Good summary on X13 May 2025 13:15
(1/10) $ADVT.L UK software firm, £200M market cap. Critical software for large/mid-sized firms, public & private. Not just a consolidator.
(2/10) Led by Vin Murria (13% stake), serial and very successful UK software entrepreneur. Sold 2 prior firms to PE, huge returns. Same playbook, same team.
(3/10) £110M war chest (£85M cash, £25M M&C Saatchi shares) for inorganic growth. Originally coming from £130M capital raise in Mar 2021, which are now ready to scale.
(4/10) Failed £250M M&C Saatchi bid in 2022, kept 10% stake. They bought 4 Capita software firms in 2023 for £27M, £5.5M EBITDA.
(5/10) In May 2024 acquired Celaton for £5M, £1.2M EBITDA. Slow M&A so far, but next years should be active, foundations are set.
(6/10) 2023 acquisitions’ EBITDA up 300% in 1.5 yrs. Shows team’s ability to unlock value. More bolt-ons (~5x EBITDA) & bigger deals ahead.
(7/10) Eyes on US, where its HR software has strong positioning. Expected transformational acquisitions, possibly at higher multiples.
(8/10) Trades at ~10x EBITDA, below sector & Vin’s prior exits. Undervalues £110M cash potential. Huge upside possible.
(9/10) Making some napkin math, with £110M & 2x EBITDA leverage, could buy £25-30M EBITDA. Efficiencies could yield £50M EBITDA at 15x, ~3x current valuation.
(10/10) In summary AdvancedADVT $ADVT.L: Proven team, cash-rich, ready for M&A spree. Undervalued with big potential.