Member Info for triumph1

Just regurgitating posts lol. report

A very very naive comment asimpleinvestor. Im not sure which planet you live on, but the wealthy are highly mobile and are fleeing at a record rate. This is not opinion, its a fact. Im not sure what part of this to you is a myth.

Stating that capital outflows and millionaire mass exoduses are a myth, and they will all stay and suck it up for the socialist cause is a ridiculous comment. Again, what planet do you live on? If this is what helps you sleep at night, and you expect the wealthy will hang around whilst being mugged so be it. You will have a rude awakening however!

When will socialists ever learn this simple fact! The wealthy will move heaven and earth for two things: to avoid paying taxes and to make money. Use that fact and build policies around it, just like Thatcher did. There will ALWAYS be wealth inequality! Banging on about the wealth divide is sheer folly, and will never meaningfully narrow in a capitalist world. Its not the gap that matters however, its the line drawn that depicts the minimum standard of living we should have in the 21st century. Any governments key aim should be to drag as many people out of poverty, and above this line as possible without banging on about inequality gaps because a) its a problem that can never be solved, and b) you can never achieve this whilst attempting to manage wealth gaps through taxation on those at the upper echelons. The solution has always been to let them do what they do best! This is textbook neolibralist economic thinking.

For each one lost, it is the equivalent of around 50 standard tax payers on average, not to mention other taxes lost, growth opportunities and wealth creation opportunities lost, job creations lost.

As you rightly say, lets stick to the facts.

https://www.ftadviser.com/uk-economy/2025/3/10/non-dom-regime-govt-unresponsive-as-capital-flight-accelerates/

Asimpleinvestor, you have failed to explore the other option the wealthy have. They can simply go elsewhere where they dont pay as much tax, can still invest into that economy, wind down operations here and make even more money. The UK then get zero! Taxing the wealthy has never worked due to the laffer curve, which states that there is a percentage tax rate that yields maximum revenues for governments. However, going higher than this optimal rate then begins to rapidly lower revenues until at 100% tax rate, the revenue generated will of course be 0.

Why are you talking as if the UK is their only option? This is not a zero sum game where the wealth has to go somewhere within the UK! it will simply flow offshore like it has been doing. Competition for capital inflows between countries is fierce.

I thought we started to turn a corner, but seems like the market still wants to nitpick and find any reason to bash LGEN. Certainly didnt deserve a near 4% drop this morning. This one is very testing, but had the same with BARC and look where we are now. I am still convinced that this is grossly undervalued. But still need interest rates to drop.

Everything looked pretty solid except a temporary dip in solvency ratios and a dip in asset management profits.

But hey, if it keeps the CEO sharp, then all could be good in the long run. Market says, "okay, but we want more, faster!"

Love the sarcasm Takayama...

This view is based on a static GDP. Sure, some of reforms numbers dont yet add up, i agree with that. But one key element is the growth that such measures could/would ignite which would have a profound impact on our debt servicing cost. We could effectively grow our way out of this hole.

Growth however is notoriously difficult to predict under such scenarios. And would the bond market even give farage the benefit of doubt and a chance to grow out of the problem? They certainly didnt give liz truss the chance! The numbers would have to add up from the onset, and you cant BS your way past the bond vigilantes. Especially in a weakling country with a dismal last quarter century like the UK.

So yeah, i have always said that reform need to move away from the one trick pony immigration stuff as they have already slam dunked that, and move onto being more vocal about economic reform and printing some legible numbers that are realistic and workable. Dont leave it too late to do this Mr farage!

Strange thing to say STP. Anyone who were on the left and wished to register a protest vote would go straight to greens. On the right, they had lib dems (ohh err) or reform.

Cant believe i have to spell this out, but I dont think right wing reformers will flock to a loud and proud socialist corbyn! It doesnt take einstein to work out that a reform voter is not going to be too fond of corbyn and his priorities/ideals.

For starmer, it is a disaster. This has pretty much sealed his fate as a single term leader. Mass defects are expected. Its also a disaster for the greens, who will now lose their protest seats won to corbyn. Lib dems may lose a few votes, but not many. Tories and reform will be unaffected.

I do not at all underestimate how many seats corbyn will win however! I actually think he will win many seats in urban areas. Socialism has come back with a vengance in the UK over the last 15 years, right under the nose of the tories who allowed it to happen! Now kids have a vote, its very likely a lot of the 16 to 18 urban vote will go to corbyn!

i dont think its silly to suggest there are over 100 seats that are relatively low hanging fruit for corbyn which will all be taken from labour and the greens. Possibly more. There is a big following of pro palestine, pro immigration, pro woke, anti police, anti british socialist ideals out there. The tories allowed our urban centres to become a breeding ground for these ideals.

Reform will continue to galvanise the right, taking in the tory voters and making inroads at traditional labour heartlands who have become disenfranchised by labcons decades of lies and ignorance. Corbyn will hack away at hard left labour votes (and there are many), and greens will cease to exist in any form.

Starmer has nothing to lose now by going full-fledged centre and attempting to attract the libdem, tory and moderate reform voters. He will never win back support from the left vote, and now they have the real mccoy corbyn. He must go all in on boring centre policies now and getting a grip on the economy is key to achieving this and winning those Lib Dem votes.

In 2029, it will almost certainly be a hung parliament unless something radical changes. I cannot see any party getting a clear majority. Reform can easily win 250+ seats, corbyn say 50 but could be much more, labour 200ish (losing their massive majority), tories 100 or less. The rest fighting over the scraps. There is a lot of animosity between corbyn and starmer so any coalition there would be very volatile. A reform/tory coalition is more likely despite what the tories say about never forming an alliance with reform. This may be their only way back to power!

Indeed. And i dont see an army of 16 year olds coming to save starmer from his bunker. In fact they can easily turn on him. After all, what does this government do for the completely disenfrachised youth with the odds stacked against them. What hope does a working class 16 year old child have in this current government?? Starmer doesnt give a toss about 16 year old working class indiginous children. "children" who come over in boats on the other hand will be given hair dye for their greying hair.

This can be easily countered by Farage. He could resurrect the EMA scheme again for 16-19 year olds in England. Simples. Like giving candy to a baby.

Starmer is obsessed with Reforms meteoric rise and is throwing the kitching sink at farage in attempt to cause him to stumble. This is the latest in a long line of desperate attempts to fend off Farage. However, this probably wont make much difference. Despite the woke indoctrination of our kids at school nowadays, many this age are likely to vote the same way as their parents. And if the parents dont vote, the kid is unlikely to.

If anything, this could epically backfire and bring the totally disenfranchised youth closer to corbyns new party, splintering even further the labour party. Corbyns new party will decimate starmers labour party majority with his attempts to hard lean right to fend off farage and p1551ing off the vast number of woke labour voters, socialists and palestine supporters which will defect to corbyn.

Heck if i had socialist tendancies, in fervent support of palestine and were a traditional left wing unionist wishing to renationalise everything, swell the state and to bring back the 98% tax band for the rich (ambition tax), corbyn would absolutely get my vote. Im sure you will be voting for corbyns new party, right STP?

Imagine a corbyn government lol. That would be the final nail in the coffin for UK. Capital would sprout legs and flee faster than the speed of light.

Starmer has not learnt yet that if you give an inch, they will take a mile and then keep coming back for more! Now everybody has smelt starmers stench of weakness and will flock with begging bowl in hand, armed with the phrase "please sir, can i have some more". Instead of slapping them down like poor unfortunate oliver twist was (and i'm sure it wouldnt have ended well for him if he threatened to strike), the labour government crack open the beluga and champagne with the expectation of "that will be that, now you have been fed, you can get back to work", without the foresight of realising that now, they have a taste for caviar and champagne, subsequently demanding a nearly 30% increase on top of their already massive increases! The only politician to grasp this was Thatcher; the only way to control militant unions was to give them the oliver twist treatment.

Another day, another U-turn, and another "black hole" in the making as starmer folds faster than cheap cardboard. The unions have seen the militant left backbenchers revolt, and will attempt to rally them to their cause. This was almost certainly a direct result of last weeks U-turn.

To put this into perspective, they had a 29% increase over the last 3 years!

Stephen Sanderson, the Company's Chief Executive commented:

"This divestment is fully in keeping with my fat salary as the company's transition away from being a viable entity is rapidly approaching. The proceeds being utilised to further pay my salary and fill my pension coffers for a little longer, and ramp our subsidiary UK Energy Storage's material salt cavern hydrogen storage projects in Dorset and Yorkshire which we all know is worth about as much as the dust found in our many drilled wells, but is required to conduct a couple more placings to pay my salary. We wish Servatec well in their future stewardship of UKOG (GB)'s assets."

Funny he mentions transitioning away from hydrocarbons like ukog was some major or something....what hydrocarbons HAHAHAHA. Thats the problem Sanderson, there was never any hydrocarbons HAHA. Global warming solved now UKOG has transitioned away!

Now selling off company assets to pay his salary as nobody wants to place. How much lower can Sanderson get? Hold on to your clobber shareholders, Sanderson is coming for your shirts and shoes.

And no STP, Israel are NOT comitting genocide! Myself, along with the UK and most other western governments do not believe Israels actions have met the legal threshold for their actions to be described as outright genocide as it lacks a racial/idealogical motivation and element. I personally do not believe they are systematically seeking and destroying palestinians for no other reason than purely for the sake of being palestinians. They are systematically seeking and destroying Hamas, which love to dig tunnels under hospitals and civilian infrastructure and effectively use their citizens as human shields, a much beloved tactic by terror and despotic groups. The tunnel Hamas dug under the Al-Shifa hospital in Gaza City is real and is irrifutable evidence of Hamas using citizens as shields. Yet their is such little comment from people like yourself regarding this sick tactic employed by Hamas.

HOWEVER i do believe israel must change tactics as the level of death and destruction to the civilian population in Gaza is completely and utterly unacceptable and simply cannot continue on its present course. But to call this genocide misunderstands the word in its legal context, despite the end result looking very similar to genocide on its present course. You can certainly then argue the point that "who cares what we call it if the end result is the same, the death and destruction of innocent civillian populations" and would wholeheartedly agree if you came to me with this argument, and we could then come to terms with apportioning blame appropriately and fairly between both warring parties. But unfortunately you didn't/don't and radical lefties such as yourself just seem to be content with one liners calling israel genocidal for some reason without a scrap of critical thought. So stop being a trend follower and try becoming a thinker!

The irony is however, the chants and slogans used by the far left, Iran and its terrorist proxies regarding death and destruction to zionists, the very word zionist has a very strong racial undercurrent and meaning that targets a very specific group of humans. These elements strongly imply and calls for the destruction of this group of people for the act of simply being this group of people, i.e. Jewish. This would certainly constitute a genocidal will against Jewish people in a legal context.

And lets not forget the indiscriminate slaughter of Jews by Hamas in Oct 23. Why? For the crime of simply being a Jew! Nothing more, nothing less! They could have targeted Israeli government heads like Israel have done to hamas, iran and hezbullah, they could have targeted embassies or government buildings like israel have done/did! They may have even got more sympathy from me if they targeted israeli decision makers! But no, the cowards chose innocent civillians for no other rhyme or reason other than being jewish. This is the definition of genocide in its purest form!

full force of the law now needs to come crashing down on the bbc and this vile performer. all lines have now been crossed and i dont think even the bbc can worm their way out of this **** storm unscathed. we have been saying it all along regarding the gross bias of the bbc. this is undeniable evidence in the endemic level of bias and antisemitism within our national broadcaster that has been allowed to fester. if nothing happens to the performer that aired those vile things which are orders of magnitude worse considering the platform and reach this fool was given, it goes to show with evidence how we now live in a 2-tiered society. starmer needs to find the political will to make an example out of him to have any chance of stopping reform capitalising on this incident.

unbeknown to that brainless idiot performer, this has done nothing but harm the cause. this is a perfect reform campaign video and farage will now galvanise support amongst centre moderates on this issue who are still on the fence regarding reform. if an example is not made of this performer, it will undoubtedly drive centre moderates into the arms of farage. who can blame them ofter this.

i hope farage will thoroughly gut and purge the bbc if in power. its long overdue.

thats why its so difficult to manage them. a good example of when having such a large majority can be a bad thing! especially when you have legacy hardcore communists and champagne socialists by the dozens sitting on your back benches waiting to rebel at the first sign of shrinking the welfare state or any other policy a *** paper width right of chairman mao (which urgently needs to be done). the distance between centre and left is far greater and far more anisotropic than the distance between centre and right, naturally making a large majority labour government much more difficult to manage and getting everyone to sing from the same hymn sheet. only blair managed this feat, and starmer is no blair....although given how "progressive" we have come since blair who began his tenure still in the shadow of maggies systematic slaughtering of socialist ideas, taming these emboldened backbenchers today has become arguably more difficult given their free reign. churchill used to put potential troublemakers into the cabinet! keep your friends close, but enemies closer! perhaps starmer would be wise to do the same, but he wouldnt have the balls to be that bold.

the problem is, you give them an inch, and they will take the full mile. now they will be emboldened to continue rebelling against any changes. this is where governments get stuck in the mud to make any meaningful change. starmer has dug himself a right hole here with these u-turns!

so starmer can no longer effectively deliver change he promised due to the same old labour problems. the tories will not govern again for another quarter century at least after the mess they created, and thats if they can fend off farage which is looking very unlikely. forget talk of reverse takeovers, reform are now likely far bigger than the tories and reform is likely to swallow them whole. if one big credible name defects to reform, the tory party will be no more. like it or not, reform are now big players in the game, and is looking increasingly like the favorite to be the next pm. they look like the only party who will actually deliver "change". for good or for bad who knows? but maybe they actually deserve a chance! if we dont like, we can bin them. after all, whats the alternative?

Starmer maks a U-bend in a drain look straight. How much more of a fool can he make himself look? I have lost cound how many U-turns that is now? Has starmer found himself in a road where both ends are cul-de-sacs?

We used to have real leaders as politicians. I guess this new breed is just a sign of the times we have found ourselves in.

Politicians of old: "For those waiting with baited breath for that favorite media catchphrase "the u-turn", i have only one thing to say. You Turn if you want to, the ladys not for turning" Margaret Thatcher.

Looks like iran played the only card left in their deck to save themselves from annihilation! This is a full and unconditional surrender, nothing less otherwise Israel would have never agreed to it!

Now its up to the people from within to force a reigime change if they so wish! They have been sufficiently weakened.

Well played Trump! Well played indeed! Iran effectively neutralised at the price of a few bombs. Bargain of the century!! Let that be a lesson to any other rogue elements. The western gloves are off, and no amount of whining from the lefty terrorist sympathisers will stop Trump.

Nice perspective guys. Lets let despots, terrorists and rogue terror groups the world over get their hands on nuclear weapons and hold the world to ransom whilst we sit and twiddle our thumbs, worried what the left may think if we intervene. I certainly didnt shed a tear regarding the downfall of hussein! Or unless you can explain why Iran needs that quantity of uranium enriched to that level for "peaceful purposes", because when the Iranian president was asked, he couldnt answer! No scientists have an answer other than to develp atomic weapons! Do you have an answer STP?? Thank goodness we finally have a real leader in the white house, and not some lefty twerp worrying about the opinions of pathological anti west idiots because its the latest trend, and likely live a world away from these reigimes in the suburbs of LA or London and have never experienced life for a single day in one of these despotic reigimes that they express sympathy for.

The EU has already been compromised! God knows how many sleeping terror cells there are in the UK alone considering how porous our borders are, just waiting for the command to commit atrocities! Thats why Starmer is being spineless! He knows that any attack on Iran, and the UK would likely suffer many terror attacks as a result of failed immigration and vetting policy over decades, and that we have been well and truly infiltrated. One more terror attack will likely ignite huge civil unrest given the tinderbox we now live in caused by said failures, and would power farage into government. Thats the real reason Starmer wont join in.

Nethertheless, rogue reigimes with an atomic bomb, only an idiot would think the right course of action is to sit back and let that happen.

It would simply be a matter of when, not if a dirty bomb was smuggled into a western country and devistated an urban population if the Iran reigime were allowed to continue enriching uranium unabetted.

Reminds me of one of thatchers famous speeches at an 80s party convention on socialism;

- You want to keep more of the money you earn? Im afraid thats very selfish! We shall want to tax that away!

- You want to own shares in your firm? we cant have that! The state has to own your firm!

- You want to choose where to send your children to school? Thats very divisive! You'll send your child where we tell you.

"Socialists dont like ordinary people choosing, or they might not choose socialism" - Margaret thatcher.

Farage is an inevitability. Been saying it for years. Results confirm it is now a when, not if! The tories are stone cold dead, completely lost! Thats what happens when you forget who you are and oversaw the biggest reduction in living standards, the biggest increase in immigration and crime and completely browbeaten into identity politics and wokery. Only a miracle can save the tories now! Perhaps they can try sourcery to bring back thatcher from the dead? Thats the only tory that could sort out that mess!

Labour as of today are simply keeping the seat warm for farage come 2029. If they dont listen to people and businesses and get a grip on immigration, they are out and farage is firmly in the hot seat. The reckoning is coming!

Also, they use the baseline for comparison when we were at the height of Covid. Remove that anomaly, and waiting times are higher than ever! They must think we are all stupid. Waiting times are still significantly higher than pre-covid! As Gateboy stated, the money went on pay rises and pensions, further bloating out the public sector. Not efficiency and productivity drives that would actually make a difference. There has been ZERO real improvement! Things are still as bad as ever, if not worse as now we have to pay more in taxes!!

Labours slogan should be "Pay more, get less"