Member Info for Therapist

GKB,

Naughty monkeys copy paste. Give Romaron credit for personal opinion, experiential anecdotes... and of course Cuban Heels.

Northern, Chilting spotted Amundsen Spirit a good few days ago. I think Chilting should be put in charge of the Straits of Hormuz, spotting danger before it happens. AS is unloading at Wilhelmshaven and has an Orkney Harbour slot from Kraken t.b.c.

Lots of monkeys. I think they are nasty Southern ones though.

Best. GLAXXX

Spin - You need a "Genie of the Ramp". You're casting.

I've mentioned it before but it still makes me chuckle that my better half thought I was buying "tankards". A little knowledge is a necessary thing . . .sometimes.

Yes. Kaboom for starters....

L3 et al,

Link for updated graphs. Bulletproof. https://www.dropbox.com/s/m97tfe9dmlo5pae/Enquest%20Graphing%20Updated%20June%2019.pdf?dl=0

Included at end is a sheet that looks at decline FY18 against FY18. Also a gas graph that shows an anomaly at Crathes April 17 which corresponds with oil production decline. Seemed interesting although a bit dated.

I have modelled oga boepd figures against company figures and have found a percentage decrease that gets me in the company zone going back to Jan 17. I am applying these decreases to oga figures to estimate "saleable product".

CNS 99.5%
NNS (without Magnus) 97%
Magnus 85%
Kraken 98%

I know it's not an exact science but it works for me.

Haven't had the chance to plot in estimates of future improvements but if I do I might go into forecasting mode.

Be good out there. xxx

Romaron, I never left work. In fact I think I might have to try and find a second job unless this ***** starts to fly fairly soon. Keep the faith. Bought some more today. Glutton.

Xcc

Grrrrr. NNS-Magnus. It knows where it is.

Y'all,

Income is my thing. Outgoings seem to be the the work of the devil.

I've been playing with numbers. I have looked at OGA data against Company updates in order to approximate reduction factors per field. I've looked at 6 monthly average decline per field HY2 18 to HY1 19 on flat lining assets (CNS-Magnus, NNS and Malaysia). Those and other assets I haven't factored in any major change, shutdowns or improvements. Modelling against HY1 19 I get 63972 BOPD of saleable oil product for HY2 19. Healthy I think and with improvement potential why the frick aren't they queuing up?

XXX

Just a thought . . . Navion Hispania has been anchored by Gibraltar for over a month, right next to Grace 1 for a period of that. I think there has been an STS via a submersible snergelly hose to NH orchestrated by the GLF (Gibraltarian Liberation Front). They will sit on the load till all this has died down then use it to finance an anti Brexit independence coup. An independent Gibraltar will then offer sanctuary to the caption of Adrian Darya who will rise to become their President and a minor TV celebrity with his own panel show "Where's my Tanker Now".

XXX

So I thought I would use the ops update data to try and reverse engineer enquest production data to aid forecasting. There is a formula in there somewhere.

In doing that I have realised that moving Magnus to the NNS I have double counted it in the boepd graphs so the numbers were way out like a mad woman ****ing. Apologies I've let myself down, I've let the team down and I've let the 60p party down. I'll make it bulletproof before producing again.

In the meantime some thought on SVT https://www.shetnews.co.uk/2019/09/06/terminal-needs-a-lot-of-work-to-stay-competitive-bp-suggests/ in case they hadn't surfaced yet.

NO hovering by Kraken. I think they have to wait for Chilting to get back from holidays.

xxx

Meanwhile NO shuffles closer to the good lady Kraken making ready for some hot sweet, api heavy, jiggy jiggy action whilst some billionaire shipping magnate sits in the background, hot under the collar, desperate to spend top overpriced dollar to get some premium creamy dinosaur juice. And... It's the weekend guys and gals. Have a nice one and take care of each other!!! Xxxx

For all that are interested.

https://www.dropbox.com/s/4oqkm6f2f6r1icf/Enquest%20Graphing%20HY%2019.pdf?dl=0

Magnus has joined the North Sea. Malaysia is estimated as 85% Oil 15% Gas. BOEPD graphs included to show significance of Magnus Gas and overall BOEPD picture. Some numbers at the end for depletion lovers.

Good numbers, not even a "repairer", I'll have paid the University fees before this covers them. Have to use it for the student debt.

GLAXXX

Hi all new and old,

Interesting and painful with newish typers here talking of quick wins but that is the nature of the beast. I hope for good news well accepted tomorrow, to benefit all, but long way to go for break even for me, but loving the journey . . . . most of the time.

Might get up bright and early to digest. Exciting innit.

GLAXXXX

Don't think that sentence has ever been written before. These are the moments I love. xxx

Turning East . . . . Zoiks. Going to make a sprint for the finish line?

Y'all,

Figures out. Just North of 70k bopd net with normal Malaysian estimates. Kraken 43113, Magnus 16344. Best month to date total production I believe. Have a nice Sunday.

Ponzi, sell oil, buy bananas. They're on an upward curve I believe. DYOR xxx.

Yay load 44. It isn't just the world economy that hates me, Marine Traffic chooses to toy with my self acknowledged anal tanker gazing and swap destinations at will. Reading and learning from the clever folk and they are being nice to each other. Keep it up. Xxx

Boo, not AS. Next contender??