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That’s pretty similar to my thoughts Kevin.
I was thinking ACTIV2 (good) news end of October, possible start of November. SP hopefully goes to 250/300.
Then I’m not sure whether it will hover around that price, due to a lot of risk being mitigated by the ACTIV2 result showing that yet again it works (providing it does pass Phase 2). Or if these day time traders will try to sink the price down further to around 180/190.
I would imagine SP creeps up again on RNS that last patient in SPRINTER has been dosed. I’d say 1st December for that RNS.
Results for SPRINTER exactly when you said, late February and announcement for EUA application v soon after.
I’d also agree SP around £12, I’d say £10-£14. But I’m going to hold still because I think at this point we will get rumours and news of a takeover bid, I see SP going as high as £20. I’m thinking around 04/22.
(How’s that for a bullish post, £20 SP by coming April, my posts are not always negative.)
Yeah Doc, we aren’t allowed to be realists on here.
Even RM obviously felt bad for the long term investors, hence his shout out the other day.
I hope it’s within days, that’ll do nicely.
I was thinking this Monday or next Monday.
We sometimes do a ‘guess the SP at the end of the day’, we should do one for guessing the day we think the news will finally come through.
I’ll be happy with £12. That would be mortgage gone and a very nice car on the drive! Although in reality I’d likely just reinvest it and try to retire earlier!
If you want predictions Andy, mine is that by the time I’m skiing (22/2/22) we will have A3 and P3 completion news and will be applying for EUA. £6.50 per share at this point!
AIMO of course and I don’t usually predict, as it’s just an educated guess.
If we get EUA, which according to RM is a rapid process, the SP will very quickly surge upwards. My guess is by April £12 per share.
Is that similar to your thoughts?
Come on Andybe4, you know you can’t post anything with even the merest hint of negativity in there, without being shot down!
I had last week as the week, maybe this coming Monday. But looks like I was wrong. Either way, it can’t be long… we are surely down to days.
Bigjohnny all you have to do is book me 5 table's at your pub on the river Wandle
The booking date will early next year., The minute it hits £10 the drinks will be on me.
I think we are going to have avalanche of news and a takeover offer all within the next 4 months.
GLA
Regarding Activ ph 3 trial, it may be that the trial sponsors could just he waiting for Recovery phase trial results and use them for any possible EUA. If recovery trial phase 3 shows great effect in recovery, why wait for another ph 3 trial with all the expense and further delay.
The one thing I’ve noticed about this message board is that when you get a simple question, like ‘when does your instinct tell you the ACTIV2 news will come through’, people can’t just answer the question, instead they attack the poster.
Does it matter if it was the first week or second week of august. That’s over eight weeks. When Castro said that the trial had finished on the 19th, how do you know it finished exactly on that day? It could’ve finished a week before. You don’t know, you only know that he said it had finished some time BEFORE 19th August, he didn’t say a date.
Apologies, 19th August !
It wasn’t the start of august Andy.
Dr Castro let it slip on 17th august!
NdN71, my bad, 220, thanks.
We have discussed it. Yet here we are, with no results.
It’s only a simple question to see when other people believe the RNS with some results (or just if we have moved to P3 or not) will come through.
I’m interested in peoples thoughts.
For myself, I believe any time within the next 8 trading sessions. Any sector other than healthcare I'd say next week for sure, but healthcare stocks are akin to running a marathon in treacle.
I'm not sure, however, whether official news will emanate from the US first, with an RNS the following morning, or if they will allow us to break it first. I could check the Sequence of events with previous graduates, but it's irrelevant to me as I'm holding anyway.
So, up to 8 trading sessions and positive.
So. We all know it was back at the beginning of August that Dr. Castro mentioned in interview the Phase 2 trial of ACTIV2 SNG001 had completed. This is over two months ago now.
What are your thoughts on when the RNS will come that we are either through to Phase 3 ACTIV2, or we are dropped out of the trial?
I made another top up today, at 150, just £5k as I thought it is remarkably dull for a Friday, given that ACTIV2 news could arrive on Monday.
I’m sure when Monday comes, there will be zero news (I’m getting used to this now with Synairgen), all other pharma stocks seem to get news, this one doesn’t. However I still believe that the ACTIV2 news should come some time within the next three weeks.
Surely it can’t take the US government NIH statisticians and scientists three months to go through data from 120 people.
When do you think the news will come in?