RE: RE: re: Crack open the Champers21 Mar 2019 13:52
It's not a question of doing something different, and I never advocated an alternative.
We've had QE, that's us, the UK, some would say manageable, it might come back to bite us who knows, but it certainly done its job for the liquidity of the UK banks.
Why wouldn't UK banks take advantage of cheap money offered by the ECB? You say it as though we shouldn't have taken it.
My comment was directed at the eurozone and Dragi's tenure having 6 months to go.
As for Europe.
I posted this last January -
Now don't get me wrong but haven't we been here before?
This is how it started, a brief ECB history of the struggle since
2010 - SMP (Securities Markets Programme) Introduced to ease credit conditions, equal to 2.2% of the Eurozone GDP.
2011 - LTRO - (Long Term Refinancing Operation) At least two goes at this. First one 489b Euro then an extra 529b 3 months later.
2012 - OMT ( Outright Monetary Transactions) This was Draghi’s ‘’whatever it takes to save the Euro moment.
2014 - TLTRO (Targeted Long Term.. ) This time the ECB declined to say how much debt it will purchase. I guess they were running out of acronyms, lol.
Then we had another ‘Big Bazooka’ QE that went on for a bit, just winding up now, but it appears its now restating the 2014 programme TLTRO.
Like I said haven't we been here before.
And so it goes on, the fragmented eurozone were IMO too slow to act after 2007/08. The UK started QE during 2009 the eurozone didn't start until 2015, It was a half hearted affair beforehand. But the key word here is fragmented, It might be one currency but it ain't one country, and therein lies the problem.
It may have increased the banks financial wellbeing but it hasn't increased lending. If it don't work its way through the banking system into the wider economy then quite simply it ain't working.
Just one look at some European banks will tell you that it ain't working.
They have been preoccupied with boosting capital and the longer it goes on the less effect it has. Any talk of stopping QE in Europe has the effect of making the crisis worse. Now what happens is anyone's guess (Wids has a few ideas).
Just more reasons to leave this failing experiment.
Crowcast, you would obviously be happy for the UK to be a north western province of a federal US of Europe. It may cure their woes, but personally I don't want to be part of it, and neither do the majority who voted in the referendum.