RE: palladium surging13 Jun 2017 09:34
ragnar - I can't find a link for Liberum's new rating, can you help a fellow out please :)
Palladium is looking more and more likely to trade at parity with platinum as each day goes by, the latter may soon become the "substitute" if it becomes the cheaper of the two. Any switch of this sort however would take a long time to implement in practice given industry investment over the past decade or more.
The gains have outpaced those of all other precious metals this year, with the most active palladium futures contract rising 25% year to date compared with gold’s 10% gain. The ETFS Physical Palladium Shares exchange-traded fund (ticker: PALL) is up 29% this year.
Partly driving the outsize returns has been increased consumption in the past few years by auto manufacturers, which use palladium in the catalytic converters that filter car emissions. According to the researchers at GFMS Thomson Reuters, palladium demand in auto-catalyst applications hit an all-time high for the fifth consecutive year in 2016, rising by 5% annually.
When palladium for industrial use is more expensive than bars bought by investors, it indicates higher demand from auto manufacturers. But the current lack of a premium suggests that the need for palladium in catalytic converters is not fueling the rise. Other sources have instead surmised that large institutional holders of palladium have been more reluctant to dispose of their remaining stockpiles and much of the physical supply elsewhere remains tightly held.
http://www.livemint.com/Money/Y65MMI70Vb3Wy77V8as6WL/Palladium-prices-surge-to-a-16year-high.html
Data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission show that net long positions by speculative investors reached the highest level since 2014 in early May. As of June 6, bullish bets outnumbered bearish bets by more than 23,559 contracts, hovering near the high of 23,570 contracts reached last month.
According to Société Générale, palladium has attracted more than double the investment flows in futures and exchange-traded products than its precious metals’ peer platinum this year.
Take a look at the rand chart which is very encouraging! Also Rhodium at $960 contributes around 14%, keep buying at these levels and reap the rewards later I think :)
https://www.bulliondesk.com/palladium-prices/