Member Info for Sparkle1

This is my gut feel... Acacia etc got out in the summer. 30m+ were bought then at circa 50p and my gut feel is there will be an rns saying a ii got out having trebled their dosh hence the sharp fall. I cant see how pi's sold 30m couple of days ago. But someone bought those shares and unlikely to only be pi's on such a quantity. Now hovering around its longer term 50 day average and patience required. Can ignore the short as minor and they called it all wrong from the time they entered and have only lost money. So i am expecting a bit of patience, an RNS telling me who sold and not a lot to happen for a few days

Dont be daft... they opened their short against this stock on 17th August when the price was well below £1... so that was a really good call by them!!! - they had to reverse that within 24 hours on 18th August as the SP was shooting up so they lost a shed load in 24 hours on that short. Therefore the increase now by 0.12% from where they were Aug 17th is simply to cut losses they have incurred unless they are going long now and hedging their bet with a short. But currently, as they have lost more than probably anyone on this board, i would not particularly worry about Citadel Advisers as they dont seem to be making the correct calls on this stock - to date they have just lost money very quickly!

its actually in the 50 day moving average trading range. Could go either way statistically. There is some support at current level and rather more at circa £1.
So if you are terrified, sell a bit and wait knowing it could go either way; If you dont need the dosh, then hold as slightly greater probability of holding 50 day average, consolidating and moving up. Nothing more complicated than that really.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/oct/08/trump-covid-drug-developed-using-cells-derived-from-abortion

Hi oldapache... have you checked out the 9 and 26 day rolling aves yet? .... set up an alert for when they cross over to downside...

Not only plays golf with owner. He invested in the company.

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/10/05/investing/trump-regeneron/index.html

Trump was an investor in regeneron, run by long term mate.

Or ignore all of this and just filter them... seems easier):

I originally bought in 2015 as Woodford backed it (he said it would take 10 years...). I originally bought then at £10.20... I sold 20 % when it started to head south and forgot about it and waited. Got sent an alert (waited a long time...) on 21 July this year, when 9 day went through 26 day to the upside. Diluted the lot to £1.18. Could have sold couple of times in last week but had pretty much equal chance of going on up or back. Its currently on its 50 day moving average where it will have some support. There is somewhat more support at roughly £1. So i think my current view is to see who has sold. To move 29m shares in a day is same as when Acacia sold.... so i think my view is no point in worrying about it until anyone knows who sold as i cant imagine that is all pi's? I would expect another rns i think from the volume?

maybe virus has gone to his brain with non-sensical tweets like this - his most recent

Biden and Democrats just clarified the fact that they are fully in favor of (very) LATE TERM ABORTION, right up until the time of birth, and beyond - which would be execution.

Fairly sure Biden isnt in favour of executing babies.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p08th0f9
interesting if you look closely at how he is breathing... if he keels over, going to be a bloodbath on the markets...

Well Holgate was born in New Hampshire so might have a dual passport? Anyone know?

Thanks Wedme... though the article is pretty grim... bloke still on ICU intubated... i gather only 20% survive then... however, the thing which interested me about this article, was that they had treated with Interferon beta pre intubation but they were waiting to get Rendesivir and would put him on it when they got it instead of Lop.... thats kind of interesting being in camp of having a few of these shares as i firmly believe we are going to need more than one drug... my understanding on Rendesivir is that originally it was on a 10 day programme but then the second trial proved that 5 days was equally as effective. US had bought up global supply but then the requirement for that global supply was halved by the second trial showing 5 days had same effect and this released more supply onto the global market... Son is fine by the way, probably roundly poisoned by continual inhalation of dettol (he has bought shares in his ISA in Reckits) and Domestos (i have shares in Unilever)... we must be depleting the global supply - everything gets sprayed as it enter house LOL... he's working from home and is quite happy - doesnt have to come up with excuses for not getting off his backside so he is quite cheery!

SCaramouche... curiously, have just been doing some stats on something similar... at least in london the top guys are giving people anti-inflammatories for a few days before cancer operations as there is some debate that the inflammatory response itself causes the cancer cells to metastasise and migrate and also people can get given pain relief pre ops to stop the pain from starting as easier to control if it doesnt start. Certainly both being done at imperial. So its not a stupid question to ascertain if the inflammatory response is better being treated by a or b drug and pre or post op. Will ask the question to those in know but they might not know as might never have been tested. The control of pain for example before operations is quite new; the understanding of inflammation and this causing cancer stem cells to perk up and migrate is also quite new ish. I'd have thought COPD and Covid was enough to worry about though at this moment...

thanks \wedme... in what instances would Syn NOT be given? eg I have a son on a transplant and we were told the best he could hope for was to lose the kidney and my understanding Syn would be counter indicated due to immune suppresants. Do you have a feel for the contra-indicators given the patients are often elderly with co-morbidities? Again, trying to get pros and cons balance here - i get the positives; trying to understand negatives as well for balance.

WedMe: just logged on. Thank you for your explanation, which i have found very helpful. I'm a statistical analyst by training and i currently analyse the statistics behind some medical PhD's for a London Teaching Hospital - from the mathematical / statistical point of view not from a medical point of view. I have forwarded your detail to the two Profs i work with for additional comment. Also, have forwarded to Sec of State for Wales (whose wider family are a lot of doctors / nurses).
Can i ask something: the nih paper i posted a couple of weeks ago advised against the use of the nebuliser in a hospital setting due to it being a nebuliser i.e. hospitals not using / doing stuff that could potentially cause aerosol release / stopping endoscopies etc for same reason. Do you think this is an issue?
For clarification, i am trying to get as much detail as possible as i bought in in 2015 due to Woodford buying in not because i knew much about it. Then diluted a couple of times - invested 25k at 17p ave so massively up and the risk is a lot more now than the original 25k stake. So i've gained couple of hundred grand staying in and lost 100 grand not selling. I think i have a fairly open mind on it all - im neither ramping nor deramping, just trying to work it out and what the pros and cons are in a reasonable way. In your view what are the cons? There must be some or we'd all be on it. And i dont think its because Boris or his team are useless - if there were only pros, there would be urging from the medics & Chris Whitty. SO trying to get some balance as to pros and cons for informed decisions.... thanks for any input you can provide in advance.

Dibs. do you know what the numbers are? I thought in UK, you stayed at home until you were having some difficulty breathing in which case you get admitted for oxygen. I dont know how many are then well enough to be on a general ward (but i thought these were people who had mild covid but had other deseases) versus ICU for oxygen etc. Do you know what the % are perchance?
jint: i'm in camp that one needs more than one drug to combat this thing so I'm all for Syn, Remdesivir, Dexa and anything else all being successful. I hope Rem works, as lowers replication rate of virus which must be a good thing. I hope Syn works as kicks in my immune system; i know Dexa works and might be the only thing that saves kidneys... so i cant be bothered to debate which drug is better than another drug. its futile debate. They will all be administered according to NICE or similar guidelines based on medical opinion. They all seem to be useful in some instances and you seem to need different ones at different times.

Also, you need to be in hospital to get REmdesivir as intravenous. So i am wondering if SYn would be unique in being the only drug that could potentially be administered in home, if one can put in some controls around it... know Mike Coupe, might ask what he can do to facilitate pre admission treatments but i wonder how Syn intend to address the issue of inhome safety.

I think i will try and find out what the guidelines are... my vague understanding is that on admission you are put into one of three categories a) pneumonia b) co-morbity to be treated as got worse due to virus c) people who were already immune suppressed and now in dire straights probably but i might be wrong but thats roughly my understanding. I think most if not all in ICU are on Dex but not sure outside ICU - will try and find out. But the mass market must be pre admission to stop admission I would have thought.