Finally5 May 2021 11:32
Hi!
From the ground up, I have HMH to thank for being able to make a forecast at all.
have had good help lately with both easier things, as it should be understandable but at the same time most difficult to get feedback on, as well as more difficult things, as I have had future calculations with a few people, most of which are unknown to me.
Has come to such a situation where it is no longer necessary to solve any larger pieces and returns to having all the numbers that are released to everyone as it is basically most correct.
As for the last steps, I have been inspired by L7 to simplify what is shown, therapist and Niclas (Swe) for handling gas and significantly more people with boats, the loan part, etc.
For those concerned: Thank you!
The latest calculation is made with a neutral hedge in the calculation, which I hope will reflect reality.
https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1h_a4jmSsXq2iypyHqoFXfo49pIZzmoid?usp=sharing
For updates, variable numbers are imported from another source.
Keep in mind that: It is willing sellers who set the price and buyers will still come when the rise is secured.
As the draws become large, also think about how much a barrel of gasoline or distillate represents.
It takes 5,308 / 0.45 = 11,796 barrels to be able to replace the pull of gasoline as well
3453 / 0.25 = 13,812 barrels for distillate replacement.
https://www.breakthroughfuel.com/blog/crude-oil-barrel/
Keep the link if you want.
I have been thinking of taking a break from this for a while but will respond to any feedback.
Good luck.
Regards /Kamrat
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