better at engaging with shareholders, has the better management team and CEO and clear clinical & commercial strategy.

Just be honest.

Like I say, HEMO has potential but its a punt, Avacta is the real deal with

Bugger upside ✔️

Less risk ✔️

Shorter route to market✔️

All these folks want to do is log in here listen to JHFH warm fuzzy words despite him being constantly wrong and then log out again.

Thats not to say HEMO doesnt have huge upside potential because it does 👍

Let's not pretend its in the same league as avacta though thats all am sayin

Bigger things at HEMO?

When their total addressable market (90% of all solid tunours) is 1000x higher than their current market cap. I think you'll find there are much bigger things at avacta and whats more is the probability of success is far higher given they already know there drugs are efficacious. Just prove you can deliver them safely and concentrate them only in the tumor and job done.

Avacta have been doing that for the past 4yrs with the pathfinder drug ava6000. Now they have 500 new drugs in the pipeline all using exact same delivery mechanism.

Nearly spat my tea out when you said bigger things to come at HEMO 😅😅

Your right of course. Always are about everything. You have even uncovered something i wasn't aware of jhfh. Another gap in my research and ANOTHER hole in the investment thesis and yet....

81p Just paid and chart is breaking out

You dont think do you that maybe no it couldn't be... but maybe you are completely wrong because your spouting off again about something yoi dont fully understand because you have not done your research properly and because you are in love, with HEMO ?

no surely cant be. Alde must be wrong. Guy with the highest IQ in 6 counties and greatest trader in the UK

Prolly people that sold yesterday thinking no commercial update means price will slide back for a bit. Tbh I considered trading out myself as it did look a bit bearish but then I said... Alde dont be silly this is one chance for life changing gains and we are on a news rich period. For all I know validation from the fda or a partner or an II could come any day now because the data is being viewed under NDA.

Glad I held up and didnt wet the bed like many obvious did.

Now. This will get very interesting above 82p. Very interesting means explosive I my view technically and fundamentally set.

because when avacta did a placing it was at 63p and i was minding my own business slowly forgetting about hemo when micky came to the avacta bored and started gloating and poking fun etc..

hemo was 1000p that day. avacta 63p.

my point being he and abh could of chosen to be smart and buy shares but instead they chose to be ******* s.

avact now knocking on 80p and hemo sub 700 🤣🤣

as ive repeatedly said avacta has

bigger upside ✔️

lower risk ✔️

shorter time to commercialisation ✔️

Your absolutely right ABH. 100%

It is going to take 4 years minimum. And will probably fail anyway as 90% of new drugs do.

Remember, you could of bought at 63p along with that mug Micky but didnt and probably saved yourself a absolute fortune and very long wait.

Well done. 🙃

Always remember, you could of bought avacta at 63p. I want you to remember that. 63p in Q2 2026. Remember ABH, because I will

£200bn market opportunity from oncology and similar for non oncology so roughly £400bn TAM and likely best in class tech at a fraction of the cost of next best available.

Avacta trading at £0.4Bn

Probability of success over 50%

Run the numbers using any messure of conservatism and you can see the obvious value disconnect which, is....

Significant. Thats the opportunity.