Member Info for Svend

Guilty as charged 😅 — maybe channeling too much caffeine and chaos there.

Trump’s proposed tariffs, set to kick in tomorrow, include a wide range of import duties—notably a 25% tariff on foreign cars and the reimplementation of steel and aluminum tariffs, including on allies like Canada and Mexico. Markets are understandably tense. The concern is that this could spark retaliation, raise input costs for U.S. companies, and weigh on corporate earnings, especially in manufacturing-heavy sectors.

The short-term chart could be choppy — knee-jerk reactions from headlines are likely — but the long-term direction will depend on whether this turns into a full-blown trade war or political posturing. Watch for volume spikes, sector rotation (industrials and autos especially), and possible flight to safety.

Touché, Jds15 😄 Fair enough — that one might’ve gone a bit off-piste into the land of economic stand-up. Want a tighter, no-fluff read on the tariff impact instead? I can dial down the theatrics and give DimTim the straight-up forecast. But I fear it will only land on dull, deaf ears.

DimTim, the market's just as jittery as a cat in a room full of rocking chairs! With President Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs set to roll out tomorrow, April 2, we're bracing for a potential rollercoaster. The Dow's up nearly 1%, the S&P 500's nudged up 0.3%, and the Nasdaq's playing it cool with a slight dip. ​

These tariffs target a wide range of imports, including a 25% levy on auto imports and previously paused tariffs on Canada and Mexico. The administration's "no exemptions" stance has investors on edge, fearing earnings impacts and market volatility.

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So, as we gear up for tomorrow, expect the charts to resemble a heart monitor during a marathon. Keep your stop-loss orders tight and maybe have some comfort food on standby—it will be an enjoyable ride!

Exactly! Just a bit of turbulence before we reach cruising altitude. Captain Market assures us it's all part of the journey — snacks and gains will be served shortly 🍿📈✈️

Nothing to see apart from lovely clear blue skies. It's 13-15 degrees Celsius, but it feels more like 17 😎

That’s what I thought too… until I opened my portfolio this morning. Turns out April Fools is a quarterly tradition now 🤡📉

Peakdread: Fair point — it’s hard to trust a head and shoulders pattern when the head keeps tweeting like a drunk uncle at Thanksgiving. At this rate, I’m unsure if we should be reading candlestick leaves or chicken bones. But at least volatility is back — nothing like a bit of chaos to keep the VIX feeling alive and kicking the can down the road!

Happy April Fools' Day 😉

Stringwest12 Yes, it is very encouraging. It shall now be interesting to see how the market in volumes terms/participants follow suit 🙌7 😎

DNA1 > Opened down, closed in the Green, lets boil it all down the S&P 500 Index experienced a notable recovery, closing up 0.6% at 5,611.85 after dropping more than 1.5% earlier in the day. ​ Several factors contributed to this positive turnaround:

Technical Market Patterns: Analysts observed the formation of a "double bottom" pattern—a bullish technical indicator suggesting the end of a downtrend and the potential start of an uptrend. This pattern emerged as the S&P 500 rebounded from lows similar to those reached earlier in March, indicating possible market stabilization. ​

Anticipation of Tariff Announcements: Investors closely monitored the upcoming "Liberation Day" on April 2, when President Trump was expected to announce significant tariff increases. The uncertainty surrounding these tariffs led to market volatility. However, some investors speculated that the announcements might provide clarity, potentially alleviating market apprehensions and encouraging a rebound. ​

Seasonal Market Trends: April has historically been a strong month for the stock market, with the S&P 500 finishing positively 65% of the time since 1928 and averaging gains of 4.1% during those positive periods. This seasonal trend may have influenced investor sentiment, contributing to the day's recovery. ​

Despite these positive signs, underlying concerns remained. Goldman Sachs increased the U.S. recession's probability to 35%, citing slowing growth and tariff-related uncertainties. Additionally, the S&P 500 concluded its worst first quarter in two-and-a-half years, down 4.6%. ​

In summary, the S&P 500's rebound on March 31 was influenced by technical market patterns, anticipation of forthcoming tariff details, and favorable seasonal trends. However, investors remained cautious due to ongoing economic uncertainties and trade policy concerns.​

https://f0-t.rt.prorealtime.com/ProRealTimeAdvanced/display_chartimage.phtml?name=bdtespq2fu5v8u25c022vpo6n&type=png&purpose=mail

Two Pullbacks of near 10% each = Double Bottom 😉🤞

Hey, I get where you’re coming from—it’s easy to look at some of those weird little trades going through at £8.48 or whatever and think something fishy’s going on. But honestly, saying the market makers are deliberately doing that to trick people is a big leap.

For one, these markets are seriously regulated. If MMs regularly made fake or manipulative trades to mislead retail traders, they’d be caught and fined hard. That stuff no longer flies, especially with how closely everything’s monitored.

Also, those tiny trades you see—like 0 or 1 shares at odd prices—are often just quirks of modern trading. It could be test trades, auction phase stuff, or delayed prints. They might look weird, but they’re not necessarily meant to send a signal or move the price.

And let’s be honest—most traders now, even beginners, have access to live order books, time & sales, and tons of tools that help them spot outliers. A couple of strange micro-lot trades aren’t going to fool anyone who’s paying attention. If someone is panic buying based on a 1-share print at a high price, that’s more of a learning curve issue than some master plan by the market makers.

So yeah, it’s easy to jump to conclusions, but there’s usually a more tiresome, technical explanation behind those strange prints.

DIMTimSmith12, you are an embarrassment ''£ 8.48'' > RR Stock reached its all-time intraday high of 818.00 GBp on March 19, 2025. That day, the stock opened at 808.60 GBp, recorded a low of 802.80 GBp, and closed at 812.80 GBp. Now, please move on fast before the sharks find you.

*DB on Roycey 🤣

Agree. It looks like we had a 'follow through day' on the SP500, and those who study tea leaves might have picked up on a potential double bottom ''U'' right ahead of April Fools day ;-) Enjoy the Voyage

DIMTIMSmith12, Walk the plank

https://www.google.com/search?q=walk+the+plank&rlz=1C1ONGR_enGB1014GB1014&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8#fpstate=ive&vld=cid:0c3a7b01,vid:4lH9gJAH4w8,st:0

DIMTImSmith, as this has nothing to do with RR, please stop posting nonsense and get back down below the deck. Pronto please!

With all the world market indexes currently in the red apart from Norway 25, which is a meagre + 0.19% in the green, one would lean and guess it's going south 😊

AZ > Ah, Constellation Energy is a fitting name for a company backing Rolls-Royce's SMRs. When you invest in mini nuclear reactors with Rolls, Qatar, and BNF, you’re not just lighting up the grid; you’re trying to power the stars. Now, let's just hope it's a fusion of returns, not just capital.

Hi James, Your caution is entirely understandable, especially given the scars left by Carillion and Laing. But I’d argue that Vistry’s approach, while superficially similar, is structurally quite different. Unlike the old contracting models that relied on wafer-thin margins and ballooning fixed-cost risk, Vistry’s Partnerships model is asset-backed, volume-driven, and underpinned by long-term funding agreements with housing associations, local authorities, and institutional PRS players.

It’s not pure public sector contracting—it’s de-risked forward-funded development, often on deferred land terms, with visibility on cash flows and capital returns. Yes, margins are lower than Open-Market sales, but the capital intensity is also lower, and the return on capital employed (targeting 40%) is what really matters in this setup.

As for the buyback — I agree, the timing was questionable given the South Division issues — but with the cleanup complete, net debt falling, and a £4.4bn order book, there’s a path to stabilisation and growth that isn’t necessarily being priced in. It may not be the highest-quality name in the sector, but in a market rotating toward income visibility and strategic housing delivery, there could be method in the madness. IMOO DYOR

Northfork To the moon? Mate, at this rate, we’ll pass the moon, wave at Elon’s Roadster, and end up drilling for helium on Saturn. Just hope we remembered to pack a parachute — or at least a snack. 🚀

Strictly, I get it — nobody wants to end up in the financial barbershop chair with clippers set to zero! But hey, someone’s got to believe in the comeback story — even if it means risking the odd patchy fringe while the market trims away the deadwood. I’ll let you know if I make it to the blow-dry stage or need a wig.

Svend