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UPDATE 1-UK Christmas retail sales slide, pressure on public finances eases

Fri, 22nd Jan 2016 14:25

* Discounts, weather drive first retail spending drop since2009

* Full-year sales volume growth strongest since 2004

* Stronger taxes push Dec public borrowing far belowforecast

* Full-year deficit reduction goal still looks a challenge (Adds detail from releases, economists' reaction)

By David Milliken and Ana Nicolaci da Costa

LONDON, Jan 22 (Reuters) - British consumers reined in theirChristmas spending by the biggest amount in over six years butthere was more cheer for finance minister George Osborne aftergovernment borrowing dropped sharply, official data showed onFriday.

The retail numbers added to signs that Britain's economy slowed late last year, and Osborne will still struggle to meethis budget goals for the tax year which ends in March.

British consumers have been a big driver of the economy at atime of weak external demand, but Friday's data raise questionsabout whether they will sustain expansion as wage growth slows.

Reflecting discounting and mild weather which hurt clothingsales, the value of retail sales in December was 1.0 percentbelow spending a year earlier, the first fall since May 2009.

The figures broadly tally with the message big retailers,whose industry body, the British Retail Consortium, gave earlierthis month that Christmas sales had been disappointing.

Some clothing retailers, notably market leader Marks &Spencer and Next, posted disappointing updates,partly blaming the weather although supermarkets generally didbetter than expected in the holiday period.

Clothing sales were down more than 4 percent on the year inDecember, the biggest drop since April 2012, the Office forNational Statistics said.

For the fourth quarter as a whole, however, growth in salesvolumes picked up to a one-year high of 1.1 percent, suggestingconsumer spending will support broader fourth-quarter economicdata due next week at a time when other sectors are fading.

Sales volume growth in 2015 overall was the fastest in 11years, but analysts expect it to slow in 2016.

"The recovery in spending will lose some momentum as jobgrowth fades from recent stellar rates, inflation strengthensand the fiscal squeeze intensifies," Samuel Tombs, chief UKeconomist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said.

FISCAL PRESSURE

Osborne will need to tighten the fiscal screws before thetax year ends in March if he is to meet his goal of cutting thebudget deficit to 73.5 billion pounds ($105.2 billion), or 3.9percent of GDP.

Data on Friday showed public borrowing in the first ninemonths of the tax year had already exceeded the target, reaching74.2 billion pounds -- though this still represented the lowesttotal since 2007, before the financial crisis.

January typically brings a large budget surplus as annualincome tax payments fall due, and December's borrowing of 7.5billion pounds was much less than forecast, down sharply from11.7 billon in December 2014 and the lowest since 2006.

Stronger tax receipts helped break two months of budgetdisappointments in October and November, as did a rareyear-on-year fall in the cash amount of government spending.

"The fall in borrowing in December should afford thechancellor a slightly more comfortable night's sleep over theweekend," Sam Alderson, an economist at consultancy CEBR, said.

But he said Osborne still looks likely to miss his borrowingtarget. Britain's budget watchdog said the government needed torun a 5.5 billion-pound surplus over the next three months,compared with a 4 billion-pound deficit over the same periodlast year.

The Office for Budget Responsibility said higher income taxreceipts and property transactions taxes would probably pick upin the final few months of the year, but that "considerableuncertainty nonetheless remains".

Osborne warned earlier this month that Britain faced a"cocktail of risks" from abroad, and said again on Friday thatit was essential to stick with the deficit-reduction plan thathas been his political lodestone since taking office in 2010. ($1 = 0.6984 pounds) (Reporting by David Milliken; Editing by Toby Chopra)

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LONDON BRIEFING: Games Workshop seals Amazon deal for Warhammer 40,000

(Alliance News) - Stocks in London were set to retreat slightly on Monday, in line with equity markets in Asia, at the start of the last week before the Christmas holidays.

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18 Dec 2023 06:57

PRESS: Frasers Groups in talks to buy retailer Matchesfashion - Sky

(Alliance News) - Frasers Group PLC is in talks to buy Matchesfashion, a luxury clothing retailer, from its private equity owner since 2017, Apax Partners, Sky News reported on Saturday.

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14 Dec 2023 09:29

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: JPMorgan raises Compass and Marston's

(Alliance News) - The following London-listed shares received analyst recommendations Thursday morning:

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6 Dec 2023 09:19

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: RBC likes 3i; JPMorgan raises Ocado

(Alliance News) - The following London-listed shares received analyst recommendations Wednesday morning and Tuesday:

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30 Nov 2023 15:29

UK dividends calendar - next 7 days

Friday 1 December 
abrdn Diversified Income & Growth PLCspecial dividend payment date
AEW UK REIT PLCdividend payment date
Bloomsbury Publishing PLCdividend payment date
Bytes Technology Group PLCdividend payment date
C&C Group PLCdividend payment date
Empiric Student Property PLCdividend payment date
European Smaller Cos Trust PLCdividend payment date
Greencoat Renewables PLCdividend payment date
Hilton Food Group PLCdividend payment date
ICG Enterprise Trust PLCdividend payment date
JPMorgan China Growth & Income PLCdividend payment date
JPMorgan Claverhouse Investment Trust PLCdividend payment date
Marshalls PLCdividend payment date
Octopus Renewables Infrastructure Trust PLCdividend payment date
PRS REIT PLCdividend payment date
Schroder Oriental Income Fund Ltddividend payment date
Monday 4 December 
Blackrock Smaller Companies Trust PLCdividend payment date
Tuesday 5 December 
Balfour Beatty PLCdividend payment date
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLCdividend payment date
Wednesday 6 December 
Fidelity Asian Values PLCdividend payment date
Vesuvius PLCdividend payment date
Thursday 7 December 
abrdn Equity Income Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
Alpha Financial Markets Consulting PLCex-dividend payment date
Assura PLCex-dividend payment date
British & American Investment Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
Burford Capital Ltddividend payment date
Caffyns PLCex-dividend payment date
Celebrus Technologies PLCex-dividend payment date
CMC Markets PLCex-dividend payment date
CML Microsystems PLCex-dividend payment date
Crystal Amber Fund Ltdex-dividend payment date
CT UK Capital & Income Investment Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
Develop North PLCex-dividend payment date
DX Group PLCdividend payment date
Energean PLCex-dividend payment date
Henderson High Income Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
Intermediate Capital Group PLCex-dividend payment date
Investec PLCex-dividend payment date
JD Sports Fashion PLCex-dividend payment date
JLEN Environmental Assets Group Ltdex-dividend payment date
JPMorgan UK Smaller Cos Investment Trust PLCdividend payment date
London Finance & Investment Group PLCex-dividend payment date
LXi REIT PLCex-dividend payment date
NewRiver REIT PLCex-dividend payment date
Next PLCex-dividend payment date
Ninety One PLC and Ltdex-dividend payment date
Personal Assets Trust PLCex-dividend payment date
Pets At Home Group PLCex-dividend payment date
Real Estate Credit Investments Ltdex-dividend payment date
Redcentric PLCex-dividend payment date
Renishaw PLCdividend payment date
Residential Secure Income PLCex-dividend payment date
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Speedy Hire PLCex-dividend payment date
Vp PLCex-dividend payment date
  
Copyright 2023 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

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Deutsche Bank starts coverage of 6 retail stocks; prefers Asos, B&M and M&S

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21 Nov 2023 09:54

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: Deutsche says 'buy' B&M and Marks & Spencer

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8 Nov 2023 14:59

London close: Retail stocks rise on mixed day for markets

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6 Nov 2023 16:45

London close: Stocks mixed, Ryanair leads low-cost airlines higher

(Sharecast News) - London's stock markets finished mixed on Monday, with low-cost airlines in focus as investors cheered Ryanair's latest figures.

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6 Nov 2023 09:34

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: RBC cuts Next but lifts Dunelm; Citi likes JD

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RBC Capital upgrades Dunelm, downgrades Next

(Sharecast News) - RBC Capital Markets upgraded Dunelm on Monday, but downgraded Next.

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