RE: I'M In VAT Refund This Month5 Jan 2026 11:16
Warrior, let’s have the full question and answer shall we
“You mentioned Jan or Feb for thevat refund. Whats your best timeframe? Jan or Feb?
Best timeframe would obviously be January as December is no longer achievable. Best guess is harder. PetroChina has missed every payment deadline so far. The shortest delay on the 3 week payment terms that they put in the contract was 3 weeks, so double their own estimate. The only prediction we can really make is “longer than we think” but tangible progress has been made“
From that answer you’ve deduced a 95% probability that the contract terms get agreed, drafted, signed and paid in January. I find that extremely unlikely for all the reasons given and the CEOs own words.
But that’s the beauty of these boards we’re all allowed our own opinion. We’ll find out soon enough too..