Member Info for WiseAfterTheFact

EZJ is my biggest holding. Today's drop surely nothing to do with FTSE100, nor the take-over - just more nerves about the mid-East situation, same across the board. Personally I don't see the Castlelake bid getting anywhere near a fair value (£5.80 at a minimum, in my reading of the technicals). Beyond that, the short term price is largely determined by the actions of someone clearly not at all in control of his mental faculties, so it's kind of pointless speculating. Once he's been neutralised (surely only a matter of time) the future of EZY looks extremely promising.

@Scotty277: "as soon as it is militarily possible". Which means no time soon. Trump is only just realising what a disaster he has been talked into by Netanyahu. Crude supplies might be replaced by Putin's blood oil, but jet fuel is going higher yet.

@FoggtheMogg - well yes, but we don't know that 'peace in exchange for the Donbass' is what would on a referendum card. More worrying is Trump's demand for new elections by May 12th - totally unreasonable given the circumstances.

(Still, I suppose it gives us something of a time horizon for how long he thinks his DoJ stooges can keep the remainder of the Epstein files under wraps, after which his whole steaming pile of sh*t presidency comes crashing down...)

The market evidently thinks differently. Witkoff being reported as saying that there is only one point of difference remaining (for what that's worth...).

Funny how all those Putin shills and shorts who slimed into view earlier this week have all disappeared back into whichever cess pit they emerged from...

LoL. Just goes to show how pretty much everyone on here has nothing but guesses. This is the most active BB of the several I am on, yet no-one has any actual information whatsoever.

Nothing like a triggered Trump-deranged person like @IAGEZJ to wreck what was a pretty good BB for the most part. Sorry now I mentioned that dreadful person. Glad to see the little SP wobble is past, and we're on the way back up to 600 - barring any further conflict alerts...

It's just algos twitching because of Trump's North Atlantic recklessness, UK dragged in, possible stand-off between Russia and the US. More unnecessary instability...

If this oil tanker fiasco blows up in Trump's face, we might see a very different US position on Russia's unprovoked invasion of Ukraine evolving very quickly. The kidnapping of Maduro can't have gone down very well in the Kremlin either...

Interesting to note, @LemonTree1, that you've moved on to *post-peace* challenges to FXPO. It's still as predictable, boring and wrong as your 'Ukraine is doomed' pro-Kremlin garbage propaganda, but at least your political ventriloquists have now got you implicitly mouthing the most important point: Putin is *never* going to succeed in invading Ukraine or stealing FXPO.

LoL, pathetic Putin trying to deflect from peace talks by claiming one of his ill-gotten properties has been threatened by Ukrainian drones.

Reading the shift in tone from this BB's in-house Useful Idiot/Kremlin shill - @LemonTree1 - I'd say that a breakthrough on a peace deal must indeed be near.

@breakofdawn - yes, looks like a very Trumpian face-saver for Putin: being able to claim he stopped something from happening (the invasion of Russia) that was never going to happen anyway. Works for me...

@ceejay101 If you look at previous Russian invasions, you see that 'war' rarely succeeds definitively or clearly stops (Afghanistan was an exception), and that's likely to be the case for some while in Ukraine. The major battle lines won't change, though Russia may consolidate areas, such as the various near-encirclements they currently have. They will continue to destabilise vulnerable areas, as well as sporadic physical, virtual and political sabotage across the country. Much of the country will function more or less normally. Ukraine won't 'lose' unless, through subterfuge, Putin can install a puppet regime in Kyiv.

This status quo will probably carry on until Putin finds some other country to terrorise, possibly one of the Baltic States, which of course would change everything. Or until, as is surely only a matter of time, someone either deposes or assassinates him.

As for neo-Nazis in Russia, to the present...

https://www.latrobe.edu.au/news/articles/2022/opinion/russias-long-history-of-neo-nazis

(Renamed by Putin as 'managed nationalism', in a pathetic attempt to dodge the obvious lie and hypocrisy of invading Ukraine to stop neo-Nazis, whilst tolerating and even supporting them in Russia itself)

The Ryabkov interview was clearly given before the outcomes of the Berlin meetings were known. He might not say the same now. As for Lavrov, same old deranged paranoia, absolutely nothing new to see there, though he does say "The process continues...awaiting response from the US".

@BuyMeAnother - There does seem to have been a bit of a SP correlation between EZJ and my (Ukrainian) FXPO shares, especially in the last six months. Market foreseeing lowered oil price and expanded Euro air travel when Putin's invasion is stopped?

@LemonTree1 - so your ultimate argument is "Go argue somewhere else, coz I'm not worth the effort?" Mwah ha ha. That's why Putin and his pathetic crowd of brainwashed m*r*ns will never win anything, ever.

All accounts from Berlin suggest the walls are fast closing around Putin. Someone needs to offer him an easy way out (maybe Trump can build him a new 'retirement wing' in Mar-a-Lago??). Only reason he's still fighting is he knows that when it becomes clear his military and geopolitical catastrophe has also become an economic one, his chances of not being assassinated/deposed by his own people within a year are negligible to zero.

LoL, Putin shills @JohnNth and @LemonTree1 consoling themselves with histories of minor western losses suffered in upholding democracy. Whoever trained you clearly didn't take into account that some people in the world (outside the Kremlin, that is) are prepared to stand by principles.