Technicals27 Jun 2018 15:55
Among other things, I use a bespoke momentum indicator based on a percentage price oscillator based on EMA 12 and EMA 26 minus the EMA 3 of the PPO. it is now 47 consecutive sessions with the DOWN sign which is very long but we are past the negative peak at the end of may, which is also incidentally in sync with the 20 week cycle that can be observed if you use periodograms or simply spend enough time on the charts, and the indicator is slowly moving toward the positive.
So, apart from the fundamentals that we debate every day, the underlying momentum has already turned and we are getting closer to an UP move.
Luckily, we have also not broken through the mild uptrend, and while we have also not broken through the very long steep downtrend, we are getting very close to the intersection of the two, around the third week of July.
And this is not even before calling in action Elliot waves (which btw play very well in this context imho), where I better defer to BNC.
GLA, Italian out.