RE: Huge Drill26 Mar 2018 10:05
Your numbers aren't correct Jimmy00, SDX will only receive circa 27.5% of the gross revenue generated from the South Disouq licenses. This is due to the fiscal regime in Egypt. The Egyptian government will take 50% of the production from the field without giving SDX or their partner a penny for it, that then leaves 50% of the production for SDX and IPR.
100% x 0.5 (state cut) = 50%
50% x 0.55 (SDX Working Interest) = 27.5%
Then the state will want tax on the profits SDX generate from that 27.5% stake.
Let's be very conservative and say SD can only produce at 50mmscf/d and the price the Egyptian government give SDX is $2.65 (hopefully it'll be higher than this, but as I say I am trying to be conservative).
50,000mscf/d @ $2.65/mscf = $132,500/d revenue gross
$132,500 x 0.275 (SDX's cut) = $36,400/d revenue to SDX
$36,400 x 300 (the field won't produce all day every day 24/7 for a year, 300 is probably too low but again I am being conservative) = $10,931,250 revenue to SDX per year
At 100mmsf/d that obviously doubles to $21,862,000 revenue. What profit SDX will generate from that is unknown but will likely be the majority of this number.
So you can see that SDX really do need to hit 100mmscf/d in order for South Disouq to pay off significantly thanks to the thieving Egyptian government.
Hopefully they do hit 100mmscf/d and hopefully they get significantly more than $2.65/mscf.