RE: Good days ahead9 Jun 2020 12:58
Burfords lowest estimate for damages with the YPF / Argentina is around £1 billion,
They have sold off around 40% of that claim to institutions , I was wondering why the institutions would spend hundreds of millions on a case that Argentina can ill afford !!! .
And then it hit me , this is all about getting this essentially solid case into court to collect probably around $3 billion in Argentina bonds money, now if Argentina can't pay cash / that's obvious, then $1 to $3 billion can be traded and sold to write off any tax that any of these companies have, it's a essentially a legally sophisticated tax avoidance scheme,
Burford have a sophisticated investment arm , so they know how this works,
The institutions pay say $2.5 million each , and no matter what, the least they can write off to tax is there initial investment, but with the potential to write off to tax of near 3 times there I initial investment, $7.5 million,
Now if burford gets the 60% of the settlement then these bonds are still tradable on the USA exchanges , if they wish they can sell these to 3rd parties at a reduced rate , so others can write it off to their own tax bills, , burford can use any amount to sell they deem necessary at any given time over many years,
And that's were the real money will be earned in this huge case, the institutional holders can write off around 3 times there initial investment to tax, and we sell these bonds off cheaply to others to effectively do the same thing, we get the cash they get the tax relief, what a fantastic way of monetizing this huge lawsuit case.
This is how we collect a fortune from this case, it's brilliant.
So for anyone out there who's fretting about collecting cash from Argentina, forget about it, it's the American institutions that will pay us hundreds of millions for our lawsuit settlement bonds. That's why 42 American institutions snapped up the opportunity to potentially triple there money. Now it all makes sense now. A brilliant financial stroke from burford, because Argentina have already compensated REPSOL, in legal terms and thinking this case is as good as settled bar Argentina appealing or negotiating the settlement figure out of court.
This is only my belief, it's not just a theory, because it makes perfect tax saving sense .
Please DYOR, and buy/ sell with extreme caution and due diligence, GLA