The dollar has fallen25 Jan 2018 09:11
about 6% against the pound since Xmas. The price of copper in dollars is the same as it was at Xmas ($poc). It follows that the price of copper in sterling (�poc) has fallen by about 6% over this period. The share price was 815p at Xmas. It is now 862p as I write, so we appear to be having a good month
Of course at Xmas the output figures were not known, and they seem to be at or above expectations. The trend in copper prices is being muddied, IMO, by what is happening to the dollar. The dollar index is now only a little above 89 and is lower than at any point since 2014. It may be returning to its normal level in the low 80s which prevailed in the first half of the decade.
What appears to be a rise in commodity prices is in fact a fall in the dollar. Once this effect is stripped out, commodity prices are flat or falling. The same is happening in gold. After a long flat period in January up till now, copper stocks are rising sharply again this week, and this may be putting a break on price.
Kaz definitely remains a hold while we wait for the financial results.