Member Info for Stupmy

Yes, and I guess the chances of them being fudged is higher with an election taking place. My guess also that there'll be a downward revision. Interesting though trying to call the stockmarket response when either a beat or a miss could lead to a rise or a fall!

It's a bag of chips and a round of drinks for the weekend JG, nothing wrong with that.

You can think of it as portfolio management, rationalisation or I'm sure other ways, but one way or another you are trading. Makes you a trader even if you don't view yourself as someone doing it over short time periods. Nothing wrong with trading..

I do the same Kipper. I try to get what I can from one stock, reduce as it rises and use what I've taken out to put into the next situation that seems likely to have bottomed. To me it makes absolute sense. Buy low! Sell high. On this occasion. I haven't yet exited something else where so have not bought CPI for the moment. I think I'll get the chance at 14 or so though. If I don't it's ok too.

Stille, I've filtered him. Nasty little so and so, all eaten up by failure I'd imagine. He should have just filtered me if he was irritated by my posts. Fascinating that people don't have the confidence to use the filter when it would be so much better for us all to do that to avoid silly spats. Still I guess, it's a problem when you struggle to make decisions.

That's exactly it Kipper, it's a very standard behaviour on markets. It will happen here and people will be very pleased to have the chance to get their money back out without loss. Harwood are not looking for a fast buck, although it would seem their note has helped the SP already. I'm not convinced there's a rush personally. The results will put some meat on the bones.

What is wrong with you Cev? I didn't predict 445, but I think that it was a fair guess from sollers.

Well NFPs at 206k, so a beat of expectations at 190. Volatile response from US500, tending to the upside (ie. economy not looking as bad as expected). So the risk of interest rate cuts being pushed out/held off for now is not being view too negatively. Let's see where it settles though

What does that even mean JG? "idiot 300 quid Charlies".

For my money it seems there are a lot of people heavily invested, many over an extended period, some have tried to lower their entries by adding to their positions on the drop. Typically, in that situation, many will start dropping some of their positions as they get to b/e or above. That selling slows the rise. I think we should expect a staggered rise in the SP for that reason. I don't get your interest in what I'm guessing your saying are traders/investors with smaller positions. They should get mopped up without much impact on the SP. The results in August will help us understand. Having a positive note from a Harwood is obviuosly a positive with their track record, but it doesn't mean that anything is going to change here fast.

Poker, you're knowledgible on the financial/fiscal side. Do you have a view on the NFP data we're waiting for? I know it's not directly related to EZJ, but it's pretty important.

The 5k was not mine in fact Cev. Not sure why you're so moody. I'll choose not to respond to your nonsense. Enjoy your investing. Stop having a pop at others for no reason. Makes you look stressed and that normally means there's something wrong. Just relax and get on with things the way you get on with things. Filter me if you don't like my chat.

It's not unlikely we'll see 14ish again in the nearish term. Nice rise today though.

NFP's: I'm sat here waiting for them and wondering what impact it will have on the US markets. If they are weak (below the expected 190k) it might be viewed as a bad sign for the economy and the market might drop. It might also be viewed as increasing the chances of an interest rate cut in the near term and that might cause a rise in the index. If they are above 190, that's an indication the economy is doing ok and it should cause a rise in the index, but equally it might be viewed as reducing the chances of an interest rate cut in the near term that would cause a drop in the indices. It's not an easy call!! Anyone have a view?

Without the ire, I have to say that I think it's easy to find what might appear to be associations between lots of things and SP, most often it's not really associated. I have to say I'm doubtfull that the EZJ SP fluctuations are tightly linked to the French elections.

Sollers, I thought your view re a possible fall back to 445 area was perfectly reasonable. As you say, it's worth trying to exploit the short term movements. 445 looks less likely now, but I would not be surprised to see 460 or below again. If that does happen, I'll be looking to buy back some levarage trades.

I've read that, there are lot's of things I've read, but until I see some results I simply don't believe it. Tony Blair was business friendly, favoured the markets moved us to the centre. Keir Starmer does not strike me as the new Tony Blair. What they say and what they do, often differ considerably.

I get that SH, just the stability comment didn't seem well thought out. If we don't know what's coming, how can it be assumed to be stable.

Does that even make sense? Once Labour are in, we're not clear on what to expect. Keir is not Tony. On the other hand there do appear to be a fair number of undervalued stocks (from what I understand that's related to onerous conditions on banks and pension funds following the 2008 financial crisis; conditions tougher in the UK than other european or US markets).

Recently the peaks have been on open, with a fall back from there. Today is the same, but the fall back is muted. Maybe it's picking up some ooomph. I closed all my leveraged positions out but have kept my shares. Best of both worlds sort of thing. If it did drop back to 445 as soilers suggested, I'd be looking to buy back

Was wondering the same sollers. I dropped my worst leveraged entries around 463 just in case.