RE: Ggp9 Jul 2018 13:26
As far as determining what a fair value is ad therefore whether the current price is fair or too high or too low, you are not providing any actual argument so it's a clear and pointless deramp.
As a point of reference, assuming that
A) to be a palatable target for a major, any one resource that GGP has needs at least 1 mln oz, which should be more than doable, and
B) for simplicity the entire value of GGP is linked to that one resource, and
C) to be really cautious we take a $30/oz valuation
then....
a fair value is the result of the gold price (1265) * the 1mln oz resource * the $30 / the number of shares
which gives 1.29p
Now GGP tends to, in my shallow and not attentive observation, retrace only about to the 50% level, which is 1.37, so we should be, in my opinion, around a fairly safe level.
I am buying at these levels, so my money and my mouth are in sync.
Even considering that trading is not a perfect science and GGP is a high beta share and very volatile and the price is strongly event driven, we can see more upside here than downside, for example pricing the share at $40/oz and 2.5mln oz, which is again quite achievable and gives a valuation at 4.31p.
DYOR of course, I am just thinking out loud.