RE: Evi friday1 Feb 2026 20:15
hi tro,
it’s weird i likewise have done so well on falling sp’s or catching bottoms (like you)!
a little different from you but i also follow your bouncy mantra…. and have timed a few!
and it works. obviously as long as they bounce!
for balance i have also lost on the non bouncers albeit in my earlier days through inexperience and sht luck - but that applies to all!!
take for example dec i had a significant position, for me. i mean a good %. then i could see the short attack and the shares dropping.
i was slightly outta profit from an already good average.
rather than sit and suffer i sold at a small loss. then bought the same number of shares back 20% less and had that difference in cash!
i then worked the ***** buying and selling and only using new money when i felt sure!
over several months i got lucky. i made probably over 30 trades and only a few were outta profit.
now even with the sp on its knees i am +15% up at the moment excluding a lot of profit in divi’s! ,
i have been as high as 45% up in dec but i don’t worry about the sp now as it’s mostly free carry. job done - i want income!
so i am now back to my original rational for exposure there. high yield, us gas growth - data centres macro etc - energy hedge - currency hedge via divi’s.
these factors hold.
but it really only makes sense from the basement sp!
the point is…..
getting a double digit yield and throwing off loads of cash from a falling sp is possible on many stocks - not just from growth!
making money on likes of nesf where there is negligible spread, no stamp and great vix plus even backwardation which means i have sold and bought back cheaper within seconds - several times! opportunities do exist!
and i now have a +16% yield on nesf and if the divi is cut well the chances are i gain from my basement sp average!
i have done the same at ukw, seit, rgl etc i could go on but please note imo you can only do it with stocks you don’t mind holding.
as that is your fallback position!
i have also messed up on some, grx is an example - i sold at 50p ish from 43p expecting a pullback after the placing and now i can’t buy enough shares to get back in. i should have stuck to my usual plan and only sell and buy in a percentage! not get emotional all in or all out! doh!
we are always learning- imo it helps to share!
hope that helps!
usual caveats
trek