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UPDATE 1-UK Christmas retail sales slide, pressure on public finances eases

Fri, 22nd Jan 2016 14:25

* Discounts, weather drive first retail spending drop since2009

* Full-year sales volume growth strongest since 2004

* Stronger taxes push Dec public borrowing far belowforecast

* Full-year deficit reduction goal still looks a challenge (Adds detail from releases, economists' reaction)

By David Milliken and Ana Nicolaci da Costa

LONDON, Jan 22 (Reuters) - British consumers reined in theirChristmas spending by the biggest amount in over six years butthere was more cheer for finance minister George Osborne aftergovernment borrowing dropped sharply, official data showed onFriday.

The retail numbers added to signs that Britain's economy slowed late last year, and Osborne will still struggle to meethis budget goals for the tax year which ends in March.

British consumers have been a big driver of the economy at atime of weak external demand, but Friday's data raise questionsabout whether they will sustain expansion as wage growth slows.

Reflecting discounting and mild weather which hurt clothingsales, the value of retail sales in December was 1.0 percentbelow spending a year earlier, the first fall since May 2009.

The figures broadly tally with the message big retailers,whose industry body, the British Retail Consortium, gave earlierthis month that Christmas sales had been disappointing.

Some clothing retailers, notably market leader Marks &Spencer and Next, posted disappointing updates,partly blaming the weather although supermarkets generally didbetter than expected in the holiday period.

Clothing sales were down more than 4 percent on the year inDecember, the biggest drop since April 2012, the Office forNational Statistics said.

For the fourth quarter as a whole, however, growth in salesvolumes picked up to a one-year high of 1.1 percent, suggestingconsumer spending will support broader fourth-quarter economicdata due next week at a time when other sectors are fading.

Sales volume growth in 2015 overall was the fastest in 11years, but analysts expect it to slow in 2016.

"The recovery in spending will lose some momentum as jobgrowth fades from recent stellar rates, inflation strengthensand the fiscal squeeze intensifies," Samuel Tombs, chief UKeconomist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said.

FISCAL PRESSURE

Osborne will need to tighten the fiscal screws before thetax year ends in March if he is to meet his goal of cutting thebudget deficit to 73.5 billion pounds ($105.2 billion), or 3.9percent of GDP.

Data on Friday showed public borrowing in the first ninemonths of the tax year had already exceeded the target, reaching74.2 billion pounds -- though this still represented the lowesttotal since 2007, before the financial crisis.

January typically brings a large budget surplus as annualincome tax payments fall due, and December's borrowing of 7.5billion pounds was much less than forecast, down sharply from11.7 billon in December 2014 and the lowest since 2006.

Stronger tax receipts helped break two months of budgetdisappointments in October and November, as did a rareyear-on-year fall in the cash amount of government spending.

"The fall in borrowing in December should afford thechancellor a slightly more comfortable night's sleep over theweekend," Sam Alderson, an economist at consultancy CEBR, said.

But he said Osborne still looks likely to miss his borrowingtarget. Britain's budget watchdog said the government needed torun a 5.5 billion-pound surplus over the next three months,compared with a 4 billion-pound deficit over the same periodlast year.

The Office for Budget Responsibility said higher income taxreceipts and property transactions taxes would probably pick upin the final few months of the year, but that "considerableuncertainty nonetheless remains".

Osborne warned earlier this month that Britain faced a"cocktail of risks" from abroad, and said again on Friday thatit was essential to stick with the deficit-reduction plan thathas been his political lodestone since taking office in 2010. ($1 = 0.6984 pounds) (Reporting by David Milliken; Editing by Toby Chopra)

More News
24 Apr 2024 14:19

UK earnings, trading statements calendar - next 7 days

Thursday 25 April 
Aquila European Renewables PLCFull Year Results
Argo Blockchain PLCFull Year Results
AstraZeneca PLCQ1 Results
Barclays PLCQ1 Results
Checkit PLCFull Year Results
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLCTrading Statement
Destiny Pharma PLCFull Year Results
Dillistone Group PLCFull Year Results
Focusrite PLCHalf Year Results
Gem Diamonds LtdTrading Statement
Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLCTrading Statement
Hummingbird Resources PLCTrading Statement
Ibstock PLCTrading Statement
Inchcape PLCTrading Statement
J Sainsbury PLCFull Year Results
London Stock Exchange Group PLCQ1 Results
Persimmon PLCTrading Statement
Pinewood Technologies Group PLCFull Year Results
PPHE Hotel Group LtdTrading Statement
PureTech Health PLCFull Year Results
Relx PLCTrading Statement
Renewi PLCTrading Statement
Schroders PLCQ1 Results
Skillcast Group PLCFull Year Results
Travis Perkins PLCTrading Statement
Trifast PLCTrading Statement
Unilever PLCQ1 Results
WAG Payment Solutions PLCTrading Statement
Weir Group PLCTrading Statement
WH Smith PLCHalf Year Results
WPP PLCTrading Statement
Zinc Media Group PLCFull Year Results
Friday 26 April 
Facilities by ADF PLCFull Year Results
Kingspan Group PLCTrading Statement
Loungers PLCTrading Statement
NatWest Group PLC Q1 Results
Pearson PLCTrading Statement
Record PLCTrading Statement
Smurfit Kappa Group PLCTrading Statement
Taylor Maritime Investments LtdTrading Statement
Monday 29 April 
Beazley PLCTrading Statement
Biome Technologies PLCFull Year Results
Christie Group PLCFull Year Results
Gresham House Energy Storage Fund PLCFull Year Results
Gresham Technologies PLCFull Year Results
Jadestone Energy PLCFull Year Results
Oxford BioMedica PLCFull Year Results
SpaceandPeople PLCFull Year Results
Tuesday 30 April 
Avacta Group PLCFull Year Results
Card Factory PLCFull Year Results
Capital & Regional PLCFull Year Results
Close Brothers Group PLCTrading Statement
Coca-Cola HBC AGTrading Statement
Elementis PLCTrading Statement
essensys PLCHalf Year Results
Fadel Partners IncFull Year Results
Glencore PLCTrading Statement
Hargreaves Lansdown PLC Trading Statement
Howden Joinery PLCTrading Statement
HSBC Holdings PLCQ1 Results
Kelso Group PLCFull Year Results
Northcoders Group PLCFull Year Results
Phoenix Spree Deutschland LtdFull Year Results
RBG Holdings PLCFull Year Results
Rotork PLCTrading Statement
Safestore Holdings PLCHalf Year Results
Shield Therapeutics PLCFull Year Results
St James's Place PLCTrading Statement
Strip Tinning Holdings PLCFull Year Results
Whitbread PLCFull Year Results
Wednesday 1 May 
Computacenter PLCTrading Statement
GSK PLCQ1 Results
Haleon PLCTrading Statement
HSS Hire Group PLCFull Year Results
Intelligent Ultrasound Group PLCFull Year Results
Maintel Holdings PLCFull Year Results
Next PLCTrading Statement
Smith & Nephew PLCTrading Statement
  
Comments and questions to newsroom@alliancenews.com
  
A full 21-day events calendar is provided each day with a subscription to Alliance News UK Professional.
  
Copyright 2024 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

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22 Apr 2024 16:58

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: New record close for FTSE 100 as war fears ease

(Alliance News) - London's FTSE 100 surged on Monday, with blue-chip equities supported by an easing of geopolitical worry, and hope that the Bank of England is getting a handle on UK inflation.

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22 Apr 2024 14:54

London close: Stocks jump on weaker sterling, easing geopolitics

(Sharecast News) - London's financial markets closed in the green on Monday, with the top-flight index remaining near record highs by the close.

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22 Apr 2024 09:04

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: Jefferies raises B&M to 'hold'

(Alliance News) - The following London-listed shares received analyst recommendations Monday morning:

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17 Apr 2024 08:53

LONDON MARKET OPEN: Stocks mixed as UK data douses BoE cut hope

(Alliance News) - Stock prices in London opened mixed on Wednesday, with the FTSE 100 underperforming European peers, with a hotter than expected UK inflation reading lifting the pound.

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9 Apr 2024 13:09

PRESS: Frasers and Next eye buying Ted Baker retail stores - Times

(Alliance News) - Next PLC and Frasers Group PLC are sizing up buying Ted Baker's European retail division, The Times reported on Tuesday.

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9 Apr 2024 13:00

Frasers, Next interested in Ted Baker's European retail arm - report

(Sharecast News) - Mike Ashley's Frasers Group and Next have reportedly expressed an interest in purchasing Ted Baker's stricken European retail arm.

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5 Apr 2024 09:33

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: RBC resumes Direct Line at 'sector perform'

(Alliance News) - The following London-listed shares received analyst recommendations Friday morning and Thursday:

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3 Apr 2024 09:20

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: Barclays lifts Segro to 'overweight'

(Alliance News) - The following London-listed shares received analyst recommendations Wednesday morning and Tuesday:

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25 Mar 2024 10:19

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: SocGen raises Sage; Numis cuts Virgin Money

(Alliance News) - The following London-listed shares received analyst recommendations Monday morning and Friday:

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22 Mar 2024 09:21

British Land appoints Next's CFO as non-executive director

(Alliance News) - British Land Co PLC on Friday said it has hired fashion retailer Next PLC's chief financial officer, Amanda Jones, as non-executive director, with effect from July 1.

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22 Mar 2024 08:59

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: RBC cuts St James's Place; HSBC cuts Ascential

(Alliance News) - The following London-listed shares received analyst recommendations Friday morning:

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21 Mar 2024 16:53

LONDON MARKET CLOSE: FTSE 100 up as investors see Fed, BoE cuts ahead

(Alliance News) - London's FTSE 100 jumped on Thursday, as markets rallied on the back of dovish interest rate decision statements from both the US Federal Reserve and Bank of England.

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21 Mar 2024 16:33

London close: Stocks rise as BoE keeps rates on hold

(Sharecast News) - London markets closed higher on Thursday, sustaining gains after the Bank of England adhered to expectations by maintaining interest rates at a 16-year high.

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21 Mar 2024 13:24

Moneysupermarket.com hires chair designate as part of succession plan

(Alliance News) - Moneysupermarket.com Group PLC on Thursday announced the appointment of its new chair designate as an independent non-executive director.

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