Member Info for Sparkle1

in terms of valuing pipelines etc i think this is really hard to do and i tend to assume that others are more in the know than i am on this. Having run an analytics business, then i kind of know not many small businesses come in on time and to budget. So i sort of assume others know more than me on this. Thus i tend to track the aim stuff on momentum as described as just works for me - as momentum will follow the news and the larger the company, the more the robots for the II's kick in and i have played with numerous models being a bit of a geek and on individual shares normally for 9 and 26 for momentum. On index then i tend to follow 9 and 34. If both are crossing to upside, then happy days. I then look at company and see if it makes something i think actually might either have some value to anyone or where i think because of virus might be growing as i find i or my pals are using more. So eg i was never a believer in cineworld in the middle of a virus. Might be right or wrong but personally i just couldnt see it. Obviously everyone on the virus drug train so need to work out how to reduce loss and 9/26 not a bad way of doing this. So to answer your question, i dont know where it could end up and i like the product, currently in vogue and the momentum is currently with it - but who know how long it will last is my honest opinion. I honestly dont think anyone knows when a licence deal or buy out etc etc could take place - i doubt even the board know. so i just do simple stuff that works for me and i hope it does for you too):

If you go to investing.com, you can set up a graph which you can save, suggest you pop on 9, 26, 50 and 200 moving aves and the cross overs of 9 and 26. then you dont have to recreate all the time. I then use their technical page to see where the next fibonacci points are to confirm where it may go next on 3 std deviations. (its all worked out for you on investing.com. However, their alerts are crap so i then set up alerts on IG to message me when the 9 and 26 cross, so i dont have to look all the time and can get on with life in general. It takes out the extremes and sometimes you will be selling and buying at almost the same price, but you will lose little and on a share like this which is volatile then you control your losses and the upside can be high. All of this i do on daily prices.
on days i buy and sell i also tend to look at the 15 min for the first two 15 mins of the day. If the second one is down, i normally forget buying anything as more likely as not (although not always but much more likely) to close down. So i kind of use all three. The hardest thing to do is to actually do what it tells you to do - thats all in your brain - i often think Why the **** did i buy that then when i can see that none of the signals were correct - for some reason its really hard to make your mind do what is in front of you.
So for example if you go to investing.com now and click on technical, it will come up with a table for various different ways of looking at fib points. The current pivot point as i speak is 135; 1 std dev to the upside is 140 which is roughly where it is now; 3 std devs to upside is between 147 and 152. This will naturally adjust all the time - i just find it dead handy. I hate it going more than 3 std devs in a day as then its roller coaster time and you have to guess when to jump off before the damn thing crashes as its oversold/overbought dramatically. So another tip i use is to not buy anything when on the day in question it is already more than 3 std devs outside - you can use bollinger bands to see this pretty easily - also you can add the bands onto the chart you save on investing.com.
Will save you a lot of heartache if you can manage to make your brain obey the rules - which i cant always manage so good luck on that one - i frequently am baffled by my own stupidity when i can see the above facts in front of me!

As i said, could be helpful to some...
Hope I'm right too):

9 and 26's have made me wealthy -
if you bought the cross over in April, price was 41p;
if you sold at next cross over, price was 92p;
if you bought at next crossover, price was 99p;
if you sold at next crossover price was 181p.
So y-alam, Tils would have made you wealthy had you used the crossovers and it follows pretty much every other share. So your comment is factually incorrect... just graph the daily close prices and you will get above confirmed.

On 25 Sep, the 9 day crossed the 26 day to the upside...and is back on the longer term trend line it has been since April. Thus i made hopefully correct assumption and bought in at 138 end of last week. For those of you who are a bit depressed, then graph out the trend line this year, pop in the 9 and 26 day averages and their cross overs. You will easily be able to see the big pump and dump but more to the point, the underlying trend and will almost certainly feel happier):

pmjh, every time i see a post from you, it reminds me of the journalists on Watergate and my ears prick up. If you are not an investigative journalist, then my crystal ball tells me you should be; you'd love it. The New York Times needs a foreign correspondent over here... thank you for your efforts; you are the best there is on here. Have learnt a lot.

thought our stuff came from chinese hamsters? Whats with the ferrets?

and the only creative thing on it is all about ferrets.

On 502 bloomberg...”how to lead”. its on record here as we are footie fanatics ... so having watched it half the Day between cutting hedge, now for the motd highlights...Some whacky matches today!

Not a lot happening on here but at 10pm on sky david rubinstein doing interviews with bezos, gates, clintons etc ... worth a listen probably... have always liked rubinstein ever since i heard him being interviewed and he was asked for a tip markets and how he got rich.. his answer ... never got the timing right, i always sold too early. Often remember that!

Not so sure bojo... funny times... syn said they had scaled up for this autumn so not sure theyd be doing that without a nod to at least a very large scale test/trial/roll out.

Hold4results... Agree with you totally...just filter him... not worth your time.

I actually disagree... earlier in the summer, i got replies from two in houses of lords, one from ex nhs ceo, and one from someone on the Cabinet and one from the guy who is effectively the ceo of the church of england ... lobbied him to get archbishop of c on case. Watching the footie on tv but i will dig out over weekend. Think it helps if you suggest something they can do that is positive as they just get a ton of flack. Helps if the letters are a page long only and include the links they need to check it out. So instead of saying why havent you done this, Probably better to say, please can i Draw your attention to this (link) which i think will greatly help you to progress your work on covid.
I,ll send over some links over weekend..

hold4results: funniest thing on here all day! Made me smile anyway. Thanks):

Just opened up this board this morning and guys and gals, need some sense of proportion here... if you just read the first page with unblinkered eyes, anyone reading for the first time, could take this out of the posts here:
1. Get rid of the government! They are on the make! Why arent they letting all our grannies get infected so they can have interferon!
2. Get rid of the board! They are way too slow on delivering private investors good news!
3. Wish I had sold at the top and was buying in at the bottom!

Appreciate some are losing money here but the current price is 3 std devs off and currently awaiting the in-home trial results. The gov are truly well aware of Synairgen and it is on their radar. The board seem competant and they were quick off the mark back in March to get onto the gov approved fast track scheme. Doubt they have now gone to sleep on the job given its worth a few million to them to stay awake.
All these Aim shares shoot up and fall back into their confidence limits. It helps to track the 9 and 26 day cross over points and if the share is a long way upwards of the cross over, probably best to wait to invest unless you have nerves of steel. If crossing to the downside, then probably has further to fall. You miss out on the extremes doing this but you are then going with the mainstream momentum and wont lose too much. An example is Tils - shot up; settled back down and crossover to upside yesterday. Less risky now so we will see what then happens. Any share which has a lot of private investors is very up and down due to the natural human instinct to panic one way or the other. Just remember the big guys started to join the party at £2. Patience required. Forget about it unless you really cannot afford to lose the money. If latter the case, then lower risk asap here

can anyone else buy any? SP going down but no orders being taken.

Cant actually buy any at the moment.

https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-boots-suspends-flu-jabs-after-unprecedented-demand-12079961

Org, this is a patience share... if you cant be patient, come join in day trading on Glencore... its pretty simple... is $ is up, Crude is going up, Copper is going up, Glencore makes you money day trading as long as you are awake at 8. If any of those 3 are not going up, then go do something else): If its sunny, go and do something else ... its ****ing down here.

actually Org, I tried to help a newbie two or three weeks back and said the 3rd std dev would be approx 162 and that it could go there but we were not expecting that. As my ave is 17p, and the original investment was 25k, then i made a decision to not sell at 240 knowing it could go to 162 but it could easily have also gone to 400 so that was a call of a dice if you like. I still think it might go to 162 but just as easily they could announce that GSK had invested and it shoot to 400 tomorrow. Thats just my call - and i could afford to take that risk. This would not have been the right call for someone who had overextended. There are those on Who wants to be a millionaire who make the right call at 1k and others make the right call at 125k. I just decided to stay in. Im still quids in at 162, but others would not be.