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Now that Blackrocks THG holdings are below 5% I believe if they sell further they do not need to release any more RNS declarations?

See latest RNS, looks like BlackRock have sold more shares taking them under the 5% threshold..

UK government on the verge of issuing work from home guidance for the festive period and possibly beyond. Millions of workers will again become full time home consumers of grocery. Able to accept in online grocery deliveries at home round the clock.

I was completing my weekly Ocado order yesterday and was temporarily placed in an online queue for 2 minutes with 170 people ahead of me. Demand I feel is ramping up for Ocado retails services. That may well be confirmed at the quarterly Ocado retail results release on the 14th Dec...

JEFFERIES RAISES OCADO TO 'HOLD' (UNDERPERFORM) - PRICE TARGET 1,850 (950)

Good news Allatsea. Hope your Tesla lives up to expectations :o)

JPMORGAN CUTS OCADO PRICE TARGET TO 1,800 (1,900) PENCE - 'NEUTRAL'

Part 2 - General inflationary influenced risk off trade in the general market.

Currently traders are selling stocks with higher risk.

A quote from the below article

"“There’s a flight to quality with companies that you know will weather the storm, not go bankrupt, not have financial distress,” Needham analyst Laura Martin told CNBC."

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/03/worst-performing-tech-stocks-this-week-suggest-us-over-lockdowns.html?__source=androidappshare

Inflation is rising and reducing the growth forecasts of growth stocks. Stocks with low current profits have been sold off over the last week. Ocado has been sold off but others have had steeper sell offs. Pandemic food delivery winners such as Just eat, Doordash (USA) and Deliveroo have been sold off greatly. On the plus side borrowing rates are incredibly low currently and the demand for the best online grocery systems is strong. The online grocery trend will continue upwards and Ocado has a profitable solution for grocers around the world to combat Amazon/Walmart etc.

Where will things go from now?

Ocado is well financed, has income from its ownership of half of Ocado retail UK flowing and also income from the fees it charges of around 4-5% of all the value of goods processed via the 4 active Ocado Solutions CFCs. All the Ocado overseas contracts are progressing well as far as I can ascertain. Ocados management team has been strengthened over the past year.

I believe the current sell off will be reversed. There have been many, many of these sharp corrections in the past only for Ocado shares to push higher at a later date. Retrospectively £29 was a very high pandemic fuelled price for Ocado shares. It will take a while to reach those sights. More realistically a return to £18-19 should be achieved before long.

Interim Autostore ITC patent court case ruling is due on or before 13th Dec. Ocado retail trading statement is due on 14th Dec.

Interesting times ahead. Best to all.

Below represents my views, always do your own research.

Part 1 - The 2 main current drivers to Ocados share price are Omicron and a general inflationary influenced risk off trade in the general market.

Part 1 - Omicron. When Omicron emerged in mid November it pushed the Ocado share price from mid £17 to a top of £19.5 on 19 Nov. Reason being it was assumed the new virus represented a good chance of more lockdowns and a general worsening extension of Covid. Lockdowns/ working from home have a clear correlation with increased sales of online grocery and an acceleration of the consumers channel shift from store to online.

That Omicron boost has worn off. It may boost the Ocado share price once more but there is mixed data emerging. Omicrons higher transmissibility is clear however currently it seems the symptoms are mild. Alpha and delta symptoms though, when they initially emerged, were mild also, then they worsened. As Omicron has high transmission even though hospitalisation rates are lower if the virus circulates more than delta it could lead to higher hospitalisation.

On the downside there is a chance that Omicron quickly displaces Delta around the world (very likely) and that the symptoms are mild, reducing hospitalisation rates and deaths (data unclear). If Omicron becomes dominant and is mild it could end the pandemic early as the key problem for society has been the clogging up of hospitals. If hospitals are not overloaded then further covid restrictions that help Ocado are unlikely.

Many online grocery CEOs have commented that the pandemic has escalated the adoption and growth of online grocery by 5 years. If the pandemic slows then further growth will occur at a slower level reducing Ocados growth estimates and crimping its share price.

Overall I believe Omicron will be mildly positive for Ocados share price. Travel bans, more working from home should boost Ocado a little. Alpha and delta were worse than the variants that came before them. Omicron could continue this trend. Work from home should increase around the world.

It's a fair question Allatsea.

I closely follow Ocado and over recent months on a couple of occasions in q and a sessions Ocado management have commented that they are experiencing some issues re components for their robots but they are getting around the issues. I believe these issues have been factored into the current share price for a while now. Autostores recent results in late Nov outlined robot component supply issues. Their shares were not hit by that news when it was released and Ocados share price didn't move downwards also.

Ocado have been opening recent new CFCs on time in the USA. I listened to every minute of Krogers results presentation this week. It was all glowing praise for Ocado. Kroger are in extremely good health. They raised their guidance and their shares rose greatly.

There are bigger general market issues causing Ocados current share dip. I will start another thread on this board later this weekend regarding that.

Yes knowbodyyouknow. There is bad sentiment around THG. That lack of transparency of the business/ big unknowns I believe is proving too risky for many currently as they cash in stocks/ seek out safer stock plays in the current extremely volatile overall market

As I've said many times before this sentiment could all change in an instant. I've been invested in THG before as I think that reversal is possible. Management are aware of the issues and would know how to resolve/combat them.

Currently it's the sidelines for me re this stock.

Halma,

I believe norrab1s comment is directed to pursestrings. He produced scare story numbers around Ocados bonds and as yet cannot back up his numbers...

If Omicron displaces Delta and only gives mild symptoms then the pandemic could end early. That wouldn't be a good thing for etailers.

Mixed data currently, soon all will be clear. IMO increasing cash on sidelines currently is a good move. Opportunities ahead..

"Corporate Profile - The Kroger Co." https://ir.kroger.com/home/default.aspx

Could be interesting info within their release for Ocado.

Pursestrings,

Please provide more information re your bond info using Ocado RNS and their dates. I've looked it over and disagree with your statement "For every 1£ above £17 costs the company £600 mil. "

Cheers

Mando,

Dow was 34,966 at UK market close. Dow finished at 34,022.

FTSE 100 futures currently down 112 points.

It's not shock reporting. Along with the newly found Omicron case in the US it is the reason the Dow is plummeting in the US as I type..

Omicron - Stats just released. South Africa covid cases have doubled in the last day

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/south-africa-scientists-covid-johannesburg-world-health-organization-b1968003.html

Pokerchips,

Re Omicron I said on this board "It's all about that Omicron risk. Currently I believe it will be worse than the market believes. "

FTSE futures have just plummeted as the Dow has sold off due to the first declared Omicron case being found in the USA. I may well be right there.

A very good time to have some funds in cash.

Pokerchips,

I am surprised by your comments. There are many trading strategies out there. We all are entitled to use whichever one suits us best. Sometimes I long hold, sometimes I take a quick profit/loss, sometimes I come out all square. The key for me is that over time I pick more winners than losers. This keeps my trading account ticking upwards.

I won't try and belittle you as you do me. You have a loss so far on THG. I have a very small profit. The story hasn't ended. Over time we will see whether holding THG or selling out was the correct course of action.

The share could be on the cusp of a big move upwards. I hope that happens for you all. I can only use my best judgement when I trade. Am following the unfolding THG story with great interest.

Best to all

Cheers Mando. Am keeping the cash on the sidelines currently. Incredible times to be an investor. Intensely seesawing market sentiment daily. Value plays a plenty.