Brief analysis9 Jan 2024 20:44
Hopefully, the share price establishes a higher low at 12.6p on the 5 hourly chart today and moves higher in the coming 2 days. The peak 5 hourly chart for the high was at 18.2p. The share was moving way to fast towards 20p as a lot of entities wade through data and decisions to make. The way to slow things down is getting near the previous low at 12pas today, but creating a higher level of support that was achieved by the close of today. We should know tomorrow if we will see another run at 18p, but hopefully over a longer time frame of several days. Various bodies will be doing their own due diligence processes after applying their own peer review decision systems.. These take two weeks to work through so that various boards are acting on agreed information and risk analysis outcomes. A lot of people are deciding do they write off or continue the project and if they continue on what terms.
It is likely in my own opinion various funders want to get the project done and the second part of the analysis is the funding mechanism and likely exit strategies that different contributors need to achieve. The price fall today had nothing to do with this, but a fear of a second wave of inflation impacting the global market was impacting many shares today. Freight rates have doubled again because of Red Sea avoidance measures. By next week another problem may arise to divert market behaviours quite differently on what was considered important today.
Overall I hope my theory of a higher low towards a slightly higher high in share price and of course it may go back to another higher low later is the current dynamic but maintain another higher low in the 5 hour chart patterns. I am not trading or acting upon these moves myself and await a future RNS. The key question is whether the world wants cleaner nickel production at a price that is affordable and is an enabler towards climate protection influencing nickel product buyers. I sense the answer to that answer is yes after all the climate impacts of 2023 and the high cost they impose on so many of us.
Tony