RE: Read My Last Evenings Post 21.12 Consolidation etc.5 Feb 2020 14:11
As a person who has been monitoring this company for such long time, there are few things it may help new holders understand a bit. Since I started to monitor this share from around 2009-2010 the company was doing fine up until late 2015 (obviously there was ups and downs and sometimes lost 60-70% down in value but it was always able to recover), at one point VAL was valued more than double compared to SAR but now it is 1/10.
At the beginning of the VAL201 phase i/ii trials it was not that bad but since they took over of VAL401 then the company was just sliding down fast. . From my observations there are few things contributed to the down fall:
1) Since the late 2015 They constantly raising funds year after, for a small AIM company you cannot expect the company do well if you keep raise funds every few months.
2) It became so predictable when next placing would be around. It is very much like you know which day of the week VAL would like to release rns. Because people roughly know when the placing would be so they started to talk down the share until the placing over.
3) Most of the placings apart from the last 2 was at least 20-30% discount even during the period VAL was doing well they still gave 30% discounted.
4) The amount raised was too little each time, because of this VAL had to constantly raising funds. I don't know why VAL did not follow SCLP lead by raising large amount, at least enough to cover for longer period and also it makes it difficult for people to predict when the next placing would be.
5) After 6-7 years we still have not heard any proper news about VAL201 clinical trials, forget about V401, it will be years away.
In summary, I think for a small company doing 2 clinical trails in parallel ALONE was too much for VAL, also adding on top of really really really bad management, big salaries and no proper news to cater constant asking for money is making this company the worst on AIM market. Personally I fear that because of the field they are in which is constantly in demand in search for a cure so they will still be around for sometime to come.
BTW, for anyone waiting for the right time to buy in, don't worry, if the company is that good even 2000% go up in one day is still not too late for you to buy in after that, if I were you then I sit and wait, don't feed the BOD anymore. All the best.