Thoughts28 Feb 2024 07:35
Steady as she goes, underlying performance is fine..it's the fund level of liquidity which is poor and dragged this down.
I calc that the fund has approx 3.5x EV/EBITDA with Arqiva interest payments to come down materially in 2024 improving this..also new contracts at Arqiva and Verne growing at a 33% rate...it looks ok to me. CEO of subsea cable inv leaving not ideal but being sold and far less material to the fund. Cash of £14m is tight...needs to last until Verne sale or a smaller co. Can be sold..
I would say worth 30p now, 50p on sale of Verne approval/completion inline with Barclays SP target issued in Feb 24.