RE: Bought in21 Jun 2020 14:19
Holdings post Ruffer reduction in June 2nd. They have not sold a declarable amount since. Also University of Nottingham probably out now, 29th May. Possibly due to Covid financial impact.
Balderton Capital III, LP……..10.7%
Genostics Company Ltd……..10.1%
Blind Trust (Richard Sharp)…7.0%
Ruffer LLP………………………….. 4.7%
Credit Suisse……………………….4.7%
Mr Timothy Brian Bunting……4.7%
Premier Miton Investors …….3.3%
Add in other directors small holdings that’s around 45% but looks like quite a bit of interest below declarable, 3% UK, 5% international....
“ as at 11th May 2020, 28.6% of the Company’s AIM securities was not in public hands.”
Warrants... “IPF a warrant, exercisable for seven years, to subscribe for 2,036,015 new ordinary shares of £0.01 in the Company at £0.87p” this is for the loan. No others which is encouraging.
Options from 2019 nothing excessive and..
“subject to the rules of their respective plans including vesting in five equal annual parts. Of this total of 101,281: 56,352 share options are exercisable at £1.09, 37,778 share options are exercisable at £1.08 and 7,151 share options are exercisable at £1.26.”
So the warrants are all currently within the share price and fair play to the BoD. Still I think the directors bar R Sharp who added significantly are a bit light though albeit I appreciate not all AIM directors are millionaires.
Looking forward a key driver will be sales from CDT-Lung and CDT-liver.e.g 200k tests is £12m (x costs). 3 year plan will increase scope of tests with Ovarian, Prostrate and breast in next 2months. These should soon be big numbers at all high margin and with existing contracts and unmet need sales should be forthcoming.
Add in the immunoinsights, we have been told 2 more deals to come and you get a picture of a strong developing revenue base.
They may raise for acquisitions or perhaps if there is a revenue lag but then they have credit facilities. Imo any raise should be at a much higher SP. It helps that a couple directors have significant holdings. They have just moved to new labs and have lab capacity as offering Covid diagnostics to Pharma so infrastructure/capacity is ok.
Royalty payments from Roche, undisclosed, plus 3 others & a five-year US$28mln partnership with Biodesix. Don’t loose sight that we have a immunogenic protein library of over 8k antigenic proteins. It’s massive!
Min 8k lung cancers in uk not diagnosed as a result of Covid lag. Amplify that globally and you get the pent up demand. The test cuts due process short.
4% of health care budget is spent on diagnosing cancer and 96% spent on treatments (all referenced)!
Auto antibody treatment is proprietary to ONC! ‘Leading Pharma will pay top dollar for diagnosis’…so ONC are profiling the immune system to identify cancers and responses to treatments. Massive potential!
“Plenty more Roche’s are in the pipeline!” Quote!
Expect Finncap to increase their £1.50 Sp target soon.
Trek