RE: Trump - Dark Fossil Fuel Clouds Are Coming20 Jan 2025 12:30
Dibs - you and Cureboy are correct. Anything that is running or under construction will go ahead because there are jobs in play, and neither he nor the senators and congress members for those constituencies want to see closures and redundancies. Anything still on the drawing board - another matter altogether. Trump has form on this from his first term. It's a lot like every congressman wants to reduce excessive defence spending, but nobody wants to lose the bases and arms manufacturers in their backyard.
I think Trump has an altogether more challenging issue with his 'drill baby drill' plan. From the US producer's perspective, things are sweet at the moment, volume is high and prices are profitable. The USA is now the world's largest producer, and they are filling much of Europe's Russian LNG gap. The US industry has twice been badly stung in over-capacity after a rush of drill, drill, drill, rapidly followed by falling prices. These guys are not stupid and are not going to stick their heads in that pile of crap again soon, Trump can deliver expansion in permitting. Putting rigs on those permits is however not in his hands. Also, he is a one-term president - drillers have longer time horizons to consider.
For ITM - not much changes as we are weak in the US but much better in Europe.
There will be all manner of lunacy and mayhem - like shipping millions of undocumented 'aliens' back to Mexico. Until that is, the farming industry in the south and southwest USA collapses, hotels do not have enough staff, and house building either stops or becomes hugely expensive. Many things for US citizens to be deeply concerned about, but not much impact in Sheffield, I think.