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Q1 2026 Results

20 May 2026 07:00

RNS Number : 9659E
SuperSeed Capital Limited
20 May 2026
 

SUPERSEED CAPITAL LIMITED

(the "Company")

 

UNAUDITED INTERIM RESULTS FOR Q1 AND THE THREE-MONTHS ENDING 31 MARCH 2026

SuperSeed Capital Limited, a company established as a venture capital fund of funds for early-stage AI/SaaS companies, announces unaudited results for Q1 2026 and the three-months ending 31 March 2026. The Company invests in technology-led innovation, primarily through funds managed by SuperSeed Ventures LLP (the "Investment Manager"). The Company's principal investment to date is in SuperSeed II LP (the "Fund").

 

 

Financial Highlights for Q1 2026:

· NAV per share has increased by 3p during the quarter, now at £1.36 per share on a fully diluted basis.

· A total of £133,868 was invested in Fund portfolio investments in the period.

 

 

Fund Portfolio and Investment Highlights:

· Fund portfolio averaged 56% year-on-year revenue growth, accelerating from 40% in Q4 2025, with TVPI

reaching 1.41x, net IRR at 19.2% and DPI at 0.11x.

· Two new companies were added to the Fund portfolio in Q1 2026 (All3 and Cursive).

 

 

Outlook for 2026:

· The Fund's investment period has now ended.

· Several companies in the Fund's portfolio are positioning for next-stage financing rounds over the next 12-18 months.

 

 

Mads Jensen, Managing Partner of the Investment Manager, commented:

 

"The Fund portfolio's performance tracks top-quartile benchmarks globally. More significantly, several Fund portfolio companies enter Series A fundraising over the coming quarters, which will drive substantial TVPI expansion in the quarters to come as valuations reflect progress since Seed rounds."

 

 

For more information, please contact:

 

SuperSeed Capital Limited

+44(0) 203 405 3060

Mads Jensen, Investment Manager

 

VSA Capital - AQSE Corporate Adviser and Broker

+44(0) 203 005 5000

Corporate Finance: Andrew Raca / Dylan Sadie

 

 

About SuperSeed Capital Limited

SuperSeed exists to back Europe's best B2B SaaS founders at the earliest stages and to help them build great companies. In the short term, our portfolio companies enable their customers to drive revenue growth and efficiency savings using next-generation software and AI. In the long-term, they have an opportunity to create category defining global technology companies. SuperSeed focuses on the fundamentals by helping founders build good companies with strong unit economics and sensible distribution models.

 

 

Forward-looking statements

This announcement contains statements that are or may be forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this announcement may be forward-looking statements, including statements that relate to the Company's future prospects, developments and strategies. The Company does not accept any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of any information reported by the press or other media, nor the fairness or appropriateness of any forecasts, views or opinions expressed by the press or other media regarding the Group. The Company makes no representation as to the appropriateness, accuracy, completeness or reliability of any such information or publication.

 

Forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as "believe", "targets", "expects", "aim", "anticipate", "projects", "would", "could", "envisage", "estimate", "intend", "may", "plan", "will" or the negative of those, variations or comparable expressions, including references to assumptions. The forward-looking statements in this announcement are based on current expectations and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance and achievements to differ materially from any results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward looking statements include, but are not limited to, those described in the Risk Management Framework section of the Company's most recent Annual Report. These forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the present and future business strategies of the Group and the environment in which it is and will operate in the future. All subsequent oral or written forward-looking statements attributed to the Company or any persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statement above. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as at the date of this announcement. Except as required by law, regulatory requirement, the Listing Rules and the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, neither the Company nor any other party intends to update or revise these forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

 

 

Investment Manager's Review

 

Where the AI economy is, and where venture lives

In Q1, Alphabet alone spent more on capital infrastructure than the entire European venture capital industry invested across all of its startups in the same quarter. $35.7 billion against $17.6 billion. We are not in the same business.

 

The same quarter, Alphabet issued a 100-year sterling bond, the first century bond by a technology company since Motorola in 1997. Amazon's trailing free cash flow collapsed 95 per cent year-on-year, as a single quarter of capital spending nearly matched its full annual operating cash generation. Across Amazon, Alphabet, Meta and Microsoft, combined CapEx ran to $131 billion for the quarter, close to their combined underlying net income from operations once one-off mark-to-market gains are stripped out.

 

This is capital intensity with no real precedent in modern corporate history. It is also not the AI economy you held in 2024.

 

The 2024 AI trade was a single bet. Long the whole stack, financed out of free cash flow, with revenue arriving in real time. The 2026 AI economy is four businesses, each with its own capital structure, its own buyers, its own competitive logic. Three of them are largely outside venture's reach. The fourth is what we are paid to build.

 

The four layers

Layer one is the compute supply chain. ASML, TSMC, SK Hynix, Samsung, Micron, Nvidia, Broadcom, Marvell, Vertiv, Eaton, the data centre real estate platforms. The picks and shovels. Capital intensity is structural at this layer: a single advanced-node fab requires twenty-plus billion dollars of state-backed financing; an EUV lithography tool costs almost half a billion to deploy. New entrants need sovereign capital. The investment cycle here drove much of the global equity rerating across 2024 and 2025. The structural moats remain.

 

Layer two is the compute infrastructure. Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, and a small generation of neoclouds. The buyers of layer one. The 2024 case for this layer rested on a clean equation: real revenue, real moat, no leverage. The 2026 case rests on a different equation. Century bonds. FCF compression. Combined hyperscaler CapEx in a single quarter close to their combined quarterly underlying earnings. The revenue is genuine. The risk profile is not what it was eighteen months ago.

 

Layer three is frontier labs. OpenAI, Anthropic, Mistral, xAI, plus a small set of Chinese laboratories whose models now occupy four of the top five positions on the largest global open-source inference platforms. Anthropic's annualised revenue run rate moved from $9 billion at the end of 2025 to $19 billion by March 2026, and to roughly $30 billion by April, predominantly through Claude Code adoption. The capital required to compete at this layer has scaled past venture: the 2026 lab raises are sovereign-cheque events, not Series rounds. This is no longer a venture business. It is private growth equity at scale.

 

Layer four is everything that sits on top. Applications, embodiment, sovereign-aligned infrastructure, vertical AI for specific industries. This is where domain expertise beats model scale, where customer relationships are vertical and slow to displace, where geography matters because procurement matters, where the unit economics still favour small cheques. It is also where the application surface is much larger than at any prior tech wave. Every industrial process, every workflow that touches the physical world, every embodied system. This is the layer where the next decade of company formation happens. It is also venture's natural ground.

 

Why the layers have separated

The 2024 AI trade did not need this distinction. The whole stack moved together, financed out of operating cash flow, with revenue scaling on top of capability. The mechanism that has separated the layers is mostly about how each one is now funded and who its buyers are.

 

Layer one is now a public-equity story largely priced in. Layer two has shifted from a free-cash-flow story to a leverage story; the rerating from here will be tested against debt-funded CapEx and the unit economics of AI inference at the customer. Layer three has reached scale at which no venture fund can address it; the question is consumer monetisation, not capability. Layer four is the only layer where the founders, the customer pull, and the operating economics still converge at venture cheque size.

 

Most institutional portfolios already hold layers one to three through public market exposure. The complement they do not hold, and cannot easily access, is layer four.

 

The shape is not new

The mobile cycle of 2007 to 2017 ran in the same shape. TSMC, Qualcomm, Apple and Google captured the silicon and platform layers as public-market winners. The application layer fragmented and produced WhatsApp (sold to Meta in 2014, with consideration eventually rising to about $19 billion as the stock component appreciated), Instagram (Facebook, $1 billion in 2012), Uber, Airbnb, Snap. The cloud cycle of 2008 to 2020 followed the same pattern. AWS consolidated infrastructure. The application layer compounded into Slack ($27.7 billion to Salesforce in 2020), Zoom, Stripe, Salesforce itself.

 

In both cycles, the lower-layer concentration was the structural inevitability. The application layer was where venture compounded. AI is shaped the same way, with one wrinkle: the supply chain has consolidated further. There is one EUV maker globally. Three memory makers. Two leading-edge foundries. By contrast, the application surface is broader than mobile or cloud, because the substrate is everything in the physical economy as well as the digital one.

 

Where the Fund invests

The Fund invests at the fourth layer. With its final investment closed on 12 January 2026, the Fund's portfolio is locked at 25 active companies and two prior exits. Q1 2026 is the first quarter where the picture has been complete. The rest of this letter is the Q1 report on the Fund's portfolio.

 

 

The Fund in Q1 2026

 

Performance

Q1 2026 was a quarter of measured commercial progress at the consolidated level. Consolidated CARR closed Q1 at £18.22 million, up £1.39 million in the quarter. The dollar-adjusted figure was $24.0 million.

 

Fund Metrics

Q1 2026 closes strongly with the Fund's final investments now complete:

 

· Net IRR: 19.2%

· TVPI: 1.41X

· DPI: 0.11x

 

The Fund's portfolio, as it now stands

The Fund's deployment is complete. Its final investment closed on 12 January 2026. The Fund's portfolio stands at 25 active companies, with two prior exits.

 

The shape of the Fund's portfolio reflects a long-running conviction: The Fund has always been drawn to software that operates close to the physical world. Manufacturing, logistics, construction, agriculture, supply chains, infrastructure. The conviction predates "Physical AI" as a label and runs back through earlier funds where the Fund backed Industry 4.0 software for the physical economy.

 

Two new Fund investments closed in Q1

The Fund made two new investments in the quarter. The second was the final commitment of the Fund.

 

· All3. All3 builds robotics and AI for construction productivity automation, applying physical AI to a sector that has barely moved in fifty years. The Fund's conviction comes from the founders, who are exceptional both individually and as a unit, and from a hardware platform that is already working in the field. Construction robotics is likely to become a competitive space, and the scope of ambition the team has set for itself is daunting.

 

· Cursive. Cursive is building a closed-loop optimisation layer for self-improving AI agents in production.

 

Spotlight: Hive

Of the Fund's portfolio in the field today, Hive is one of the clearest expression of where the Physical AI thesis is now playing out commercially. Hive's platform lets a single operator control a fleet of autonomous industrial vehicles (forklifts, diggers, construction machines) from a centralised station, dramatically improving both productivity and safety. It is layer-four physical AI applied to a massive, unglamorous market.

 

Forward outlook

The Fund is fully deployed. The performance arc is now a question of what the 25 active companies build, sell and become.

 

Several are positioning for next-stage rounds across the next twelve to eighteen months.

 

From here, the work is converting the positions on the page into the outcomes the Fund underwrote.

 

 

SuperSeed Capital Limited

Condensed Statement of Comprehensive Income

for the period from 1 January 2026 to 31 March 2026

1 January 2026

 

1 January 2025

 

to

 

to

 

31 March 2026

 

31 March 2025

 

£

 

£

Income

 

 

Realised gain on investments held at fair value through profit or loss

-

39,285

Unrealised gain / (loss) on investments held at fair value through profit or loss

141,370

(9,803)

Other income

57

69

Total income

 

141,427

 

29,551

 

Expenses

 

 

Administration fees

7,960

7,843

Audit fees

6,399

6,164

Directors' fees

5,000

5,000

Insurance

1,322

1,036

Legal & professional fees

10,081

9,310

Loan interest

4,973

2,164

Management fees

2,300

2,003

Regulatory fees

5,195

5,142

Sundry expenses

-

93

Total expenses

 

43,230

 

38,755

 

Total gain / (loss) and comprehensive income / (loss) for the period

98,197

 

(9,204)

 

 

 

Basic earnings per share

 

0.0415

 

(0.0039)

 

Diluted earnings per share

 

0.0415

 

(0.0039)

 

All the above items are derived from continuing operations.

 

 

 

SuperSeed Capital Limited

Condensed Statement of Financial Position

as at 31 March 2026

31 March 2026

 

31 December 2025

 

£

 

£

 

Non-current assets

 

Investments

3,567,859

3,292,621

Total non-current assets

3,567,859

 

3,292,621

 

Current assets

 

Trade and other receivables

18,789

7,318

Cash and cash equivalents

3,145

36,062

Total current assets

21,934

 

43,380

 

Total assets

3,589,793

3,336,001

Current liabilities

 

Trade and other payables

43,121

47,499

Loans payable

210,375

50,402

Total current liabilities

253,496

 

97,901

 

Total liabilities

253,496

97,901

Net assets

3,336,297

 

3,238,100

 

Equity

 

Share capital

2,369,743

2,369,743

Retained earnings

966,554

868,357

Total equity

3,336,297

 

3,238,100

 

Net asset value per ordinary share

1.4103

 

1.3688

 

Net asset value per ordinary share

inclusive of notional management fee*

1.3640

1.3325

*In accordance with Section 13.1.2 of the Alternative Investment Management Agreement between the Company and SuperSeed Ventures LLP (the "Manager") dated 21 January 2022, the Manager is entitled to receive from the Company a management fee of 20% of the aggregate net realised profits on investments, provided that no fee shall be payable in connection with any investment in respect of which the Manager already receives a fee. If all assets were to be realised at the current valuation, the Manager would be due management fees in the amount of £109,692.

 

 

 

SuperSeed Capital Limited

Condensed Statement of Changes in Equity

for the period from 1 January 2026 to 31 March 2026

Share Capital

 

Retained Earnings

 

Total

 

£

 

£

 

£

 

Balance as at 1 January 2026

2,369,743

868,357

3,238,100

Total comprehensive income for the period

-

98,197

98,197

Balance as at 31 March 2026

 

2,369,743

 

966,554

 

3,336,297

 

 

 

SuperSeed Capital Limited

Condensed Statement of Cash Flows

for the period from 1 January 2026 to 31 March 2026

1 January 2026

 

1 January 2025

 

to

 

to

 

31 March 2026

 

31 March 2025

 

£

 

£

Cash flows used in operating activities

Net cash flow used in operating activities

(54,049)

(43,378)

Cash flows from / (used in) investing activities

 

Net cash flow used in investing activities

(133,868)

(125,803)

Cash flows (used in) / from financing activities

 

Net cash flow from financing activities

155,000

183,188

 

 

Net movement in cash and cash equivalents during the period

(32,917)

14,007

 

 

Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the period

36,062

27,870

 

 

Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period

3,145

 

41,877

 

 

 

 

 

SuperSeed Capital Limited

Investment Analysis

for the period from 1 January 2026 to 31 March 2026

31 March 2026

 

31 December 2025

 

£

 

£

 

Cost

2,268,996

2,135,128

Cumulative movement in value

1,298,863

1,157,493

Fair value

3,567,859

 

3,292,621

 

 

Investment fair value can be further analysed as follows:

 

 

 

 

1 January 2026

 

1 January 2025

 

to

 

to

 

31 March 2026

 

31 December 2025

 

£

 

£

Cost

Cost at beginning of the period

2,135,128

2,170,199

Cost of investment - settled

133,868

770,794

Cost of investment - sold

-

(805,865)

Total cost of investment

2,268,996

2,135,128

Fair value movement

Fair value adjustment at beginning of the period

1,157,493

880,459

Revaluation of underlying investments

141,370

277,034

1,298,863

1,157,493

Fair value of investments

3,567,859

 

3,292,621

 

 

 

 

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