Baldy - Oil and gold price25 Feb 2011 09:00
IMO this oil price is a spike and unless the Middle East goes the way of Egypt I think the oil price will drop back down. We could even reach an oversupply situation as the West is reducing its demand due to the recession and whether or not the Far East emerging nations will replace this demand in the short term is questionable.
As far as gold is concerned IMO it doesn't matter how the global economy progresses (inflation, deflation, QE, Middle East upheaval, to name a few) short of a complete recovery in the West gold is the only surefire 'safe haven' .
Investing in commodties and minerals may be relatively 'safe' in the short-term but any global downturn means demand will ultimately fall so long term I feel that gold is the place to be.
Thats my investment strategy at the moment but I am not averse to the odd punt as and where in anything and everything that I have researched. e.g. industrials, technology and mining. But in this fast changing world I could completely change my mind in 6 months. Theres no black and white in this game only 'greys'
Just my opinion of course accompanied by the following warning.
'Past performance is not indication of future performance as shares can go up as well as down'. That is some understatement especially when I look at my investments at the moment.