Wressle is very underrated23 Sep 2022 18:01
as it is free flowing, not being pumped, with no water cut. Gas is also coming to surface with a substantial amount being burnt off every day. Egdon are working to get this sold off, it's not exactly a major or costly operation whatever route to market they take. It would add substantial revenues to Union Jacks already impressive income. The Gaffney Cline report was sadly misinterpreted by many, but it was intended for institutions/analysts and those who understand the oil sector. They DID understand it, shame the rest of the market didn't and reacted in the way it did. I think the company underestimated the effect this would have and fully expect them to provide a clearer representation of the West Newton CPR. Whilst the content must be presented precisely as it is written, I do believe investors need to see a layman's version too in order to avoid a repeat of the situation over the Gaffney Cline reserves report. That report basically confirmed an average of 800 bopd for the next 5 years. It was, I believe, based on a worse case scenario and we could see a massive difference to what was presented. In addition, the 2.4m barrels of additional reserves, along with gas revenues, were not included. So, for anyone concerned about revenues, this remains a multi-million pound revenue stream for the company, ensuring financial longevity, disputes any suggestion of future placings and allows UJO the potential to afford to develop all of ots remaining assets from cash in the bank.
West Newton is a major play with a minor cost as far as risk is concerned to Union Jack. The percentage owned is, in my opinion as good as it gets. The cost of the whole operation for the company will run to 2/3 million at most, just over 3 months production revenue from Wressle, Keddington and Fiskerton. Almost petty cash based on the yearly revenue stream!
If it resulted in a total failure, the loss is not exactly the end of the world, if it is successful, well, there's multi-millions to the company.
And will it be successful? Every chance in my opinion. They learnt a costly lesson with previous drilling. They now know where they went wrong and why it failed to flow commercially. They are now retrying with that knowledge, using a different technique and knowing that lab tests successfully flowed through the cores. The chances of success will be a lot higher with this knowledge and operational change. The news today stated enough gas for 380,000 homes for a long time. How long? Let's see what the CPR states next week. Personally I think we may be in for a big surprise!
Good luck to all the genuine shareholders who retain confidence in the long term prospects here, I believe it will all come good and my personal beliefs are not 'ramping' as suggested, they are based on the situation the company is in, the desire by management to make it a mid tier company and the position the company has managed to manoeuvre itself into over the past year.