RE: Oversold!1 Jul 2019 20:24
johnpwh,
We seem to be 'exchanging' a number of posts today. But given we've obviously got similar musical tastes and that you don't object to me mentioning cardgames, maybe that's not too surprising. Also you write sensibly, as I try to do. (Apologies for garbled stuff this afternoon: I was using my phone.)
However... (from your earlier post)...
" But I will challenge the thought that the company put everything on red with WD"
That wasn't the thought I was trying to express. They didn't put EVERYTHING on the red to start with! Just a bit...
I have it on very reliable information that Spirit (footing the bill for this drilling campaign) isn't just a "sleeping partner', and have some say-so in timings, and so on. Which sounds quite reasonable, I think. It mustn't be forgotten that without their input, this campaign wouldn't even be happening, which is a reason I find it rather 'unfair' that Hurricane's SP has been hit so hard today.
So I can see a certain logic as to why maybe the 'riskiest' well was undertaken first, in some ways. Bec²ause the risk/reward was great. Unfortunately it didn't pan out, partially because Petrofac and Transocean screwed the pooch more than once.
Some people here like comparing AIM to a casino. I don't understand their beef. I'm quite at home in casinos. You have to show ID to prove your age (no problem in my case!), be reasonably-dressed, not visibly intoxicated (at least when you enter), have some money, and so on. People not meeting such standards are barred entry, or if once inside go 'outside the standards' are thrown out. Sometimes forcibly. There are cameras everywhere. I feel 'safe' in such places. Don't worry about leaving my 'man-bag' (containing all my documents, keys, bank-cards, and maybe a grand in cash) on the back of my chair if I have to go to the toilet. It's the same as leaving your wallet on the roof of your car in Saudi Arabia: 99.9 times, when you get back, it'll still be there.
But (like Saudi Arabia) you've got to have a REASON to enter a casino (or AIM - listed shares) to start with.
OK, some people do so for the 'fun and glamour'. Others, (the slot-machine players) are brain-dead. Some (roulette) believe in 'luck'.
One one or two rare occasions, after a spectacularly profitable night playing poker, I've plonked a 100-euro chip on the Red at the roulette table while going to the 'cage' to cash in. And it's only not worked once. But pure luck. And I wouldn't do that first thing, on entering the house.
But oilwell drilling isn't a question of luck. We now know that a 'deep' horizontal outside structural closure on Warwick doesn't work. So now let's see what does...