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You lost me at BlackCat….
After ADV, HE1. You shouldn’t be giving out advice wyndrone. You don’t know what you’re talking about.
You recouped a 84-95% loss already? Did you find a 19 bagger?
BlackCat, how many times exactly do I have to say I don't predict anything?
How many times exactly, do I have to say that TA is an odds based approach? It tries to identify what's most likely to happen next, not what will.
TA will not predict unexpected dramatic news, But neither will FA, so I don't quite see the fixation on everyone saying TA did not see the drop as though somehow there was an alternative.
But if you really want to get picky then an investor using TA looking AVCT would look at the chart and see the trading range it was in for many months and the multiple times the support was under pressure and could have concluded quite reasonably, that they would wait until there was a break out of the TR on the upside before committing funds. This would get them in higher but also remove the risk of the fall.
TA aims to help preserve capital by being risk adverse and putting in various "rules" to facilitate that goal.
So it will forego bigger % gains for potentially less risk, compensated by more, smaller, profitable trades
Right now it seems on the back of the support at 73p its worth a punt as I think it more likely to go up than down, But if AVCA6000 should fail then its all over, so my stake in AVCT represents the worse case outcome and it will not affect me much financially if that outcome is realised.
Obviously I don't think it will be or I would not bother at all with AVCT. If all goes well there will be ample opportunity to divert yet more funds to it and ride the up turn.
Its telling to me that PL keeps harping on about 2 stocks that he thinks personally hurt me financially but bypasses the fact that on this BB, I have done ok. (and fwiw ADV was a terrible outcome for all over there and is an example of how people can get carried away by doing "research" just like this BB, but still have a disastrous outcome. )
Further, as HE1 is mentioned I picked up on it and got in at 8.8p a couple of weeks ago so I have been fortunate to recoup much of the ADV losses already. That should be on no interest to anyone here but its not me that keeps bringing it up.
I am not recommending anybody does anything, just offering my opinion on the likely moves of the SP using TA.
Is "pause" equivalent to "shortly" in Avacta-CEO-speak?
"Nobody saw the pulling of the LFT."
Which reminds me that it is now 3 weeks (by end of week).How long is a "pause", surely not another 3 weeks!?
You can't predict the unpredictable.. Nobody saw the pulling of the LFT..
Small correction: ADV, HE1. You shouldn’t be giving out advice Dacia. You don’t know what you’re talking about.
That should be the only ever response and then the thread should end. Dacia's posts are as bad as a bloke down the pub giving out horse racing tips. More likely worse, either pointless generic waffle saying it'll go up or down or disastrously ADV/HE1 encouraging others to make awful decisions that will wipe out their cash. Avoid this chronically dangerous poster.
Ok Hunkey we fundamentally disagree on what charts do (see what i did there)
TA has a set of "rules" to ride sentiment so when it spikes up you profit and sell before it drops back. It uses a rational approach to profit from the emotional response of most investors.
It therefore looks to the short term whereas Fundamental research will try to unearth under valued stocks and patiently wait for the value to be realised over typically a longer period of time.
Both systems have their limitations. and neither are fool proof
FFS - there is always somebody who can't resist engaging Dacia man - and hence filling my screen with green boxes. Just ignore him - he want's the attention (and makes anybody gormless enough to engage him just look naïve) - he's clueless.
Oh God...you answered. ;(
Yes, that's exactly what my research said. In the same way of the affirmer don't work it's going to pretty much zero. Any glitch with the lft was always going to see a huge drop.
In the same way if the next lot of results come out positive, they'll be a spike, sentiment is likely to push the sp much higher than it should, then guess what, drop back.
Sentiment is not a rational reaction, more so an irrational reaction, whereas charts stick to a rational set of rules.
That's why having a balanced pf is absolutely key (and having a good entry)
Monkey, so your research told you the SP was going to go down 70%?
(TA represents sentiment actually)
Each to his own
Charts are pretty useless on aim all told, the market is more about sentiment (pre profit), look at the sentiment when the famous phrase "selling millions", and then the lft amendments.
Sentiment is in turn driven by news, that's the real catalyst. All the noise in-between is usually bored pi, b.s or ramping either way.
Research is king, usually because you can ignore all of the above
Strangy,
I was not talking down to you , it was not my attention. I was aiming for a sarcastic tone.
I intimated your tone to be dismissive given the brevity of your post and the inaccuracy of using the word "predicted" at me.
I offer up my view on SP movement based on TA. You will note that I put it in the title and also for people who don't follow or agree with TA, to ignore it.
I actually assume or predict nothing. I wait to see how the SP action unfolds and change tack accordingly.
When I look at AVCT's prospects from a fundamental stand point, my views changes as the info available changes.
You however in your post have assumed (your word) my reaction before I have even replied.
As for me being " relentless in not stopping and trying to prove that you are vindicating your opinion and assumptions on a regular basis." That is only because I am relentlessly miss-quoted (as you have done) in your post, to being attributed to views and opinions that I don't hold. or never said.
I will say this for the millionth time.
I thought AVCT was missing the boat on mass testing due to the delay in getting a test out. As the delay continued I thought there was a problem most likely with the test or in production. Thats it.
Because, as it turned out, I was correct before it was obvious to all here, the personal abuse started in an effort to shut me up.
Remember Myles wanted me banned (where is the SP now?)
So given the SP has been in decline for 9 months then that is a negative result so therefore my posts reflecting on the decline are in step with that. It would be a fairer thing to say that I was constantly negative if the SP kept rising. But that has not been the case.
You might do well to remember that when I thought SP rises were likely prior to the ATH, I posted that then too. (So not so negative then, eh?)
I use TA, others use different methods. Thats fine, we all can choose what to do and when. I have no beef with that. Why would I?
But as I am constantly attacked I am therefore forced to constantly defend myself, which I do, which is tedious for all. But its not me that starts or ever continues the abuse. Remember that would you.
And the other thing to remember for all the dot joining and people advertising jobs and links to related companies and road shows and every bit of data that most here joy collating, none of it predicted a 70% fall in the SP did it?
So far, most others have not been correct so forgive me for not giving their views too much weight.
Here's what I think.
People dyor.
People can look and assess what they want.
Either way it is a gamble as this is speculative gambling.
You like so many on here do the normal. Assume assume assume.
You rightly or wrongly give your opinion.
But you are relentless in not stopping and trying to prove that you are vindicating your opinion and assumptions on a regular basis.
You have an approach that you think in your arena is correct.
Others have other approaches.
Do not think you are correct and others are wrong.
No matter how you dress it up you do actually talk down to people as you have me.
You write what you want behind a screen.
You are not held to rights in any way but I get the impression that you actually think your post actually make a difference.
I am sure you will reply to this in a negative way and that is expected.
But you are the most influential on here.
Ha ha.
Strangy, no and if you bothered to read that BB you would have read that I don't "predict" anything.
Either you have a poor memory or don't read what I post and just blindly follow others comments, or have no understanding of what TA is ,but its an odds game.
I have stated that here many, many times.....
Its quite something that some here are so desperate to show how fallible I am as though that somehow has any bearing on the poor SP performance of AVCT over the last 18 months or so. The fact I have done ok out of AVCT seems to particularly gall some as well.
Did you predict a 70% chart fall.?
No.
Rxdav - agreed.
Aren't all builders called Bob? FTS was a builder I recall.
Just been to the Covid testing place with daughter and now awaiting results.
I'll let you know how it goes. So if I were NDN (which I'm not) that would mean that NDN has family etc which would fly in the face of quite a few other posts... The fantasy world of multi-aliases falls apart in that case.
Anyway, I'm sure we are not here to squabble. I am STILL waiting for the Govt. to pay ABDX so you might be right about that though I hope you'll be wrong.
bitl,
It is not trolling simply to say that this is a high risk stock. This is exactly what Myles has stated.
The SP has collapsed by over 70% over the last 9 months or so.
You stated you had no idea about ADV, so to comment "Surely you can believe what you’ve just written" when you have no reference to the comparison I made seems silly.
I simply said this morning that from a chart perspective this looked promising for further gains.
How, how is that Trolling or being negative?
From there, even though I specifically asked for people who are not interested in TA not to comment, the only ones that have are not interested in TA and simply want to have ago at me. Now that's what I call Trolling.
But I don't suppose you see that, in your honest and direct way with me.
Why I am still here? I am share holder. I bought more yesterday based on the chart. What difference does it make to you?
bitl: For crying out loud - just filter the boring clown (I've got a page of green squares today already) - stop giving him the oxygen he craves (leave that to Profcheese - he's his current ringer).
Hi NDN, back via your Gman account are you Eggy. I 100% know for a fact FTS didn’t post that, firstly because he’s not called Bob. I can ask him if you like?
The broker did not attribute huge value to the LFT.
Not too dissimilar?? Surely you can believe what you’ve just written? Give it up Wyn. You are trolling the board incessantly. Why are you still here at this low SP?
I said it the other day; the trolling is now very desperate. The last line of defence is the P3 trial question. Trolling is now an outgoing concern.
ll, energy, clearly as you don't care what I think why did you bother starting the conversation? There was a clue in the title of thread too.
As for your "research", where exactly has that got you with this stock?
Don't tell me.... it has a lot of irons in the fire, lots of shots on goal, lots of promising technologies....LFT, Bams, Saliva test, elisa......still, all that research... never fails does it?
Your desire to be rude and spiteful towards is me is not only childish but pointless.
bitl: The fundamentals were all supa-positive on ADV so I don't quite understand your point.
I think it was Warren Buffett who said "turn the chart upside down and you'll get the same answer"