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Thanks Lee, that was a very helpful post
Jim
Post copied from ADVFN chat by johnybigarms (He really does have big arms)
We have our Q1 results to review in few weeks, Gold average will be a good $90 dollars above the last results, at 19k to 20k ounces average production we should have generated well over $40 million income, we could actually be debt free at the end of this quarter, but if not it should be only a week or two additional mining to actually achieve the debt free milestone.
At current gold prices we should be producing $80 million free flow cash per year, our tax free period will come to an end but I’m hoping we will have a few quarters free of tax using tax losses from previous years.
Should just $12 million of that $80 million be paid as a dividend, that’s 0.5p dividend per share or a 12.5% dividend yield at our current share-price, but I feel the share price would be nearer 10p at that point, a £200 million market cap paying a 5% dividend.
Our market cap is £85 million today and we will generate £60 million free flow cash before tax in 2024, with 2025 2026 and 2027 set to repeat those incomes, this is without the Abra tenement income that could be worked creating cash with a small scale low cost set up, online in just a year or two, giving us multiple incomes.
Long term we have decided to close the current mine in 2028 and move the infrastructure to the Abra tenement to carry on with a large scale production over another decade or so with luck, results on gold and copper stocks pending but Darren Bowden hasn’t decided to purchase this tenement blind, I’m confident he knows it’s a viable project already, after all the sample drill rig is on site, it’s likely it’s been working and loose results are already in those with the know.
Hope that helps those looking in and wondering should they invest.
Couldn’t have put it better myself ;-)
I'm looking for investments to keep for the long-term and am still invested here - I have top sliced . DB is doing a really good job.
I haven't had an elusive 100 bagger yet so am still hoping for one of those :-).
Lee I enjoy your posts - so please do keep up the posting.
Looks like some year end tax sells (not necessarily tax losses) going through, expect this to continue through until the end of the month.
That’s great, I must admit I post a lot more, but the merits here have been misplaced by many in the past and I think it’s needed a positive spokesperson to help those keep faith, I am pleased it’s coming together and the faith has not been misplaced, I know with certainty now the future for MTL is onto an upward trajectory and we simply have to stay put, increased my holdings again yesterday as we are still in bargain territory, hope you continue to hold for the longer future, I have dividend aspirations on the horizon, Darren Bowden will take us there and with gold becoming ever more precious it just get easier and sooner.
Lee I’ve been a member on LSE for 13 years and I’ve never posted much generally. I don’t believe in messaging just for the sake of it. This board has been generally well informed and there have been a balanced posting on this board and there has no been no need for me to post. I only tend to post if I feel there is something that has not been considered on the chat boards or if people are unnecessarily attacking someone else for an alternative view that I think has some merit.
@lee the central banks have spent the last 20 years "stealing prosperity from the future" by printing money and borrowing. Interest rates have got ahead of them and they now can't afford the interest. The markets are saying time is up on money printing and borrowing so get your house in order. Going to be difficult to do with politicians addicted to debt. Hence, hard assets like Gold are in demand.
I watch Maneco64 via YouTube and he describes the reason for golds continued rise, put simply, gold is real money and cash is simply printed to death, the governments just turn on the printing press every time they need more cash to balance the books, more notes in circulation means they have less value and you need more notes to buy the same item or ounce of gold.
He believes we are heading into oblivion and says don’t hold cash, hold gold or assets and protect yourself, MTL is a leveraged bet on holding physical gold for me, hence why I’m happy to turn my savings into shares.
Share price is ready for a swing back higher tomorrow.
Punched up to a $2223 peak. Tomorrow should be a blinder. Its a bit of a puzzle as to why Gold should be on a run now and not during the last two years when there were plenty of reasons.
Gold has just hit new highs, Q1 numbers are going to be bloody amazing, minimum $100 dollars higher than the last quarter.
Gold heading to new highs, I’m amazed at anyone selling at the moment, crazy, short sighted, but I couldn’t resist the bargain opportunity and took another 100k and 1 share for fun, think I’m on a buying spree again.
6.3 million and 1 share and counting.
Suggest you read my post properly before disparaging it.
Like all chart voodoo nonsense, it appears your chart was upside down. But it doesn't matter anyway, as the saying goes,
"I realized that technical analysis didn't work when I turned the chart upside down and didn't get a different answer."
Think I'll stick to how much gold we produce and what we receive for selling it. Seems logical to me.
All the best
We have a nice Flag pattern on the daily confirmed with volume (bullish). I prefer fundamentals to technicals but I like the technicals to be with me too.
Harris, you are entitled to an opinion, but when your investment in MTL has grown 400% and you have never posted before, your 1st post in 5 years happens to be negative, you make a post on your fears about a Chairman, who hasn’t had success, but from your posts you know how hard it is to make an AIM company successful, 90% go to the wall, and it’s usually a casino style investment.
MTL trades on AIM but you must agree it’s in another league at this point in time, it’s jam today, not the jam tomorrow plays you and I have been involved in the past, so I get defensive about those who troll, those who cast doubt to get a cheaper entry into MTL, I and many long term holders have been proven right to hold and be patient, you with your 400% gains included, but please don’t put fear into those wondering to cash out just as the going is getting good, the real gains are in view, and it’s because of Darren Bowden and his team, their judgement has been flawless and I have no reason to believe it’s flawed now, we know nothing about his reasoning, but I have a view you don’t have a huge pool of skilled mining brains to hire at will, those running highly successful operations are not looking to move, those with skills in a company that’s not as good as the one looking to hire them are the ones available, but the Chairman is not the CEO, and so its business as usual and the Chairman has to add to value or he will be out with his P45, because the previous CEO to Darren Bowden was shown the door for underperformance, thank fully, exciting months ahead and I want all those involved today to be part of that journey, it’s that simple
Never be so blinkered Lee that you can’t see another side of an argument. No one is infallible. This board is a general chat board and people are entitled to an opinion. It’s ridiculous that unless you say it’s going to the moon you are classed as a deramper. I’ve been invested here since 0.9p so doing ok in it at the moment. These two last moves by the company I’m seeing amber flags - and they do not seem like share price friendly news.
Harris, the fact you have never posted in 5 years about any of the companies you mentioned earlier tells me you have never invested, including MTL.
In 5 years of my posting it should tell you I know this company like the back of my hand, I have seen 5p to 0.5p and back to nearly 5p but always increased my holdings.
We are debt free in just a matter of weeks, we generate enough cash in 1 week to buy the Abra tenement, that’s a fact, Darren Bowden owns shares in the company, and has acquired many more for keeping the shareprice low, but now is our time to shout from the roof tops, because now is the time we generate free flow cash that allows us to purchase what we want, without either share dilution or loans, we have 4 years income nailed on, $300 million before tax, and that in any book is a huge amount, we have mining awards and a proven track record, we have Darren Bowden at the helm, we have record high gold and we have a clear ambition to have multiple assets, multiple incomes and a 2 billion market cap ambition, if we was valued fairly on this years income of $70 to $80 million before tax we would have a market cap of 5 times our current one, and it’s clear that’s where we will end up soon enough, get your self invested and I would respect your thoughts much more.
Leehardcastle you don’t know what I have invested in. I’m aware of the ups and downs of this company. I’ve read your posts for about 5 years and on the whole they are generally solid. Now, the idea that DB has been promoting the company would indicate they are trying to raise money. The appointment of a chairman who has not historically helped his companies share price indicates to me that this is not MTLs priority. Unapologetically, I’m here to make a money.
"less than impressive track record"
Yes, PJM, that is certainly one very polite way to refering to NvS and his (lack of) achievements over the years.
Oh, that's not a complete picture, actually, now that I think about it - he HAS managed to enrich himself rather nicely over those years!
Does seem like an odd appointment given less than impressive track record with other mining companies….the mind boggles
I have looked into ARCM this morning, you can’t blame the failings of a company on one man, it’s the nature of mining that 90% go to the wall, and we nearly went he same way, it takes an exceptional CEO to run the ship and Darren Bowden has proven himself to be the man who turned us around, I’m sure that will not change because of the Chairman, he will be under scrutiny in his appointment, and Darren Bowden will know whether he fits the role or not, so it’s business as usual as far as we are concerned, if you can’t see the massive opportunity in front of you with MTL, that hasn’t put a foot wrong in 4 years, and choose not to invest because of the new chairman, then that’s up to you, but my money follows Darren Bowden and his decisions.
Leehardcastle - I would suggest you research three companies with which NvS has been involved: Arc Minerals (where he and his board pay themselves nearly a million a year in order to preside over a shareprice crash from 8p to 1p and where they've just done a discounted placing with warrants to keep funding their gravy train), then I would look at Orosur Mining where he sits on the BOD and you can see the value destruction there. Finally his only really serious appointment over at Bumi (which, despite being the largest company at which he ever held such a senior role, is not even mentioned, I wonder why) and read the comments of the largest shareholder, Nat Rothschild, who helped to get him booted out of the company! Will have my fingers crossed for you, but am sorry to say that not touching with a ten foot pole anything NvS is involved with has helped prevent me from losing about 90% of the money I would've invested in the companies concerned when I did my research!
Harris, your not invested in MTL, ARC or ARS and your heart sank, thank you letting us know
My heart sank when I read about the new chairman. Looked at his previous performance at ARC and ARS and the time he’s been there the share price. On the face of it this does not look good for PIs. Time will tell.
DiamondGeazer, I think you need the luck invested in ARCM, you should swop your holdings for MTL, I've looked at the financials as a matter of interest and I wouldnt invest, its a dream company, its a slim chance of monatising its assets, where as MTL are about to grow its assets, no debt, no share dilution, just rapid cash generation and the journey is just about to get exciting, you have the fortunate timing to look into our comanies strenghts and decide for yourself, we are massivly undervalued, but as the cash flys in, we will react accordingly.