RE: Explaining/understanding the Ocado new contract delay7 May 2021 10:51
If a new Ocado Solutions contract for a large grocer in a medium sized European country was announced then I can see a straight 15/20%+ added to the SP and then it would rise further. That contract in itself would be small but the realization and confirmation that Ocado was still in demand from others would drive a spike in the shares.
The last overseas contract, Aeon Japan, was signed in Nov 2019. I think the major reason for a delay in a new contract is the difficulties and strain the pandemic has placed on Ocado
I have followed Ocado for many years - listened to all the results releases, researched daily, read all the interviews, seen all the videos etc. The very strong impression I get of Ocado as a company is that when they have a task they want to do it well and meet / exceed expectations. I think this philosophy was heightened after the warehouse fire. Some mistakes were made there. Out of the fire came a strengthened company mindset to be complete and thorough in all they do.
The pandemic arrived in 2020. March 2020 was when it's reality was hitting the UK. It placed colossal strain on Ocado retail. Tim Steiner outlined that it was as if the website was under cyberattack. So many trying to access the site that the Ai pointed to a major threat. Covid has placed huge strains on supply chains, delivery drivers availability, website functionality etc etc. So though Covid has helped the profitability of Ocado retail Ocado have had to devote a lot of extra time and resource to meet the enormous demand complexities of migrating off Waitrose and bringing in Marks and Spencers in the middle of a major pandemic
Ocado know as an absolute priority they have to bed down the Marks & Spencers joint venture well. There is much focus internationally on the venture and it is their most complete shop window to the world, showing other grocers what sort of technology they could have in their country if they too partnered with Ocado.
Other Ocado solutions partnerships around the world in France (Casino), USA (Kroger), Australia (Coles) Canada (Sobeys) Sweden (ICA), Japan (Aeon) Spain (Bon Preu) UK (Morrison's) are critically important too. During the pandemic each of these partners would likely have placed considerable extra demand on Ocado. Asking them for additional tech help in facilitating click and collect for example - Kroger, Sobeys Morrisons and Casino have certainly used Ocado's tech for this purpose for the first time in 2020. ICA have used additional Ocado tech in dark store development aside from the CFC capacity they are building with Ocado.