Member Info for Xenor

LWHL, I bought a good portion of my shares in the 20s following the FSS win so I am not sure "trading" any as you suggest at that level would be profitable. All I (and others) want here is steady growth to reflect the increasing investment case in the company, not a 40% drop over 6 months as has happened. Besides, lots of people doing what you suggest is exactly why we keep bouncing around in the teens.

Why does this crappy website sometimes insist on removing all of my capital letters after hitting the post button? Really annoying.

"so, if a buyer comes in an meets jws valuation of im ie approx£120m , the sp would stay in the teens. i dont think so. buy on fundamentals , sentiment can change very quickly. financing deal and contracts are on the way."

the share price would likely rocket into the 20s after the trader groups on telegram and twitter ramp the crap out of it. it would bag in a day from this level. then they would all sell causing a sharp pullback as buying interest begins to wane. the rest of those who bought would slowly sell over the following weeks as they get bored because "no news soon!". or their stops are hit due to others selling. we'd likely have a higher base (upper teens) from those who bought in the 20s who are on 30%+ losses as we did after the fss win, but yes i believe we would be back in the teens not long after. this is how every bit of news has gone here since the fss win.

as i said in the other thread, only iis and funds buying will prop up any share price gains as they will not be selling after a week or two. i believe a tr-1 would do more for sentiment here than any news of contracts or the jr as that would signal that iis are starting to buy. the fundamentals here are great, but they won't translate to share price gains until iis and funds come back onboard. the majority of pis will do nothing but ***** and moan whilst trading.

right now ii/funds are holding large amounts of cash or don't like the uk market as was said in the other thread. to attract them to harl we will need to restore confidence by hitting 2023 revenue forecasts, and not pushing break even back another year. closing the finance deal will also help as it derisks the investment a fair bit.

by the way dog, weren't you suggesting 50p by the end of may recently? the share price is defying even my most pessimistic scenarios from earlier in the year when i said i would be happy with 30p at the end of 2023. at this point i would be happy to see us maintaining a share price above 20p at the end of 2023. it's all about 2024 for me now and whether we break even, and hit the 2023 revenue target. i am fairly confident we will hit this year's target, but most of the market will remain sceptical after what happened on december 30th.

So are we all wasting our time investing in HARL and other UK companies? I firmly believe that we will not see any significant share price gains that stick until IIs and funds buy our shares on the open market. PIs are too trigger happy and we will stay in the teens until IIs invest regardless of what news we get. This is the same story all over AIM. Any and all news is traded because IIs aren't propping up share prices.

JW needs to stop giving estimates on the finance deal. I'm totally fine with the idea that we don't need to rush it because we don't need it immediately. But clearly shareholders are panicking because it hasn't been announced yet and are selling their shares or not buying, despite the share price being offensive. Giving estimates that keep getting pushed back just adds fuel to their fire. I thought he would have learned from this when the Q1 estimate was missed.

The newsflow since we won FSS has been dreadful, but the potential is there and is being realised behind the scenes. The numbers will speak for themselves on this as no one believes interviews any more. 2022 results do not matter as we have known them since December 30th, but JW has to hit 2023 targets to regain any credibility amongst institutional investors. I believe he will, but the market will be sceptical until it is written in RNS.

Still holding all my shares, I just can't be bothered with these boards as they have become a chore to use since the design changes a few weeks back that hide all but the latest 5 messages and read from bottom up. And there's nothing to discuss until finance or JR is announced, or a major contract.

hebridean9, you tell me to stop whining but here yoy are trying to scaremonger people into selling to benefit your trade. i have no issue with people selling. what i take issue with is people like yourself who sell and then proceed to talk ****e for the next month to convince others to sell and give you a better re-entry price. broomtree is clearly a trader as well but the difference there is he doesn't talk ****e to get others to sell.

yes there is risk until the finance deal is agreed. we have known that for 6 months now. people invest knowing that. i disagree that we will fall a lot if the jr is negative. a negative result is already priced in now because anyone who was trading the jr result has already sold and they will be stampeding to get back in if we win.

Kaeren, it is quite clear that this individual you called out has traded their shares out a week or two ago and is now trying to convince people to sell at this pathetic level because apparently it is a risky investment. Thus to help his case of getting back in a penny or two cheaper.

Indeed Jabido, the MMs will likely try a 10-20% drop then quickly realise people aren't falling for it and it quickly bounces back to flat. That's my prediction anyway - if bad news were to arrive at this level. If it were to arrive at 18p then that's different, we'd likely fall to 14p. That said, I see far more reason to expect a positive JR result than a negative one.

I can't see the share price fall much if the JR is negative. Those types have already sold for their 17p profits. Thete can't be too many people left here who are only here for IM, they all exited the second we won FSS.

My problem is I don't like selling. I am pretty good at predicting the price drops but I never act on it. Like it was clear when the selling started at 18p that we were dropping back, and I figured we might see 16p again before it bounced. I doubt even the best traders expected 10 red days in a row however. How many more will we have? We must be setting some kind of record here.

We all say invest here, very undervalued, longterm winner etc. But the simple fact is you would have done far better investing in a general saver bank account over the past 6 months than investing here. Only the traders have done better than that.

That's exactly what I thought wyndrum. What is your re-entry price this time around?

Broomtree I wouldn't say that I am upset, more frustrated that holding is not having any benefits. Some of my top ups are nearly 50% down 6 months later. Maybe trading this is the way forward, but as you say lots of pending news that you could get on the wrong side of. That said, I expect any news to be sold into and we'll head back to 13p afterwards on the basis "no news soon!". As I have said before, we will be stuck in this trading range until IIs set a new base. The newsflow should give IIs a reason to invest, but perhaps they are waiting for profitability first. Not breaking even this year has essentially set us back a year. Getting to the point where I'd be happy with being able to hold 20p end of 2023.

No, it implies that for the past 6 months certain individuals have been milking this for 20-30% trades/shortd in both directions. Nothing to do with fundamentals.

Yeah the traders will be re-entering when it drops to 13p. Seems we will be stuck in this 13-18p trading range until IIs invest and set a new base.

Broomtree if you don't think posts can influence the share price of AIM companies then you are sadly mistaken. I own more shares than we have traded on entire days in the past week. It doesn't take many sells or buys to move the share price when the volume is so tiny. That's what these types are preying on. Convince even one or two holders to sell and the share price will drop 3%.

This happens everywhere on AIM. Why do you think dog shares with under 10m mcap are so popular? People with large pockets take a position, post that the share price is moving (due to their buys) on the trader channels of Telegram/Twitter and you'll have half a dozen lemons buying in. Then the ramper sells first. This is happening in reverse here right now as those lot sold at 18p.

If this were a FTSE company then I'd agree that posts are irrelevant. Unfortunately the smaller the market cap the easier it is to manipulate it.

"hebredian has made his position clear, that he hopes to invest again in the future but isn’t ready to do so yet."

indeed... clearly trying to talk the share price down as much as possible to get the cheapest possible entry. seems a lot of trolls have come out after the share price started dropping from 18p. people selling and then talking ****e for the next trade. we've seen it about three times already since november.

it is a bit amusing watching this poster continue waffling on about things that he'd have answers to if he had bothered to do any research on the company. but these people don't care about research, they only look at charts and the share price trying to time their entry and exits.

The placing agenda is on Twitter, not here. Go read the HARL hashtag. There are different agendas playing out here, like those saying "hold" after 9 consecutive days of drops. Should be a screaming buy after dropping 20% that fast on no news surely? But no, wouldn't want people buying when they want a lower entry would they? :)

We're all mugs here holding, in this share and every other share on AIM. Only those creaming 10-20% from share to share are making any money. I bought a little BMN last week at a little over 4p. Was meant to be the best thing ever at the time on their RNS, instantly worth 6p etc. Look at it now! It's a traders market and they're controlling the share prices on AIM.

I try to be patient here even though the share price has done nothing but drop for the past 6 months with a few trader spikes here and there. Nothing wrong with the company, it has a tonne of potential. But the share price isn't going anywhere on this market as IIs and funds have abandoned it.

There's a lot of people with agendas around here this week. All over Twitter as well talking about placings. Pathetic.

We must be due a business update surely? Nearly three months since the last. Some of the points made in the interview would hit better in an RNS, and they can highlight what has gone well over the past few months.

We are also due the (poor) 2022 results soon. Maybe JW will combine them with a very positive update so that people don't focus on the past.

Alao every share on the stock market has people saying "It's not currently investable". Look at any board on this website and you'll see. I wonder why. 😉